Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama

Serie AMatchweek 21
Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina · 22,600 cap
Fipster Pick
Away Winmedium

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This clash between Chapecoense-sc and Vasco DA Gama promises a competitive encounter, with both sides eager to improve their league standings as the regular season progresses.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
1–2
Half-time1–1
Vasco DA Gama Win
MEDIUM
Confidence
Chapecoense-sc 25%Draw 26%Vasco DA Gama 49%

The context

Chapecoense-sc sit near the foot of the table with 21 points from 33 games, struggling to find consistent form. Vasco DA Gama, positioned 14th with 38 points from 32 matches, have shown more resilience but remain outside the top tier. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been tight, with two wins apiece and seven draws in 11 encounters.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Vasco's Gómez leads scoring with 5 goals

Andrés Gómez is Vasco's top scorer with 5 goals this season, providing a key offensive edge

Statistical Edgehigh

Giovanni Augusto's creative influence

Giovanni Augusto leads Chapecoense with 6 assists, a standout creative force

Tactical Advantagemedium

Vasco's midfield control and passing

Vasco midfielders like Thiago Mendes and Gómez have high passing accuracy and minutes, likely to control midfield

Form Momentummedium

Chapecoense's Marcinho shows recent scoring form

Marcinho scored 2 goals in last 10 away games, showing potential to score despite team's struggles

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have no confirmed absences, so strongest lineups expected

Analysis

The first half is likely to be a cagey affair, ending 1-1 as both teams find their rhythm. Chapecoense-sc's Marcinho, their top scorer with three goals, could provide the home side's attacking spark. Meanwhile, Vasco's midfield dynamo Andrés Gómez, leading his team with five goals, is expected to be a key threat. Giovanni Augusto's creativity for Chapecoense-sc, with six assists, will be crucial in unlocking Vasco's defence. Vasco's midfield control, led by Thiago Mendes and Gómez, suggests they will dominate possession and create the chances needed to edge ahead in the second half.

Prediction

We predict Vasco DA Gama to clinch a 2-1 victory after a balanced first half. The away side's superior midfield control and goal-scoring threats should see them pull ahead in the latter stages, overcoming Chapecoense-sc's resistance.

Key facts

  1. 1.Chapecoense-sc are 20th in the league with 21 points from 33 games (W4 D9 L20).
  2. 2.Vasco DA Gama are 14th with 38 points from 32 games (W10 D8 L14).
  3. 3.In 11 head-to-head meetings, both teams have won twice, with seven draws.
  4. 4.Marcinho is Chapecoense-sc's top scorer with 3 goals in 25 appearances.
  5. 5.Andrés Gómez leads Vasco with 5 goals in 27 appearances.
  6. 6.Giovanni Augusto has provided 6 assists for Chapecoense-sc, the highest in his team.
  7. 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-1, with a fulltime score of 1-2 favoring Vasco DA Gama.
  8. 8.No confirmed injuries for either team, so strongest lineups expected.

The verdict

Expect a tightly contested match with moments of quality from key players. Vasco DA Gama's ability to manage the midfield battle and capitalize on chances should ultimately secure them the win in this regular season fixture.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Chapecoense-sc

Marcinho

Marcinho

Attacker

Chapecoense-sc

Total Goals
3
League avg: 0.95
25 played
18 starts
1409 mins
~56 mins/game
W. Clar

W. Clar

Midfielder

Chapecoense-sc

Total Goals
3
League avg: 0.95
17 played
9 starts
777 mins
~46 mins/game

Away — Vasco DA Gama

A. Gómez

A. Gómez

Midfielder

Vasco DA Gama

Total Goals
5
League avg: 0.95
27 played
25 starts
2182 mins
~81 mins/game
Thiago Mendes

Thiago Mendes

Midfielder

Vasco DA Gama

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.95
29 played
29 starts
2373 mins
~82 mins/game
David

David

Attacker

Vasco DA Gama

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.95
32 played
16 starts
1147 mins
~36 mins/game

Prediction generated 5 Nov 2026, 00:28 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama?
Fipster's AI model predicts Vasco DA Gama to win against Chapecoense-sc.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama?
Fipster predicts a final score of Chapecoense-sc 1–2 Vasco DA Gama.
What are the win probabilities for Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama?
Fipster's model gives Chapecoense-sc a 25% chance of winning, Vasco DA Gama a 49% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 49% confidence — a medium-confidence call.