Charlotte vs FC Dallas
Charlotte rallies to edge FC Dallas
A spirited comeback sees Charlotte overturn a two-goal deficit to claim a narrow 3-2 victory.
FC Dallas looked comfortable with early goals from L. Farrington and P. Musa, but Charlotte staged a determined fightback after the break. I. Toklomati Giorno's brace, including a stoppage-time winner, alongside H. Toffolo's strike, sealed a thrilling turnaround. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved more dramatic than expected.
Outcome probability
Charlotte and FC Dallas face off in the 28th round of the regular season, both looking to strengthen their positions. Charlotte's attacking midfield creativity and FC Dallas' defensive resilience set the stage for an intriguing encounter.
Match factors
FC Dallas missing top scorer Petar Musa
Petar Musa, FC Dallas' leading scorer with 18 goals, is out due to international duty, weakening their attack.
Pep Biel's strong scoring and assisting form
Pep Biel has 10 goals and 6 assists this season, well above league midfielder averages, driving Charlotte's attack.
Charlotte's attacking midfield creativity
Ashley Westwood and Pep Biel provide high assist rates and key passes, likely to unlock Dallas defense.
Charlotte's recent scoring streak away
Charlotte has scored in last 5 away games, showing strong offensive momentum on the road.
Dallas defensive reliance on Shaq Moore
Shaq Moore's defensive consistency is crucial to contain Charlotte's attackers, especially Biel and Giorno.
The context
FC Dallas currently sit 4th in their league with 44 points from 26 games, boasting a record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses. Charlotte have shown consistent scoring form recently, particularly away from home, which could prove decisive in this fixture.
Key insights
Pep Biel
Charlotte
Pep Biel has been a standout performer with 10 goals and 6 assists, well above league midfielder averages, driving Charlotte's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals and 6 assists in 25 appearances this season
- P
Petar Musa
FC Dallas
FC Dallas will miss their top scorer Petar Musa, who has 18 goals this season, weakening their attacking threat significantly.
Major League Soccer 26/2718 goals this season
Ashley Westwood
Charlotte
Ashley Westwood provides creative midfield presence with 4 assists and 3 goals, key to unlocking Dallas' defence.
Major League Soccer 26/274 assists and 3 goals in 22 appearances
- S
Shaq Moore
FC Dallas
Shaq Moore's defensive consistency is crucial for FC Dallas to contain Charlotte's attackers, especially Biel and Giorno.
Major League Soccer 26/27High minutes and leadership role in defence
Analysis
Charlotte's Pep Biel stands out with 10 goals and 6 assists this season, driving their attack effectively. FC Dallas will miss their top scorer Petar Musa, who is away on international duty, weakening their offensive threat. Dallas rely heavily on defender Shaq Moore for defensive stability, but Charlotte's midfield creativity, led by Ashley Westwood and Biel, is likely to unlock their defence. The predicted halftime score of 1-1 aligns with the expected fulltime 2-1 result, suggesting a competitive match with moments of attacking flair from both sides.
Key facts
- 1.Charlotte's Pep Biel has scored 10 goals and provided 6 assists this season.
- 2.FC Dallas are 4th in the league with 44 points from 26 games (W12 D8 L6).
- 3.Petar Musa, FC Dallas' top scorer with 18 goals, is out due to international duty.
- 4.Charlotte have scored in their last 5 away games, showing strong offensive momentum.
- 5.Shaq Moore is a key defensive figure for FC Dallas, crucial to their stability.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a home win for Charlotte with a 2-1 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, reflecting a balanced first half before Charlotte edge ahead. The match is also predicted to see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Charlotte
Away — FC Dallas
No standout top scorers flagged for FC Dallas
The verdict
Charlotte's attacking prowess and FC Dallas' missing key striker set the tone for a narrow home victory. Expect a lively match with both teams scoring, but ultimately Charlotte's creativity and home advantage should see them through.
Prediction generated 27 Sep 2026, 02:33 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Farrington
Assist: Johansson
Abubakar
Schnegg
Delgado
Farrington
Bronico
Musa
Assist: Moreno
Byrne
Abada
Toklomati Giorno
Assist: Saint-Maximin
Toffolo
Assist: Toklomati Giorno
Johansson
Urhoghide
Yellow Card
Valiente
Agyemang
Yellow Card
Toklomati Giorno
Assist: Biel
Saint-Maximin
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +31 | 50 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +12 | 47 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 46 |
Match Statistics
Charlotte
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. KahlinaG
- 8A. WestwoodM
- 9I. Toklomati GiornoF
- 10A. Saint-MaximinM
- 11L. AbadaM
- 13B. BronicoM
- 14N. ByrneD
- 16Pep BielM
- 22H. KesslerD
- 23D. SchneggD
- 44M. AgyemangD
Substitutes
- 4A. PrivettD
- 15H. ToffoloD
- 17L. de la TorreM
- 21T. MillerG
- 25Tyger SmallsF
- 28D. DianiM
- 35Will ClearyD
- 37R. AlokoF
- 71N. RichmondF
FC Dallas
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 8P. DelgadoM
- 12C. CappisM
- 14H. JohanssonM
- 18S. MooreM
- 21J. ValienteM
- 23L. FarringtonF
- 32N. NorrisD
- 42DanielG
- 55KaickM
Substitutes
- 6R. BinyaminM
- 7D. JobM
- 9P. MusaF
- 10S. MorenoF
- 17RamiroM
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 28Samuel SarverF
- 40J. SiroisG
- 77B. KamungoF
Charlotte
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Toklomati Giorno | F | 90 | 9.8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0/1 |
| H. Toffolo | D | 30 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3/3 |
| R. Aloko | F | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| H. Kessler | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| A. Saint-Maximin | M | 93 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3/5 |
| K. Kahlina | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Abada | M | 69 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Agyemang | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. de la Torre | M | 30 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Will Cleary | D | 21 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Bronico | M | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Schnegg | D | 60 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| N. Richmond | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Diani | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Miller | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Privett | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Dallas
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Farrington | F | 60 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| P. Musa | F | 30 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| P. Delgado | M | 60 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| B. Kamungo | F | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| S. Moreno | F | 30 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| H. Johansson | M | 75 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| L. Abubakar | D | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Norris | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Valiente | M | 84 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Kaick | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| C. Cappis | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Ibeagha | D | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Job | M | 6 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Moore | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| O. Urhoghide | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Sirois | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Binyamin | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Sarver | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramiro | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Charlotte vs FC Dallas?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Charlotte to win against FC Dallas.
- What score did Fipster predict for Charlotte vs FC Dallas?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Charlotte 2–1 FC Dallas.
- What were the win probabilities for Charlotte vs FC Dallas?
- Fipster's model gave Charlotte a 85% chance of winning, FC Dallas a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.