Charlton vs QPR
Charlton and QPR settle for stalemate
A goalless draw frustrates expectations at The Valley
Charlton and QPR played out a 0-0 draw in the Championship, with neither side able to break the deadlock. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win, proving that sometimes the ball just refuses to find the net.
Outcome probability
Charlton and QPR face off in what promises to be a closely contested fixture in the regular season. Both teams have shown strong form, but this match could hinge on midfield creativity and defensive resilience.
Match factors
Charlton missing key attackers and midfielders
Charlton's top scorers and key midfielder Chalobah are confirmed out, weakening attacking options
Charlton's strong passing midfield presence
Coventry and Jones exceed league passing averages, aiding ball retention and chance creation
QPR's creative midfielder Ilias Chair in form
Chair's recent 2 goals and 1 assist with high passing accuracy gives QPR attacking edge
Charlton's defensive stalwart Amari'i Bell consistent
Bell's high tackle rate and duel success rate provide defensive stability despite team conceding streak
The context
This is the sixth round of the regular season, with Charlton sitting third and QPR just above them in second place. Both sides have accumulated 10 points, but QPR boasts a better goal difference and remains unbeaten so far. Their head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with three wins apiece and three draws in nine meetings, setting the stage for a tight encounter.
Key insights
- C
C. Coventry
Charlton
Coventry's passing accuracy of 77% and high pass volume help Charlton control the midfield and create chances.
Championship 26/27Passing accuracy 77% above league average; averaging 51 passes per game
- L
L. Jones
Charlton
Jones combines excellent passing accuracy with a recent goal-scoring threat, adding offensive support from defence.
Championship 26/27Passing accuracy 87%; scored 2 goals recently
- I
I. Chair
QPR
Chair's recent form with 2 goals and 1 assist, plus 83% passing accuracy, gives QPR a creative edge.
Championship 26/272 goals, 1 assist; 83% passing accuracy
- A
A. Bell
Charlton
Bell's defensive solidity with high tackle and duel success rates provides a backbone for Charlton's defence.
Championship 26/273 tackles per game; 74% duel win rate
Analysis
Charlton's midfield duo, Coventry and Jones, stand out with passing accuracies well above the league average, helping their side maintain possession and create chances. Defensively, Amari'i Bell provides stability despite some recent team struggles at the back. QPR's creative spark comes from Ilias Chair, who has been in fine form with two goals and an assist recently, offering a real threat going forward. However, Charlton's home advantage and balanced squad depth could be the deciding factors in this match.
Key facts
- 1.Charlton and QPR have each won 3 and drawn 3 in their 9 head-to-head meetings.
- 2.QPR currently ranks 2nd with 10 points from 4 games, unbeaten so far.
- 3.Charlton sits 3rd with 10 points from 5 games, including 3 wins.
- 4.QPR has a better goal difference than Charlton this season.
- 5.Head-to-head matches average 2.0 goals, matching the predicted 2-1 scoreline.
- 6.Charlton's Coventry has a passing accuracy of 77%, above the league average for midfielders.
- 7.QPR's Ilias Chair has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist recently, showing strong form.
- 8.Charlton's defender Amari'i Bell maintains a high tackle rate and duel success rate.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a narrow 2-1 victory for Charlton. The home side's probability of winning is the highest among all outcomes, with the 2-1 scoreline being the most likely. While QPR's form is impressive, Charlton's midfield control and defensive grit should see them edge this one.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Charlton
Away — QPR
The verdict
Expect a competitive match with both teams pushing hard, but Charlton's slight edge in midfield and home conditions should secure them the three points. Fans can look forward to a game with a couple of goals and plenty of tactical intrigue.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lamptey
Yellow Card
Leaburn
Dunne
Carey
Adamson
Yellow Card
Clarke-Salter
Yellow Card
Lloyd
Adamson
Smyth
Skipp
Campbell
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
Match Statistics
Charlton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5L. JonesD
- 6C. CoventryM
- 7T. CampbellM
- 9K. Ahearne-GrantM
- 11M. LeaburnF
- 13A. OkonkwoG
- 14S. CareyM
- 17A. BellD
- 18I. MesíkD
- 34O. SkippM
- 44Tyler BindonD
Substitutes
- 8H. KnibbsM
- 16T. OumaM
- 19M. AlliF
- 21T. BrooksG
- 26J. Rankin-CostelloM
- 32A. MwambaD
- 33Micah MbickF
- 35Junior NkengF
QPR
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1P. CharlesG
- 2K. AdamsonD
- 3J. DunneD
- 5R. EdwardsD
- 11P. SmythM
- 15A. LloydF
- 16R. BurrellF
- 18G. KamaraM
- 20H. ValeM
- 24N. MadsenM
- 48T. LampteyD
Substitutes
- 4L. MorrisonD
- 6J. Clarke-SalterD
- 13C. WardG
- 19D. CirkinD
- 23I. AlemayehuM
- 25Justin Patrick Nnamdi ObikwuF
- 27A. MbengueD
- 40J. VaraneM
Charlton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Ahearne-Grant | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| M. Leaburn | F | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/2 |
| L. Jones | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Micah Mbick | F | 25 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| J. Rankin-Costello | M | 45 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Bell | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Bindon | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| C. Coventry | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Alli | F | 2 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| O. Skipp | M | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Campbell | M | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| S. Carey | M | 65 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| I. Mesík | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| A. Okonkwo | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Mwamba | D | 5 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Brooks | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Ouma | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Nkeng | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Knibbs | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
QPR
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Edwards | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| N. Madsen | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| H. Vale | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 0/2 |
| G. Kamara | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| J. Dunne | D | 48 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Cirkin | D | 54 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| P. Charles | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Adamson | D | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Clarke-Salter | D | 42 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Mbengue | D | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Smyth | M | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| A. Lloyd | F | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| T. Lamptey | D | 36 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| R. Burrell | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu | F | 11 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ward | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Varane | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Morrison | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Alemayehu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Charlton vs QPR?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Charlton to win against QPR.
- What score did Fipster predict for Charlton vs QPR?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Charlton 2–1 QPR.
- What were the win probabilities for Charlton vs QPR?
- Fipster's model gave Charlton a 95% chance of winning, QPR a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.