Charlotte vs Inter Miami
Match recap
Charlotte and Inter Miami drew 0–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.08 for Charlotte versus 0.98 for Inter Miami.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Charlotte win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
Charlotte and Inter Miami face off in the MLS regular season round 4, with both teams eager to assert their dominance early in the campaign. Charlotte's attacking prowess and Inter Miami's star-studded lineup promise an entertaining encounter.
Match factors
Charlotte's striker Idan Toklomati Giorno in strong scoring form
Giorno has 11 goals this season with 4 in last 5 games, leading Charlotte's attack effectively
Lionel Messi's dual threat as scorer and assister
Messi leads Inter Miami with 23 goals and 11 assists, pivotal in attack and playmaking
Pep Biel's creative influence for Charlotte
Biel contributes 11 goals and 7 assists, key to Charlotte's goal creation
Inter Miami's consistent scoring streak
Inter Miami has scored in last 5 matches, with Messi and Suárez leading the charge
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, no confirmed outs affecting key players
The context
This match is part of the MLS regular season, where both teams have shown competitive form. Charlotte aims to capitalize on their home advantage and recent scoring form, while Inter Miami rely heavily on their key players like Lionel Messi and Luis Suárez to make an impact.
Key insights
Idan Toklomati Giorno
Charlotte
Giorno has been in fine form with 11 goals this season, including 4 in the last 5 matches, spearheading Charlotte's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 27 apps, 0.41 avg per game
- L
Lionel Messi Cuccittini
Inter Miami
Messi is a dual threat with 23 goals and 11 assists, pivotal in Inter Miami's offensive play.
Major League Soccer 26/2723 goals and 11 assists in 25 apps
Pep Biel
Charlotte
Biel's creativity shines through with 11 goals and 7 assists, key to Charlotte's goal creation.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals and 7 assists in 28 apps
Analysis
Charlotte's striker Idan Toklomati Giorno has been in excellent form, netting 11 goals this season with 4 in the last 5 matches, making him a significant threat. Pep Biel also contributes creatively with 11 goals and 7 assists, underpinning Charlotte's attacking strategy. Inter Miami boast Lionel Messi, the league's top scorer with 23 goals and 11 assists, alongside Luis Suárez who has 14 goals this season. Despite this firepower, Charlotte's cohesive play and home advantage give them the edge. Historically, head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals, but Charlotte's attacking momentum suggests a higher tally this time.
Key facts
- 1.Charlotte have won 3 of 10 head-to-head meetings against Inter Miami.
- 2.Inter Miami have won 4 of the 10 head-to-head matches.
- 3.There have been 3 draws in their previous 10 encounters.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.4 total goals per game.
- 5.Idan Toklomati Giorno has scored 11 goals this season for Charlotte.
- 6.Lionel Messi leads Inter Miami with 23 goals and 11 assists.
- 7.Pep Biel has contributed 11 goals and 7 assists for Charlotte this season.
- 8.Luis Suárez has scored 14 goals for Inter Miami this season.
Prediction
We predict Charlotte to take the lead by halftime with a 1-0 scoreline and extend their advantage to a 3-1 victory by fulltime. The match is expected to feature around 4 cards, reflecting a competitive but disciplined encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Charlotte
Away — Inter Miami
The verdict
Charlotte's blend of form, home advantage, and key player performances should see them through to a confident 3-1 win over Inter Miami. Fans can expect a lively match with goals and tactical battles, but ultimately Charlotte's attacking edge will prevail.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Silvetti
Yellow Card
Zaha
Yellow Card
Westwood
Yellow Card
Reguilón
Ruíz
Bronico
Abada
Morales
Ayala
Segovia
Yellow Card
Toffolo
Yellow Card
Daniel Pinter
Zaha
Toklomati Giorno
Match Statistics
Charlotte
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. KahlinaG
- 3T. ReamD
- 8A. WestwoodM
- 9I. Toklomati GiornoF
- 10W. ZahaM
- 11L. AbadaM
- 13B. BronicoM
- 14N. ByrneD
- 15H. ToffoloD
- 16Pep BielM
Substitutes
- 4A. PrivettD
- 7A. GoodwinF
- 18K. VargasF
- 21T. MillerG
- 23D. SchneggD
- 25Tyger SmallsF
- 28D. DianiM
- 39J. NeeleyD
- 48A. JohnM
Inter Miami
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2G. LujánD
- 3ReguilónD
- 9L. SuárezF
- 17I. FrayD
- 20S. MoralesM
- 22D. AyalaM
- 24Mateo SilvettiM
- 32N. AllenD
- 34R. Ríos NovoG
- 41D. RuízM
- 56Daniel PinterM
Substitutes
- 4F. MuraD
- 8T. SegoviaM
- 16MicaelD
- 19G. BerterameF
- 21T. AllendeF
- 42Y. BrightM
- 76Ezequiel Abadia-RedaD
- 88A. ShawM
- 97D. St. ClairG
Charlotte
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristijan Kahlina | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Byrne | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Ashley Westwood(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Tim Ream | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Harry Toffolo | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Brandt Bronico | M | 71 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Morrison Agyemang | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liel Abada | M | 71 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Idan Toklomati Jorno | F | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Wilfried Zaha | M | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jack Neeley | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aron John | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Miller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Privett | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Schnegg | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djibril Diani | M | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kerwin Calderón Vargas | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Archie Goodwin | F | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
Inter Miami
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocco Ríos Novo | G | 90 | 9.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Reguilón | D | 68 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Noah Allen | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Morales | M | 73 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Gonzalo Luján | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pinter | M | 80 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Ian Fray | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| David Ayala | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mateo Silvetti | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Luis Suárez(C) | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| David Ruíz | M | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Facundo Mura | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dayne St. Clair | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Micael | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yannick Bright | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Abadia-Reda | D | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Germán Berterame | F | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Alexander Shaw | M | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Telasco Segovia | M | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tadeo Allende | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Charlotte vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Charlotte to win against Inter Miami.
- What score did Fipster predict for Charlotte vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Charlotte 3–1 Inter Miami.
- What were the win probabilities for Charlotte vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster's model gave Charlotte a 95% chance of winning, Inter Miami a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.