Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC
Fire and Orlando share spoils in fiery draw
A quickfire brace from Angulo and Griezmann was matched by a resilient Chicago comeback.
Orlando City SC took an early lead with I. Angulo striking in the 6th minute, followed by A. Griezmann's goal before the break. Chicago Fire fought back after the break with J. Bamba and M. Haile-Selassie leveling the score to secure a 2-2 draw. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the Fire's resilience at home.
Outcome probability
Chicago Fire and Orlando City SC are set for a cracker of a match in the 32nd round of the regular season. Both teams have shown attacking intent this campaign, promising plenty of goals and excitement.
Match factors
Chicago Fire's Cuypers leads scoring with strong home form
Hugo Cuypers has 13 goals this season with 1.18 goals per game at home, making him a key scoring threat.
Orlando City's Griezmann and Ojeda in hot scoring streaks
Griezmann scored 5 goals in last 5 matches; Ojeda netted 4 in last 5, boosting Orlando's attack.
Chicago's Zinckernagel and Haile-Selassie key in chance creation
Both midfielders have high assist counts and strong recent form, vital for unlocking Orlando's defense.
No confirmed injuries for either team, full squads expected
Both teams have no confirmed outs, allowing key attackers and playmakers to feature.
Orlando's defense concedes more, increasing scoring chances for Chicago
Orlando concedes 2.32 goals per game on average, higher than league average, favoring Chicago's attackers.
The context
Historically, these two sides have met 20 times, with Chicago Fire winning 8, Orlando City SC 6, and 6 matches ending in draws. Their encounters average over three goals per game, highlighting a penchant for open, attacking football.
Key insights
Hugo Cuypers
Chicago Fire
Top scorer with 13 goals, strong home form averaging 1.18 goals per game, making him Chicago's key attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 11 appearances, 1.18 goals/game
Antoine Griezmann
Orlando City SC
In blistering form with 5 goals in last 5 matches, combining creativity and scoring prowess.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 12 appearances, 0.83 goals/game
Maren Haile-Selassie
Chicago Fire
Consistent goal and assist contributor with 10 goals and 6 assists, vital in chance creation.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals and 6 assists in 29 appearances
Martín Ojeda
Orlando City SC
Leading scorer with 15 goals, including 4 in last 5 matches, spearheading Orlando's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 24 appearances, 0.63 goals/game
Analysis
Chicago Fire boast Hugo Cuypers, who has been in fine form with 13 goals this season, particularly strong at home with an average of 1.18 goals per game. Midfield dynamo Maren Haile-Selassie also contributes significantly with 10 goals and 6 assists. Orlando City SC counter with Antoine Griezmann and Martín Ojeda, both on hot streaks, combining for 15 goals recently. Orlando's defense concedes more than average, which could play into Chicago's attacking strengths. The midfield creativity of Chicago's Zinckernagel and Haile-Selassie will be crucial in unlocking Orlando's backline, but Orlando's firepower is expected to edge the contest.
Key facts
- 1.Chicago Fire have won 8 of 20 matches against Orlando City SC, who have won 6, with 6 draws.
- 2.Their head-to-head matches average 3.1 goals per game, indicating a high-scoring rivalry.
- 3.Hugo Cuypers leads Chicago Fire with 13 goals this season, averaging 1.18 goals per home game.
- 4.Antoine Griezmann has scored 5 goals in his last 5 matches for Orlando City SC.
- 5.Orlando City SC concedes an average of 2.32 goals per game, higher than the league average.
Prediction
Expect a tightly contested first half ending 1-1, with both teams trading blows. However, Orlando City SC are predicted to pull ahead in the second half, sealing a 4-3 victory in what promises to be a thrilling, high-scoring affair.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Chicago Fire
Away — Orlando City SC
The verdict
While the prediction leans towards an Orlando City SC win, the narrow margin and high goal tally suggest a match that could swing either way. Fans should brace for an entertaining spectacle with plenty of attacking football and goals.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 01:45 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Angulo
Assist: Griezmann
Oregel
Yellow Card
Griezmann
Assist: Nogueira
Card upgrade confirmed
Ellis
Yellow Card
Oregel
Elliott
Yellow Card
Bamba
Assist: Leonardo Barroso
Haile-Selassie
Assist: Bamba
Brekalo
Yellow Card
Ellis
Gutman
Leonardo Barroso
Ojeda
Nogueira
Zinckernagel
Ojeda
Match Statistics
Chicago Fire
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1C. BradyG
- 2Leonardo BarrosoD
- 3J. ElliottD
- 6A. SalétrosM
- 7M. Haile-SelassieF
- 9R. LewandowskiF
- 11P. ZinckernagelF
- 15A. GutmanD
- 21A. Hanche-OlsenD
- 23A. MekvabishviliM
- 35S. OregelM
Substitutes
- 10André FrancoM
- 12P. DithejaneF
- 18J. GómezF
- 19J. BambaF
- 22M. PinedaD
- 24J. DeanD
- 29D. PorębaM
- 32N. AllenD
- 44J. CohenG
Orlando City SC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 8B. OjedaM
- 10M. OjedaF
- 19Z. TaifiD
- 22Justin EllisM
- 27Vinícius NogueiraD
- 57IagoD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloM
Substitutes
- 3Adrián MarínD
- 9D. DikeF
- 11TiagoF
- 12Javier OteroG
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 21N. MillerD
- 35Joran GerbetM
- 44Bernardo Rhein GoncalvesF
- 87Marco PasalicF
Chicago Fire
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Haile-Selassie | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/5 |
| J. Bamba | F | 44 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 82 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| A. Mekvabishvili | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| P. Zinckernagel | F | 91 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3/6 |
| A. Gutman | D | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Hanche-Olsen | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Salétros | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| C. Brady | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 6 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Oregel | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. Elliott | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Allen | D | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 8 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Poręba | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Dithejane | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cohen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Franco | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gómez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pineda | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Griezmann | F | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| I. Angulo | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Z. Taifi | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Brekalo | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| B. Ojeda | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Marco Pasalic | F | 7 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Iago | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Dike | F | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ojeda | F | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Vinícius Nogueira | D | 83 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Luis Otávio | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | M | 76 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| M. Crépeau | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Cartagena | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Miller | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Rhein Goncalves | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joran Gerbet | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Otero | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Orlando City SC to win against Chicago Fire.
- What score did Fipster predict for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Chicago Fire 3–4 Orlando City SC.
- What were the win probabilities for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's model gave Chicago Fire a 32% chance of winning, Orlando City SC a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.