Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc edges Sao Paulo in tight tussle
Bruno Pacheco's first-half strike secures a narrow win for the hosts.
Chapecoense-sc claimed a slender 1-0 victory over Sao Paulo thanks to Bruno Pacheco's 26th-minute goal. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a more comfortable 3-1 win, the actual scoreline was tighter but the home win call was spot on.
Outcome probability
Chapecoense-sc face Sao Paulo in a regular season clash where the home side looks poised to capitalise on their attacking momentum and tactical advantages.
Match factors
Chapecoense's attacking midfield creativity
Giovanni Augusto and Marcinho provide strong attacking support, boosting goal chances
Calleri's scoring threat for Sao Paulo
Calleri leads Sao Paulo with 7 goals, a key scoring outlet especially away
Chapecoense missing key midfielder Rafael Carvalheira
Rafael Carvalheira's absence due to knee injury reduces midfield goal threat and creativity
Chapecoense's recent scoring streak at home
Chapecoense has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, showing attacking momentum
Bruno Pacheco's set-piece and assist role
Pacheco's 3 assists and set-piece duties make him a key creator for Chapecoense
The context
In their 15 previous encounters, Chapecoense-sc have won 4 times, Sao Paulo 5, with 6 draws, showing a fairly balanced rivalry. Currently, Chapecoense-sc sit 20th in the league with 10 points, while Sao Paulo are 12th with 27 points. Despite Sao Paulo's superior goal difference, Chapecoense-sc's recent home form and attacking creativity provide them with a solid platform.
Key insights
Marcinho
Chapecoense-sc
Consistent goal scorer with 2 goals in last 5 games, key to Chapecoense-sc's attacking threat at home.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 21 appearances, 0.4 avg per game last 5
J. Calleri
Sao Paulo
Top scorer for Sao Paulo with 7 goals, a significant threat especially away from home.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 19 appearances, 0.37 avg per game season
Bruno Pacheco
Chapecoense-sc
Top assister with 3 assists and set-piece duties, crucial for creating chances.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 18 appearances, 0.17 avg per game season
- R
Rafael Carvalheira
Chapecoense-sc
His absence due to knee injury reduces midfield creativity and goal threat for Chapecoense-sc.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 15 appearances
Analysis
Chapecoense-sc have scored in four of their last five home games, demonstrating a growing attacking threat. Key contributors like Marcinho, who has netted twice in recent matches, and Bruno Pacheco, the team's top assister with three assists, bolster their offensive play. Sao Paulo's top scorer, J. Calleri, with seven goals, remains a threat but may find it tough against Chapecoense-sc's defensive setup. The absence of Chapecoense-sc's midfielder Rafael Carvalheira due to a knee injury could hamper midfield creativity, but the home side's set-piece prowess and attacking midfield creativity are expected to compensate.
Key facts
- 1.Chapecoense-sc have won 4 of 15 head-to-head matches against Sao Paulo, who have 5 wins and 6 draws.
- 2.Chapecoense-sc are 20th in the league with 10 points from 21 games (1 win, 7 draws, 13 losses).
- 3.Sao Paulo are 12th with 27 points from 22 games (7 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses).
- 4.Sao Paulo have a significantly better goal difference (+24) compared to Chapecoense-sc (-23).
- 5.Chapecoense-sc have scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches, showing attacking momentum.
- 6.Marcinho has scored 2 goals in his last 5 games, making him a key home contributor.
- 7.Bruno Pacheco leads Chapecoense-sc with 3 assists and handles set-piece duties.
- 8.J. Calleri is Sao Paulo's top scorer with 7 goals this season.
Prediction
We predict Chapecoense-sc to lead 1-0 at halftime and extend their advantage to a 3-1 victory by full time. The match is expected to be competitive but ultimately controlled by the home side, with a likely total of four cards reflecting a moderately physical encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Chapecoense-sc
Away — Sao Paulo
The verdict
Chapecoense-sc's blend of recent scoring form, key player contributions, and tactical advantages should see them through to a confident 3-1 win over Sao Paulo. Fans can expect an entertaining match with moments of quality and competitive spirit.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pacheco
Assist: Giovanni Augusto
Calleri
Danielzinho
Unknown
Marcinho
Yellow Card
Unknown
Heitor
Maia
Luciano
Yellow Card
Túlio
Yago Felipe
Yellow Card
Yago Felipe
Giovanni Augusto
Cauly
Camilo
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 |  Sao Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 |  Santos | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -3 | 26 |
| 19 |  Vasco DA Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -22 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Chapecoense-sc
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3DomaD
- 5HeitorD
- 7MarcinhoM
- 9TúlioF
- 10Giovanni AugustoF
- 21Kauan Faria GomesD
- 27CamiloM
- 88Yago FelipeM
- 91Bruno PachecoD
- 98AndersonG
Substitutes
- 12FernandoD
- 15Rafael ThyereD
- 16Bruno MatiasM
- 18Neto PessoaF
- 19David AntunesM
- 26EvertonD
- 29F. RossiF
- 30Matheus AurélioG
- 31GarcezF
- 70RubensM
- 80M. CarvalhoM
- 97ÊnioM
Sao Paulo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9J. CalleriF
- 10LucianoM
- 12IagoD
- 19Lucas RamonD
- 22Domingos DuarteD
- 23RafaelG
- 29Pablo MaiaM
- 35SabinoD
- 37ArturM
- 80CaulyM
- 94DanielzinhoM
Substitutes
- 8Marcos AntônioM
- 11FerreiraF
- 17André SilvaF
- 18WendellD
- 20Aurélio ButaD
- 28NewtonM
- 31Carlos CoronelG
- 34P. dos SantosF
- 43G. SantanaF
- 46Pedro FerreiraM
- 48D. FerreiraM
- 54Osorio LuisD
Chapecoense-sc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Giovanni Augusto | F | 74 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 6 | — |
| Kauan | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Doma(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Camilo | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Yago Felipe | M | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marcinho | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira | F | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Heitor | D | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rafael Thyere | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ênio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neto Pessoa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Carvalho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Antunes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubens Tadeu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maurício Garcez | F | 32 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | D | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando | D | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Rossi | F | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Sao Paulo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domingos Duarte | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Rafael | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sabino | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Maia | M | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Cauly | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Iago Borduchi | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Jonathan Calleri(C) | F | 31 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Danielzinho | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Luciano | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luis Osorio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Coronel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wendell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aurélio Buta | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djhordney Ferreira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Silva | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferreirinha | F | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Marcos Antônio | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Newton | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Santana | F | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |