Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union
Union rally past Fire for solid win
Philadelphia Union overturn a first-half deficit to claim a 3-1 victory in Chicago.
Chicago Fire took the lead just before half-time through M. Haile-Selassie, but Philadelphia Union responded swiftly after the break. M. Iloski levelled early in the second half before B. Damiani struck twice to secure the win. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved slightly optimistic.
Outcome probability
Get ready for a cracking MLS regular season clash as Chicago Fire take on Philadelphia Union. Expect plenty of goals and attacking flair in this one, with both sides boasting potent offensive weapons.
Match factors
Philadelphia's Midfield Scoring Edge
Milan Iloski leads with 16 goals and strong recent form, providing a key attacking advantage
Chicago Fire's Home Scoring Strength
Chicago Fire averages 1.93 goals at home, supporting their ability to score multiple goals
Philadelphia's Consistent Scoring Streak
Philadelphia Union has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum
Set-piece Creativity from Westfield
Frankie Westfield's 7 assists and set-piece role boost Philadelphia's chance creation
Full Strength Squads Expected
No confirmed injuries for either team, so both can field their key attacking players
The context
This match is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 29. Historically, Philadelphia Union have had the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, winning 11 of 20 encounters. The average goals per game between these two sides is a lively 3.4, hinting at an entertaining spectacle ahead.
Key insights
M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
League top scorer with 16 goals and strong recent form, making him a key attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2716 goals in 27 apps, 6 goals in last 5 matches
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
Prolific striker with 13 goals this season and strong home form, vital for Chicago's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 11 apps, strong home scoring record
F. Westfield
Philadelphia Union
Creative set-piece specialist with 7 assists, boosting Philadelphia's chance creation.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 22 apps, key set-piece taker
Analysis
Philadelphia Union come into this fixture on the back of five consecutive wins, showcasing their strong momentum and attacking prowess. Milan Iloski leads the charge with 16 goals this season, including six in his last five matches, making him a key threat. Chicago Fire, meanwhile, have a solid home scoring record, averaging nearly two goals per game at home, with striker H. Cuypers boasting 13 goals this season. The match is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with set-piece creativity from Philadelphia's Frankie Westfield adding an extra dimension to their attack.
Key facts
- 1.Philadelphia Union have won 11 of 20 meetings against Chicago Fire.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.4 goals per game.
- 3.Philadelphia Union are on a 5-match winning streak.
- 4.Chicago Fire average 1.93 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Milan Iloski is the league top scorer with 16 goals this season.
- 6.Frankie Westfield has provided 7 assists, mainly from set-pieces.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team, both squads expected at full strength.
- 8.Prediction includes a total of 4 cards in the match.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Philadelphia Union, with a thrilling 4-3 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1 in favour of the visitors, setting the tone for a back-and-forth contest. Expect four cards in total, reflecting the competitive nature of the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Chicago Fire
Away — Philadelphia Union
The verdict
All in all, this promises to be a pulsating encounter with plenty of goals and drama. Philadelphia Union's recent form and attacking firepower should just edge them past Chicago Fire in a seven-goal thriller.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 01:38 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mbokazi
Yellow Card
Elliott
Yellow Card
Haile-Selassie
Assist: Allen
Elliott
Red Card
Bamba
Iloski
Assist: Damiani
Damiani
Assist: Sullivan
Bueno
Damiani
Assist: Lukić
Lewandowski
Gómez
Dean
Salétros
Damiani
Sullivan
Vassilev
Yellow Card
Zinckernagel
Yellow Card
Iloski
Sullivan
Pierre
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Chicago Fire
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1C. BradyG
- 3J. ElliottD
- 4M. MbokaziD
- 6A. SalétrosM
- 7M. Haile-SelassieF
- 9R. LewandowskiF
- 18J. GómezM
- 19J. BambaM
- 22M. PinedaM
- 24J. DeanD
- 32N. AllenD
Substitutes
- 2Leonardo BarrosoD
- 11P. ZinckernagelF
- 12P. DithejaneF
- 15A. GutmanD
- 21A. Hanche-OlsenD
- 25J. GalG
- 29D. PorębaM
- 35S. OregelM
- 44J. CohenG
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 6Cavan SullivanM
- 8J. BuenoM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 10M. IloskiF
- 18A. BlakeG
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 33Q. SullivanM
- 39F. WestfieldD
- 44Neil PierreD
Substitutes
- 2G. MartínezD
- 5J. Sery LarsenD
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 14J. RafanelloM
- 16B. BenderM
- 19I. VassilevM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 51M. JakupovicF
- 76A. RickG
Chicago Fire
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Haile-Selassie | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| N. Allen | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| P. Dithejane | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/4 |
| P. Zinckernagel | F | 22 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Pineda | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Bamba | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| A. Hanche-Olsen | D | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 68 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 22 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Brady | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Oregel | M | 18 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Salétros | M | 72 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Gómez | M | 68 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mbokazi | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Elliott | D | 46 | 4.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Gutman | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cohen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Poręba | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gal | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Damiani | F | 80 | 9.3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — |
| M. Iloski | F | 92 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | — |
| J. Lukić | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 80 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2/5 |
| N. Harriel | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Q. Sullivan | M | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| A. Blake | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Wagner | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 10 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Westfield | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| B. Bender | M | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neil Pierre | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Vassilev | M | 33 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bueno | M | 57 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Sery Larsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rafanello | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jakupovic | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Martínez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bedoya | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rick | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Philadelphia Union to win against Chicago Fire.
- What score did Fipster predict for Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Chicago Fire 3–4 Philadelphia Union.
- What were the win probabilities for Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's model gave Chicago Fire a 7% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.