Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo
Charlotte and Houston Dynamo share the spoils
A goalless stalemate keeps both sides waiting for a breakthrough.
Charlotte and Houston Dynamo played out a 0-0 draw in a match where neither side could find the net. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win, proving that sometimes the football gods have other plans.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Charlotte win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
Charlotte and Houston Dynamo face off in an intriguing MLS regular season fixture. Both teams have shown attacking promise, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Match factors
Pep Biel's dual threat at home
Pep Biel leads Charlotte in goals (9) and assists (5), excelling especially in home matches, providing a key attacking edge.
Guilherme's scoring consistency for Houston
Guilherme is Houston's top scorer with 11 goals and maintains strong recent form, posing a significant threat.
Charlotte's strong home scoring streak
Charlotte has scored in their last 5 home games, indicating strong offensive momentum at home.
Houston's creative midfield duo
Jack McGlynn and Mateusz Bogusz provide Houston with creative passing and assist potential, enhancing their attacking options.
Houston missing key goalkeeper and defender
Houston is without goalkeeper Jimmy Maurer and defender Lucas Halter, potentially weakening defensive stability.
The context
Houston Dynamo currently sit second in the league with 38 points from 21 games, boasting a record of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses. Charlotte have been strong at home, scoring in their last five home matches, which adds an extra edge to this fixture.
Key insights
Pep Biel
Charlotte
Pep Biel leads Charlotte in goals (9) and assists (5), excelling especially in home matches, providing a key attacking edge.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals and 5 assists in 19 appearances, strong home form
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
Guilherme is Houston's top scorer with 11 goals and maintains strong recent form, posing a significant threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 19 appearances, consistent recent form
Jack McGlynn
Houston Dynamo
Jack McGlynn provides creative passing and assist potential, enhancing Houston's attacking options.
Major League Soccer 26/275 assists in 15 appearances, strong recent away assist form
Analysis
Charlotte's attacking threat is spearheaded by Pep Biel, who leads the team with 9 goals and 5 assists, particularly excelling in home games. Houston's main danger comes from Guilherme, their top scorer with 11 goals, supported creatively by Jack McGlynn and Mateusz Bogusz. However, Houston will miss key defensive players, including goalkeeper Jimmy Maurer and defender Lucas Halter, which could impact their defensive solidity. The predicted halftime score of 1-1 suggests a balanced first half, with Charlotte expected to pull ahead in the second half.
Key facts
- 1.Houston Dynamo are second in the league with 38 points from 21 games (12 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses).
- 2.Charlotte have scored in their last five home games, showing strong offensive momentum.
- 3.Pep Biel leads Charlotte with 9 goals and 5 assists, excelling particularly at home.
- 4.Guilherme is Houston's top scorer with 11 goals, maintaining consistent form.
- 5.Houston will be without goalkeeper Jimmy Maurer and defender Lucas Halter, weakening their defence.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-1, with a fulltime score of 2-1 favouring Charlotte.
- 7.Four cards are expected in the match, suggesting a competitive encounter.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 victory for Charlotte, with the home side scoring twice to Houston's single reply. The match is expected to feature four cards, indicating a competitive and possibly feisty encounter. Pep Biel's dual role as top scorer and assister for Charlotte is likely to be decisive.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Charlotte
Away — Houston Dynamo
The verdict
In summary, Charlotte's strong home form and key player performances should see them narrowly overcome Houston Dynamo. The visitors' defensive absences may prove costly, tipping the scales in favour of the home side in this MLS showdown.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Andrade
Yellow Card
Ream
Yellow Card
Diani
Yellow Card
McGuire
Resch
Yellow Card
Diani
Abada
Westwood
Yellow Card
Toklomati Giorno
Artur
Yellow Card
Bouzat
Saint-Maximin
Yellow Card
Saint-Maximin
Guilherme
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +30 | 43 |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +4 | 39 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | +14 | 36 |
Match Statistics
Charlotte
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1K. KahlinaG
- 3T. ReamD
- 8A. WestwoodM
- 9I. Toklomati GiornoF
- 10A. Saint-MaximinF
- 11L. AbadaF
- 16Pep BielM
- 22H. KesslerD
- 23D. SchneggD
- 28D. DianiM
- 35Will ClearyD
Substitutes
- 4A. PrivettD
- 7A. GoodwinF
- 13B. BronicoM
- 14N. ByrneD
- 17L. de la TorreM
- 21T. MillerG
- 25Tyger SmallsF
- 37R. AlokoF
- 44M. AgyemangD
Houston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5Lucas HalterD
- 6ArturM
- 11L. EnnaliD
- 16H. HerreraM
- 19M. BoguszM
- 20GuilhermeM
- 23D. McGuireF
- 30A. BouzatM
- 31J. BondG
- 34A. ReschD
- 36Felipe AndradeD
Substitutes
- 3Antônio CarlosD
- 14D. HolmesM
- 17N. MarkanichF
- 18D. SamassékouM
- 21F. NegriD
- 22M. AranaM
- 24A. IbrahimF
- 26B. GillinghamG
Charlotte
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kahlina | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Schnegg | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Pep Biel | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0/2 |
| H. Kessler | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Bronico | M | 15 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Ream | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Diani | M | 70 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. de la Torre | M | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Westwood | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Saint-Maximin | F | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| I. Toklomati Giorno | F | 75 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Will Cleary | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Abada | F | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Aloko | F | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Goodwin | F | 5 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Miller | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Privett | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Agyemang | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Houston Dynamo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bogusz | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2/3 |
| H. Herrera | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| J. Bond | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Guilherme | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3/3 |
| Lucas Halter | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ennali | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Resch | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Bouzat | M | 79 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Arana | M | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. McGuire | F | 66 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Ibrahim | F | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Holmes | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antônio Carlos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Samassékou | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Negri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Markanich | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Gillingham | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |