Charlotte vs Nashville SC
Match recap
Nashville SC beat Charlotte 2–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Goodwin scored for Charlotte; Tagseth and Yazbek replied for Nashville SC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.19 for Charlotte versus 0.54 for Nashville SC.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Charlotte win
Actual
1–2
Outcome probability
Charlotte face Nashville SC in a regular season encounter where the visitors took an early lead. Despite trailing at halftime, Charlotte are tipped to mount a comeback and secure all three points.
Match factors
Charlotte's attacking trio in strong form
Idan Toklomati Giorno leads with 11 goals and Pep Biel adds 11 goals plus 7 assists, providing multiple scoring threats
Nashville's prolific front duo
Samuel Surridge (16 goals) and Hany Mukhtar (14 goals) form a potent attacking partnership, challenging Charlotte's defense
Nashville's superior scoring rate and defensive solidity
Nashville averages 2.11 goals scored and concedes only 0.79 per game, better than Charlotte's 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded
Charlotte's key players showing recent goal contributions
Giorno scored 4 goals in last 5 games; Pep Biel and Westwood also involved in recent goals and assists
Charlotte missing key attackers out injured
Confirmed absences of N. Berchimas and A. Goodwin reduce attacking depth, increasing reliance on Giorno and Biel
The context
This match is part of the seventh round of the regular season. Historically, Nashville SC have had the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, winning five of ten encounters, while Charlotte have won three and two ended in draws. The fixture has typically been lively, averaging nearly three goals per game.
Key insights
Idan Toklomati Giorno
Charlotte
Leads Charlotte with 11 goals this season, including 4 in the last 5 games, making him a key factor in their predicted comeback.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 27 apps, 0.41 goals/game
Pep Biel
Charlotte
Creative midfielder with 11 goals and 7 assists, crucial for Charlotte's attacking threat and playmaking.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals and 7 assists in 28 apps
Samuel Surridge
Nashville SC
Top scorer for Nashville with 16 goals, posing a constant threat to Charlotte's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2716 goals in 22 apps, 0.73 goals/game
Hany Mukhtar
Nashville SC
Second top scorer and top assister for Nashville, key to their attacking potency especially at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals and 6 assists in 28 apps
Analysis
Nashville SC started strong, leading 1-0 at halftime thanks to their attacking threats. Their front duo, Samuel Surridge and Hany Mukhtar, have been prolific this season, combining for 30 goals. However, Charlotte's attacking trio, led by Idan Toklomati Giorno and Pep Biel, have shown recent goal-scoring form and creativity, suggesting a potential turnaround. Charlotte's ability to score 11 goals from their top two attackers and their home advantage could prove decisive. Meanwhile, Nashville's solid defensive record will test Charlotte's resilience. The match promises a tactical battle with both sides boasting key offensive weapons.
Key facts
- 1.Charlotte have won 3 of 10 meetings against Nashville SC, who have won 5, with 2 draws.
- 2.The average goals per head-to-head match is 2.9, with Charlotte scoring 14 and Nashville SC 15 in total.
- 3.Archie Goodwin and Edvard Sandvik Tagseth each scored in this fixture.
- 4.Nashville SC average 2.11 goals scored and concede only 0.79 per game this season.
- 5.Charlotte's Idan Toklomati Giorno has scored 11 goals this season, including 4 in the last 5 games.
- 6.Pep Biel contributes both goals (11) and assists (7) for Charlotte, showing creative influence.
- 7.Samuel Surridge leads Nashville SC with 16 goals in 22 games this season.
- 8.Charlotte are missing key attackers N. Berchimas and A. Goodwin due to injury, increasing reliance on Giorno and Biel.
Prediction
Despite trailing 0-1 at halftime, Charlotte are predicted to rally and win 2-1. Their attacking firepower and home form should enable them to overturn the deficit. The predicted scoreline reflects a closely fought contest with Charlotte edging it in the second half.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Charlotte
Away — Nashville SC
The verdict
Charlotte's comeback victory would underline their fighting spirit and attacking quality. Nashville SC will rue their inability to hold the lead but remain a formidable side. Fans can expect an entertaining match with goals and momentum swings.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:11 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tagseth
Assist: Yazbek
Muyl
Yellow Card
Abada
Diani
Muyl
Yazbek
Assist: Mukhtar
Lovitz
Yellow Card
Vargas
Madrigal
Pacius
Qasem
Toklomati Giorno
Biel
Mukhtar
Yellow Card
Goodwin
Penalty
Match Statistics
Charlotte
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. KahlinaG
- 3T. ReamD
- 8A. WestwoodM
- 9I. Toklomati GiornoF
- 11L. AbadaM
- 14N. ByrneD
- 15H. ToffoloD
- 16Pep BielM
- 18K. VargasM
- 28D. DianiM
Substitutes
- 4A. PrivettD
- 7A. GoodwinF
- 13B. BronicoM
- 17L. de la TorreM
- 21T. MillerG
- 22H. KesslerD
- 23D. SchneggD
- 25Tyger SmallsF
- 37R. AlokoF
Nashville SC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2D. LovitzD
- 3M. WoledziD
- 5J. MaherD
- 8P. YazbekM
- 17W. PaciusF
- 19A. MuylM
- 20E. TagsethM
- 22J. BauerD
- 37A. QasemM
- 41W. MadrigalF
- 99B. SchwakeG
Substitutes
- 1J. WillisG
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 7C. EspinozaF
- 9S. SurridgeF
- 10H. MukhtarM
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
- 31A. NajarD
Charlotte
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morrison Agyemang | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ashley Westwood(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tim Ream | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kerwin Calderón Vargas | M | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djibril Diani | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harry Toffolo | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Liel Abada | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Nathan Byrne | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristijan Kahlina | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Idan Toklomati Jorno | F | 83 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 83 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| David Schnegg | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Miller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Kessler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Privett | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Archie Goodwin | F | 17 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Brandt Bronico | M | 45 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Luca De La Torre | M | 45 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodolfo Aloko | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Yazbek | M | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Edvard Sandvik Tagseth | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Brian Schwake | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Maher(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Maxwell Woledzi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Daniel Lovitz | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Warren Madrigal | F | 76 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Ahmed Qasem | M | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Josh Bauer | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Alex Muyl | M | 51 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Woobens Pacius | F | 76 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Andy Najar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeisson Palacios | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Willis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Acosta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Corcoran | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Baker-Whiting | D | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Hany Mukhtar | M | 39 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sam Surridge | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Cristian Espinoza | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Charlotte to win against Nashville SC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Charlotte 2–1 Nashville SC.
- What were the win probabilities for Charlotte vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster's model gave Charlotte a 62% chance of winning, Nashville SC a 19% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 62% confidence — a medium-confidence call.