Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal
Match recap
Chicago Fire beat CF Montreal 3–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Bamba, Cuypers, and Lod scored for Chicago Fire. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 3.05 for Chicago Fire versus 0.10 for CF Montreal.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-0 Chicago Fire win
Actual
3–0
Outcome probability
Chicago Fire look primed to deliver a comprehensive victory over CF Montreal in this MLS regular season fixture. With a strong attacking lineup and solid recent form, the Fire are expected to light up the pitch and keep a clean sheet.
Match factors
Chicago Fire's attacking midfield strength
Maren Haile-Selassie and Philip Zinckernagel provide strong goal and assist threat from midfield, exploiting Montreal's defensive weaknesses
Hugo Cuypers' prolific scoring form
Cuypers leads Chicago Fire with 13 goals in 11 games, significantly above league average for attackers
Chicago Fire's home scoring streak
Chicago Fire have scored in their last 5 home games, indicating strong offensive momentum at home
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, allowing full-strength lineups
The context
This match is part of the MLS regular season's second round, where both teams aim to establish early momentum. Chicago Fire have shown consistent scoring ability at home, while CF Montreal face challenges in away fixtures. Both squads are at full strength, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Key insights
Hugo Cuypers
Chicago Fire
Cuypers is the league's top scorer with 13 goals in 11 games, making him a lethal threat especially at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 11 appearances
Philip Frigast Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
Zinckernagel leads assists with 8, providing creative spark and key passes to the forwards.
Major League Soccer 26/278 assists in 26 appearances
Maren Haile-Selassie
Chicago Fire
Haile-Selassie contributes both goals and assists, with 9 goals and 5 assists, vital in the attacking midfield role.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals and 5 assists in 27 appearances
Analysis
Chicago Fire boast a formidable attacking midfield duo in Maren Haile-Selassie and Philip Zinckernagel, who combine goal-scoring and creative prowess to exploit Montreal's defensive vulnerabilities. Hugo Cuypers leads the charge with an impressive 13 goals in 11 appearances, making him a constant threat in front of goal. Montreal's main offensive outlet, Prince-Osei Owusu, has struggled to convert chances effectively away from home, which could limit their impact. The Fire's recent home scoring streak and disciplined defensive setup suggest they will control the game and secure a clean sheet.
Key facts
- 1.Chicago Fire have scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong offensive form.
- 2.Hugo Cuypers leads Chicago Fire with 13 goals in 11 appearances this season.
- 3.Philip Zinckernagel tops Chicago Fire's assists chart with 8 assists in 26 games.
- 4.Maren Haile-Selassie has contributed 9 goals and 5 assists, key to Fire's midfield attack.
- 5.CF Montreal's top scorer Prince-Osei Owusu has 15 goals but limited away impact.
- 6.No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, both at full strength.
- 7.Head-to-head record is balanced with 8 wins each and 4 draws in 20 meetings.
Prediction
We predict a dominant home win for Chicago Fire with a 4-0 scoreline. The Fire are expected to lead 2-0 at halftime, building on their attacking momentum early on. Discipline will be maintained with around four cards in the match, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Chicago Fire
Away — CF Montreal
The verdict
In summary, Chicago Fire's attacking strength and home form make them clear favourites to secure a convincing 4-0 victory over CF Montreal. Fans can expect an entertaining display with the Fire asserting their dominance from the outset.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 17:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bamba
Vera
Yellow Card
Zinckernagel
Yellow Card
Neal
Jaime
Yellow Card
Card upgrade
Dean
Red Card
Bamba
Vera
Aleksandr Guboglo
Jaime
Longstaff
Pineda
Gillier
Yellow Card
Zinckernagel
Cuypers
Penalty
Lod
Match Statistics
Chicago Fire
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1C. BradyG
- 2Leonardo BarrosoD
- 3J. ElliottD
- 4M. MbokaziD
- 6A. SalétrosM
- 7M. Haile-SelassieF
- 9H. CuypersF
- 11P. ZinckernagelM
- 19J. BambaF
- 22M. PinedaM
- 24J. DeanD
Substitutes
- 8C. MuellerF
- 12P. DithejaneD
- 16J. WatermanD
- 17R. LodM
- 29D. PorębaM
- 35S. OregelM
- 38Christopher CuppsD
- 42T. D'AvillaM
- 44J. CohenG
CF Montreal
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2J. NealD
- 4B. VeraD
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 9P. OwusuF
- 10Iván JaimeM
- 17D. ÞórhallssonM
- 18H. SynchukM
- 22V. LoturiM
- 24E. MoralesD
- 31T. GillierG
- 39Aleksandr GubogloD
Substitutes
- 1S. BrezaG
- 5B. CraigD
- 6S. PietteM
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 14D. RíosF
- 16W. CarmonaM
- 27D. BugajD
- 29O. EscobarF
Chicago Fire
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Cuypers | F | 90 | 8.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | F | 57 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Jack Elliott(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Chris Brady | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anton Salétros | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | M | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Jonathan Dean | D | 56 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| David Poreba | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Cupps | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Oregel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Puso Dithejane | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Cohen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Mueller | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Lod | M | 7 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 14 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Waterman | D | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gillier | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 78 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hennadiy Synchuk | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Victor Loturi | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Dagur Dan Þórhallsson | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Efraín Morales | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brayan Vera | D | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Jaime | M | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Jalen Neal | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Aleksandr Guboglo | D | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Prince-Osei Owusu(C) | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Samuel Piette | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Petrasso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olger Escobar | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Breza | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Streit | M | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Wikelman Carmona | M | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Rios | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandan Craig | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Chicago Fire to win against CF Montreal.
- What score did Fipster predict for Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Chicago Fire 4–0 CF Montreal.
- What were the win probabilities for Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's model gave Chicago Fire a 92% chance of winning, CF Montreal a 4% chance, and a 4% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 92% confidence — a high-confidence call.