Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Chelsea steamroll Bournemouth in five-goal blitz
A dazzling display from Chelsea saw them run riot with João Pedro and J. Henderson both netting braces.
Chelsea set the tone early with goals from J. Henderson and M. Rogers inside the opening three minutes, leaving Bournemouth chasing shadows. João Pedro added a first-half strike and then doubled his tally after the break, while Henderson completed his brace late on. Bournemouth's Evanilson managed a consolation goal, but it was little more than a footnote in a dominant Chelsea performance. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the margin of victory was far more emphatic than anticipated.
Outcome probability
Chelsea and Bournemouth are gearing up for an entertaining clash in the regular season's sixth round. Both sides have shown glimpses of attacking flair, promising a match full of goals and drama.
Match factors
Chelsea's attacking trio in strong form
João Pedro, Morgan Rogers, and Cole Palmer combine high scoring and assist rates, boosting Chelsea's attack.
João Pedro excels at home
João Pedro averages 1.5 goals per game at home, well above league attacker average of 0.52 goals per game.
Bournemouth's Tavernier key threat
Marcus Tavernier has 3 goals in 4 games with strong away scoring, providing Bournemouth's main offensive outlet.
Bournemouth missing key attackers
Bournemouth's confirmed absences of attackers Adli and Kroupi weaken their offensive options significantly.
Chelsea's defensive stalwart Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix leads Chelsea defenders in tackles and interceptions, crucial against Bournemouth's midfield threats.
The context
Chelsea currently sit 9th in the league with 7 points from 5 games, while Bournemouth find themselves 16th with 3 points from 4 games. Historically, Chelsea have the upper hand, having won 11 of their 19 meetings against Bournemouth.
Key insights
João Pedro
Chelsea
Leads Chelsea in goals and assists, with a strong home scoring rate of 1.5 goals per game, well above league average.
Premier League 26/273 goals and 3 assists in 4 appearances, 0.75 goals and assists per game
Morgan Rogers
Chelsea
Consistent scorer and key attacking figure with 3 goals in 5 games, contributing to Chelsea's offensive strength.
Premier League 26/273 goals in 5 appearances, 0.6 goals per game
Marcus Tavernier
Bournemouth
Bournemouth's main offensive threat with 3 goals in 4 games, showing strong away scoring form.
Premier League 26/273 goals in 4 appearances, 0.75 goals per game
- M
Maxence Lacroix
Chelsea
Defensive stalwart leading Chelsea in tackles and interceptions, crucial for containing Bournemouth's midfield.
Premier League 26/2710 tackles and 6 interceptions in 5 games
Analysis
Chelsea's attacking trio of João Pedro, Morgan Rogers, and Cole Palmer have been in fine form, combining for multiple goals and assists this season. João Pedro, in particular, boasts an impressive home scoring rate of 1.5 goals per game, making him a key threat. Bournemouth's Marcus Tavernier is their standout player, contributing 3 goals in 4 games and providing a significant offensive outlet. However, Bournemouth's attack is weakened by the absence of key forwards Adli and Kroupi. Defensively, Chelsea's Maxence Lacroix has been instrumental with his tackling and interceptions, aiming to contain Bournemouth's midfield threats.
Key facts
- 1.Chelsea have won 11 of 19 meetings against Bournemouth.
- 2.Chelsea are 9th in the league with 7 points from 5 games.
- 3.Bournemouth are 16th with 3 points from 4 games.
- 4.João Pedro leads Chelsea with 3 goals and 3 assists in 4 games.
- 5.Marcus Tavernier is Bournemouth's top scorer with 3 goals in 4 games.
- 6.Chelsea's Maxence Lacroix leads in tackles and interceptions.
- 7.Chelsea's home win probability is 84.6%.
- 8.Predicted total cards in the match: 4.
Prediction
The prediction favours a Chelsea home win with a close 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1, reflecting a competitive first half before Chelsea pull ahead. The match is likely to feature four cards, indicating a spirited contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Chelsea
Away — Bournemouth
The verdict
Expect a thrilling encounter with Chelsea narrowly overcoming Bournemouth. The Blues' attacking prowess and home form should just about see them through in a match that promises excitement until the final whistle.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 14:51 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Henderson
Assist: Palmer
Rogers
Assist: Henderson
Tavernier
Yellow Card
Truffert
Yellow Card
Brooks
João Pedro
Assist: Neto
Evanilson
Adams
Yellow Card
João Pedro
Assist: Pep Chavarría
Christie
Yellow Card
Henderson
Caicedo
Tavernier
Smith
João Pedro
Christie
Neto
Truffert
Rogers
Palmer
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Chelsea
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1E. MartínezG
- 5M. LacroixD
- 6L. ColwillD
- 7Pedro NetoM
- 9João PedroF
- 10C. PalmerF
- 14J. HendersonM
- 17M. RogersF
- 25M. CaicedoM
- 29Pep ChavarríaM
- 34Joshua Kofi AcheampongD
Substitutes
- 2M. PalestraD
- 3W. FofanaD
- 18D. WelbeckF
- 21J. HatoD
- 23Geovany Tcherno QuendaM
- 27M. GustoD
- 39M. PendersG
- 41EstêvãoF
- 45R. LaviaM
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Đ. PetrovićG
- 3A. TruffertD
- 5J. HillD
- 7D. BrooksM
- 9EvanilsonF
- 10R. ChristieM
- 12T. AdamsM
- 14António SilvaD
- 15A. SmithD
- 16M. TavernierM
- 37RayanM
Substitutes
- 4L. CookM
- 6J. SolerD
- 11B. DoakF
- 18B. DiakitéD
- 20M. Di GregorioG
- 24Juanlu SánchezM
- 27A. TóthM
- 29D. JebbisonF
- 30Á. RodríguezF
Chelsea
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Henderson | M | 90 | 9.6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| João Pedro | F | 72 | 8.8 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Pep Chavarría | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. Rogers | F | 84 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| C. Palmer | F | 88 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| L. Colwill | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | M | 83 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/5 |
| M. Lacroix | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Martínez | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Caicedo | M | 72 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Estêvão | F | 6 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Lavia | M | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Gusto | D | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Welbeck | F | 7 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Palestra | D | 18 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Joshua Kofi Acheampong | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Geovany Tcherno Quenda | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Fofana | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Penders | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hato | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bournemouth
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evanilson | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| B. Doak | F | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| R. Christie | M | 73 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Á. Rodríguez | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Adams | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| A. Truffert | D | 84 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| L. Cook | M | 17 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Đ. Petrović | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hill | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | M | 18 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| António Silva | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Tavernier | M | 72 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Brooks | M | 46 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Soler | D | 6 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Smith | D | 72 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Tóth | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Jebbison | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Diakité | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Di Gregorio | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Chelsea to win against Bournemouth.
- What score did Fipster predict for Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Chelsea 3–2 Bournemouth.
- What were the win probabilities for Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
- Fipster's model gave Chelsea a 85% chance of winning, Bournemouth a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.