Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol
Mirassol snatches win at Chapecoense-sc
A late own goal seals a narrow 2-1 victory for the visitors.
Chapecoense-sc started brightly with Kauan Faria Gomes scoring early, but Mirassol fought back despite a missed penalty by Reinaldo at 20'. Reinaldo redeemed himself with a stoppage-time penalty before an own goal by Anderson in the second half handed Mirassol the win. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win, proving the visitors' resilience.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its conclusion, Chapecoense-sc and Mirassol face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides have their work cut out, but the home side looks poised to make the most of their attacking opportunities.
Match factors
Chapecoense-sc's home scoring streak
Chapecoense-sc has scored in all last 5 home games, showing strong attacking form at home
Giovanni Augusto's creative influence
Giovanni Augusto leads Chapecoense-sc with 5 assists, key to unlocking defenses
Eduardo's recent scoring form
Eduardo has 7 goals this season with strong recent home form, a key threat for Mirassol
Igor Formiga's dual threat from defense
Igor Formiga contributes 4 goals and 5 assists, providing set-piece threat and defensive solidity
Full squad availability for Chapecoense-sc
No confirmed injuries for Chapecoense-sc, allowing full strength selection
The context
Mirassol currently sits 16th in the league with 37 points, while Chapecoense-sc lingers near the bottom at 20th with 21 points. Despite Mirassol's superior league position and a strong head-to-head record—winning four of their last five meetings against Chapecoense-sc—the home side is expected to turn the tide in this fixture.
Key insights
Marcinho
Chapecoense-sc
Top scorer for Chapecoense-sc with 5 goals, showing strong home scoring form.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 30 appearances, 0.17 goals/game
Giovanni Augusto
Chapecoense-sc
Leading assist provider with 5 assists, key playmaker and set-piece taker.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 24 appearances, 0.21 assists/game
Eduardo
Mirassol
Top scorer for Mirassol with 7 goals, strong recent home form.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 24 appearances, 0.29 goals/game
Igor Formiga
Chapecoense-sc
Contributes 4 goals and 5 assists, providing set-piece threat and defensive solidity.
Serie A 26/274 goals and 5 assists in 29 appearances
Analysis
Chapecoense-sc has been consistent in front of their own fans, scoring in each of their last five home games. Their attacking threat is spearheaded by Marcinho, who has netted five goals this season and boasts a solid home scoring record. Giovanni Augusto's creativity, with five assists, will be crucial in unlocking Mirassol's defence. Mirassol's Eduardo, the team's top scorer with seven goals, remains a key threat, especially given his recent form. However, Chapecoense-sc's full squad availability and set-piece prowess, notably from Igor Formiga who contributes both goals and assists, could prove decisive.
Key facts
- 1.Mirassol leads the head-to-head with 4 wins in 5 matches against Chapecoense-sc.
- 2.Chapecoense-sc ranks 20th in the league with 21 points from 32 games.
- 3.Mirassol holds 16th place with 37 points from 32 games.
- 4.Chapecoense-sc has scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- 5.Marcinho is Chapecoense-sc's top scorer with 5 goals this season.
- 6.Giovanni Augusto leads Chapecoense-sc with 5 assists.
- 7.Eduardo is Mirassol's top scorer with 7 goals this season.
- 8.Igor Formiga contributes both goals and assists, adding set-piece threat.
Prediction
We anticipate Chapecoense-sc to take an early lead, going into halftime 1-0 up. Mirassol will respond, but the home side's resilience and attacking edge should see them clinch a 2-1 victory by full time. Expect a competitive match with a few cards shown, likely around three in total.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Chapecoense-sc
Away — Mirassol
The verdict
This fixture offers a chance for Chapecoense-sc to defy recent head-to-head trends and secure a vital win. With key players in form and no injury concerns, the home side looks set to edge out Mirassol in a tight contest.
Prediction generated 31 Oct 2026, 01:02 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Faria Gomes
Assist: Giovanni Augusto
Pacheco
Yellow Card
Reinaldo
Missed Penalty · Assist: Reinaldo
Camilo
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Reinaldo
Penalty
Denilson
Yellow Card
Denilson
Eduardo
Anderson (OG)
Bolasie
Yago Felipe
Túlio
Giovanni Augusto
Shaylon
Alesson
Marcinho
Doma
Yellow Card
Unknown
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | +42 | 76 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -13 | 38 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
Match Statistics
Chapecoense-sc
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3DomaD
- 5HeitorD
- 7MarcinhoM
- 9TúlioF
- 10Giovanni AugustoM
- 11Y. BolasieM
- 21Kauan Faria GomesD
- 27CamiloM
- 88Yago FelipeM
- 91Bruno PachecoD
- 98AndersonG
Substitutes
- 12FernandoD
- 15Rafael ThyereD
- 16Bruno MatiasM
- 19David AntunesM
- 22MaxM
- 23DuduD
- 25Victor CaetanoD
- 29F. RossiF
- 30Matheus AurélioG
- 77D. BorreroM
- 80Miguel CarvalhoM
- 94K. RamírezF
Mirassol
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 7ShaylonM
- 9André LuísF
- 22WalterG
- 25Neto MouraM
- 27DenilsonM
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 33EduardoM
- 34João VictorD
- 77AlessonM
Substitutes
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 5JapaM
- 10ChicoM
- 17FernandinhoF
- 19Gustavo SilvaM
- 20Daniel BorgesD
- 21José AldoM
- 44GabrielD
- 80WallissonM
- 90ThomazellaG
- 96Carlos EduardoF
- 99Zé RobertoF
Chapecoense-sc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauan | D | 86 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Camilo | M | 86 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Heitor | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Doma(C) | D | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Yannick Bolasie | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Tulio Eduardo | F | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Marcinho | M | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Anderson | G | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yago Felipe | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Victor Caetano | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dudu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Thyere | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Ramírez | F | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Antunes | M | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Miguel Carvalho | M | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Franco Rossi | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Borrero | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alesson | M | 78 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Reinaldo | D | 86 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Neto Moura | M | 86 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Victor(C) | D | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Eduardo | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Walter | G | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Luis | F | 86 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gustavo Silva | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Roberto | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Knesowitsch | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wallisson Luiz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomazella | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Japa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 41 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Chico | M | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Aldo | M | 41 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Chapecoense-sc to win against Mirassol.
- What score did Fipster predict for Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Chapecoense-sc 2–1 Mirassol.
- What were the win probabilities for Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol?
- Fipster's model gave Chapecoense-sc a 77% chance of winning, Mirassol a 11% chance, and a 12% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 77% confidence — a high-confidence call.