Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo

Serie AMatchweek 19
Ref: R. KleinArena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina · 22,600 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinlowHit
Full-time story

Flamengo cruise to comfortable win at Chapecoense

Pedro shines with a brace as Flamengo dominate 4-0 away.

Flamengo delivered a commanding performance against Chapecoense, securing a 4-0 victory in Serie A. Pedro opened the scoring in the first half and sealed the win with a late goal, while an own goal by Rafael Thyere and a strike from Lorran shortly after the break added to the tally. The result matched Fipster's prediction of an away win, though the margin was more emphatic than forecast.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
12
Final Result
04
HT 0–2
68%Fair
C
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review23 Jul 2026

Analysis

This Brazilian Serie A fixture sees Flamengo travel to face Chapecoense in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Flamengo, sitting comfortably near the top of the table, will look to extend their impressive run against a struggling Chapecoense side.

Chapecoense currently languish near the bottom of the league, having struggled to find consistent form this season. Meanwhile, Flamengo have been one of the standout teams, boasting a strong points tally and a superior goal difference. This match is part of the regular season, round 19, where every point counts towards the title race and avoiding relegation.

In this competition, Flamengo have demonstrated their attacking prowess and defensive solidity, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game while conceding less than one. Chapecoense, on the other hand, have found the back of the net less frequently and have conceded nearly twice as many goals. Flamengo's midfield creativity, led by Samuel Lino and Pedro, poses a significant threat to Chapecoense's defence, which has been vulnerable in recent matches. Chapecoense's top scorer Neto Pessoa has been in decent form at home, but Flamengo's defensive organisation and goalkeeper Agustín Rossi's recent clean sheets suggest they will be tough to break down.


Prediction

The prediction leans towards an away win for Flamengo with a 2-1 scoreline. Flamengo's superior form, goal-scoring ability, and defensive record give them the edge. The match is expected to feature moderate disciplinary action, with around four cards likely to be shown. Confidence in this prediction stands at 35%, reflecting Flamengo's strong probability of victory but acknowledging the unpredictability of football.

Outcome probability

Chapecoense-sc 32%Draw 33%Flamengo 35%

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Flamengo's attacking midfield creativity vs Chapecoense's defense

Flamengo's midfielders like Samuel Lino and Jorginho create high chances against a vulnerable Chapecoense defense.

Statistical Edgehigh

Flamengo's superior goal-scoring and defensive record

Flamengo averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes 0.9, better than Chapecoense's 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded.

Form Momentumhigh

Chapecoense's poor recent form and defensive frailty

Chapecoense has lost most recent matches and conceded in all last 5 home games, indicating defensive issues.

Head To Head Factormedium

Flamengo's dominance in recent encounters

Flamengo has won majority of recent matches against Chapecoense with strong attacking displays.

Injury Impacthigh

No significant injuries reported for either team

Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing key players.

Key Takeaways

In summary, Flamengo's quality and consistency should see them through against a Chapecoense side struggling for form. Expect a closely fought match with Flamengo ultimately prevailing 2-1, continuing their push up the league table while Chapecoense seek to halt their slide.

  • Chapecoense are 20th in the league with 9 points from 17 games (W1 D6 L10).
  • Flamengo sit 2nd with 34 points from 17 games (W10 D4 L3).
  • Flamengo have a goal difference advantage of +31 compared to Chapecoense.
  • Flamengo average 2.00 points per game, Chapecoense 0.53.
  • Chapecoense have conceded in all of their last 5 home matches.
  • Flamengo's Pedro is their top scorer with multiple recent goals.
  • Chapecoense's Neto Pessoa is their leading scorer with recent goals at home.
  • Flamengo's goalkeeper Agustín Rossi has kept several clean sheets recently.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeChapecoense-sc

Neto Pessoa

Neto Pessoa

F

Chapecoense-sc

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.64
8 played
1 starts
242 mins
~30 mins/game
Rafael Carvalheira

Rafael Carvalheira

M

Chapecoense-sc

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.64
14 played
11 starts
942 mins
~67 mins/game

AwayFlamengo

Pedro

Pedro

F

Flamengo

Total Goals
10
League avg: 0.64
17 played
16 starts
1368 mins
~80 mins/game
Samuel Lino

Samuel Lino

M

Flamengo

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.64
17 played
13 starts
1028 mins
~60 mins/game
Gonzalo Plata

Gonzalo Plata

F

Flamengo

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.64
10 played
6 starts
579 mins
~58 mins/game