Charlotte vs CF Montreal
Charlotte cruises to commanding win
L. Abada's hat-trick seals a dominant 4-0 victory for Charlotte.
Charlotte made a strong statement with a 4-0 triumph over CF Montreal in Major League Soccer. I. Toklomati Giorno opened the scoring early on, setting the tone before L. Abada took over with a second-half hat-trick to put the game beyond doubt. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was even more emphatic than the forecasted 3-0.
Outcome probability
Charlotte look poised to deliver a commanding performance against CF Montreal in this Regular Season clash. With strong attacking options and solid recent form, the home side should control the game from the outset.
Match factors
Charlotte's potent attacking trio leads offensive threat
Idan Toklomati Giorno, Pep Biel, and Liel Abada combine strong scoring and assist rates, exploiting CF Montreal's weak defense.
Charlotte's home scoring form outpaces league average
Charlotte averages 1.93 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 3-0 win.
Idan Toklomati Giorno's recent scoring surge
Giorno scored 5 goals in last 5 games, indicating peak form for this match.
Absence of Archie Goodwin reduces attacking depth for Charlotte
Goodwin's confirmed foot injury sidelines a 3-goal contributor, limiting options off the bench.
Prince-Osei Owusu is CF Montreal's key offensive outlet
Owusu leads with 13 goals and 6 assists, but CF Montreal's overall low scoring limits impact.
The context
This fixture is part of the 2026 Regular Season, Round 32. Historically, CF Montreal have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, but Charlotte's home scoring form and current momentum suggest a shift in fortunes for this encounter.
Key insights
Idan Toklomati Giorno
Charlotte
Giorno is in peak form, scoring 5 goals in his last 5 games, making him a key threat at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 27 apps, 0.48 goals/game
Pep Biel
Charlotte
Biel's creativity shines with 7 assists and 10 goals this season, driving Charlotte's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals and 7 assists in 28 apps
Prince-Osei Owusu
CF Montreal
Owusu leads Montreal's attack with 13 goals and 6 assists but faces a tough defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals and 6 assists in 24 apps
Analysis
Charlotte's attacking trio, led by Idan Toklomati Giorno and Pep Biel, offers a potent threat, combining impressive goal and assist tallies. Giorno's recent scoring spree, netting five goals in his last five games, highlights his peak form. Meanwhile, CF Montreal rely heavily on Prince-Osei Owusu, their top scorer and assister, but their overall low scoring record limits their offensive impact. Charlotte's home average of nearly two goals per game further supports their predicted dominance.
Key facts
- 1.Charlotte have a 96.5% probability of winning this match.
- 2.The most likely fulltime scoreline is 3-0 in favour of Charlotte.
- 3.Charlotte average 1.93 goals per home game, above the league average.
- 4.Idan Toklomati Giorno has scored 5 goals in his last 5 games.
- 5.CF Montreal's Prince-Osei Owusu leads his team with 13 goals and 6 assists.
- 6.Charlotte and CF Montreal have met 9 times: Charlotte won 3, CF Montreal 5, with 1 draw.
- 7.Head-to-head matches average 2.3 goals per game.
- 8.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 to Charlotte.
Prediction
We expect Charlotte to take an early lead, heading into halftime 1-0 up. The second half should see them extend their advantage, finishing comfortably at 3-0. The match is also likely to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Charlotte
Away — CF Montreal
The verdict
Charlotte's blend of attacking firepower and home form makes them the clear favourites to secure a comprehensive victory over CF Montreal. Expect a confident display that sees them comfortably outscore their opponents by three goals to nil.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 04:40 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Toklomati Giorno
Assist: Saint-Maximin
Loturi
Streit
Ríos
Morales
Yellow Card
Aloko
Abada
Assist: Diani
Westwood
Synchuk
Saint-Maximin
Abada
Assist: Toklomati Giorno
Longstaff
Abada
Assist: Biel
Biel
Toklomati Giorno
Pereira
Yellow Card
Herbers
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Charlotte
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. KahlinaG
- 8A. WestwoodM
- 9I. Toklomati GiornoF
- 10A. Saint-MaximinM
- 14N. ByrneD
- 15H. ToffoloD
- 16Pep BielM
- 22H. KesslerD
- 28D. DianiM
- 37R. AlokoM
- 44M. AgyemangD
Substitutes
- 4A. PrivettD
- 6A. DoucouréM
- 11L. AbadaF
- 17L. de la TorreM
- 20B. CoulibalyM
- 21T. MillerG
- 23D. SchneggD
- 25Tyger SmallsF
- 71N. RichmondF
CF Montreal
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4B. VeraD
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 14D. RíosF
- 16W. CarmonaM
- 18H. SynchukF
- 22V. LoturiM
- 23N. StreitF
- 24E. MoralesD
- 27D. BugajD
- 41S. KeitaG
Substitutes
- 1S. BrezaG
- 5B. CraigD
- 6S. PietteM
- 7D. PereiraM
- 10A. SánchezF
- 17D. SealyF
- 21F. HerbersF
- 28V. RadojevićD
- 29O. EscobarF
Charlotte
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Abada | F | 25 | 9.1 | 3 | — | 4 | 3 | — | 0/1 |
| I. Toklomati Giorno | F | 84 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Pep Biel | M | 84 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2/3 |
| A. Saint-Maximin | M | 76 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/4 |
| D. Diani | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| H. Kessler | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Agyemang | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 76 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Toffolo | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. de la Torre | M | 14 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Doucouré | M | 6 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| K. Kahlina | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Aloko | M | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Richmond | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Privett | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Coulibaly | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Schnegg | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Miller | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Synchuk | F | 76 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2/3 |
| M. Longstaff | M | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| B. Vera | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Escobar | F | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Streit | F | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Sealy | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| W. Carmona | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| F. Herbers | F | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Petrasso | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Loturi | M | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Keita | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ríos | F | 63 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Sánchez | F | 27 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bugaj | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Morales | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| D. Pereira | M | 8 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. Craig | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Breza | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Piette | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Radojević | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Charlotte vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Charlotte to win against CF Montreal.
- What score did Fipster predict for Charlotte vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Charlotte 3–0 CF Montreal.
- What were the win probabilities for Charlotte vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's model gave Charlotte a 95% chance of winning, CF Montreal a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.