Chapecoense-sc vs Corinthians
Match recap
Chapecoense-sc and Corinthians drew 0–0 in their Serie A fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.81 for Chapecoense-sc versus 1.26 for Corinthians. Chapecoense-sc sit 20th in the Serie A table while Corinthians are 17th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 Chapecoense-sc win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
This clash between Chapecoense and Corinthians promises to be a nail-biter, with both teams eager to improve their league standings. Expect a competitive game with goals aplenty as Chapecoense look to capitalise on their home advantage.
Match factors
Corinthians missing key creative attackers
Rodrigo Garro and Zakaria Labyad are confirmed out, reducing attacking options and creativity
Chapecoense's Marcinho in strong scoring form
Marcinho has scored 2 goals in last 5 games and is central to Chapecoense's attack
Giovanni Augusto's creative influence for Chapecoense
Top assister with 5 assists, key in creating chances and linking play
Chapecoense's recent scoring streak at home
Chapecoense has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, showing attacking momentum
Chapecoense missing key midfielder Rafael Carvalheira
Carvalheira is out with knee injury, weakening midfield depth and goal threat
The context
Chapecoense sit 20th in the league with 18 points, while Corinthians are slightly better placed at 16th with 32 points. Historically, Corinthians have dominated their head-to-head meetings, winning 12 of 19 encounters compared to Chapecoense's 2 wins and 5 draws. However, current form and home momentum could tilt the scales.
Key insights
Marcinho
Chapecoense-sc
Marcinho has been central to Chapecoense's attack, scoring 2 goals in the last 5 games and maintaining an above-average scoring rate for attackers this season.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 24 games, 0.4 goals/game last 10
Giovanni Augusto
Chapecoense-sc
Giovanni Augusto is the creative heartbeat for Chapecoense, leading with 5 assists and providing key passes that link midfield and attack effectively.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 19 games, 0.26 assists/game
Rodrigo Garro
Corinthians
Corinthians are missing their top assister Rodrigo Garro due to suspension, which reduces their attacking creativity and chance creation.
Serie A 26/276 assists in 27 games, 0.22 assists/game
Analysis
Despite Corinthians' superior goal difference and head-to-head record, Chapecoense have shown recent attacking momentum, scoring in four of their last five home games. Their top scorer Marcinho has been in good form, netting twice in the last five matches. Meanwhile, Corinthians face a creative challenge with key assister Rodrigo Garro suspended, potentially limiting their attacking threat. Chapecoense's Giovanni Augusto also brings creativity with five assists this season, making them a dangerous side going forward.
Key facts
- 1.Chapecoense are 20th in the league with 18 points from 28 games.
- 2.Corinthians are 16th with 32 points from 29 games.
- 3.Corinthians have won 12 of 19 head-to-head meetings; Chapecoense have won 2.
- 4.Chapecoense have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 5.Rodrigo Garro, Corinthians' top assister with 6 assists, is suspended.
- 6.Marcinho is Chapecoense's top scorer with 3 goals this season, 2 in last 5 games.
- 7.Giovanni Augusto leads Chapecoense with 5 assists this season.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Chapecoense with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, reflecting a balanced first half before Chapecoense pull ahead in the second. With both teams capable of scoring, this match should be an entertaining affair with a slight edge to the home side.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Chapecoense-sc
Away — Corinthians
The verdict
In summary, Chapecoense's recent home form and attacking players like Marcinho and Giovanni Augusto could be the difference against a Corinthians side missing key creative options. Expect a thrilling 3-2 victory for Chapecoense in a match full of goals and drama.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:10 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yuri Alberto
Yellow Card
Camilo
Yellow Card
Angileri
Yellow Card
Giovanni Augusto
Yellow Card
Ramalho
Yellow Card
Giovanni Augusto
Marcinho
Carvalheira
João Vitor
Rubens
Yellow Card
Pereira
Andre
Milans
Vitinho
Bolasie
João Pedro
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
Match Statistics
Chapecoense-sc
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 3DomaD
- 5João VitorM
- 7MarcinhoF
- 10Giovanni AugustoM
- 11Y. BolasieF
- 12Léo VieiraG
- 26EvertonD
- 27CamiloM
- 33Bruno LeonardoD
- 37W. ClarD
- 99Rafael CarvalheiraM
Substitutes
- 1Rafael SantosG
- 2Marcos ViníciusD
- 4João PauloD
- 9PerottiF
- 19David AntunesM
- 20Jean CarlosM
- 22Higor MeritãoM
- 25Victor CaetanoD
- 70RubensM
- 77ItaloF
- 91Bruno PachecoD
- 97ÊnioM
Corinthians
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Hugo SouzaG
- 4João PedroD
- 5André RamalhoD
- 8R. GarroM
- 9Yuri AlbertoF
- 11VitinhoM
- 20P. MilansD
- 23Matheus PereiraM
- 26F. AngileriD
- 29AllanM
- 49AndreM
Substitutes
- 2MatheuzinhoD
- 7BrenoM
- 13Gustavo HenriqueD
- 14RanieleM
- 18Pedro RaulF
- 21Matheus BiduD
- 31KaykeF
- 35CharlesM
- 51Kauê CamargoG
- 52Z. LabyadF
- 56Guilherme InácioF
- 61DieguinhoM
Chapecoense-sc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Clar | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Bruno Leonardo(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Léo Vieira | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Vitor | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Carvalheira | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Eduardo Doma | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marcinho | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Yannick Bolasie | F | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Everton | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Camilo | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rafael Santos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Vinícius | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Caetano | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ênio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Antunes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Italo | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Perotti | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubens Tadeu | M | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Higor Meritão | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Corinthians
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Ramalho | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Fabrizio Angileri | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 68 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Garro(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2/3 |
| João Pedro Tchoca | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Hugo Souza | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Pedro Milans | D | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| André Luiz | M | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Zakaria Labyad | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauê | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gui Negão | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kayke Ferrari | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Raniele | M | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Chapecoense-sc vs Corinthians?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Chapecoense-sc to win against Corinthians.
- What score did Fipster predict for Chapecoense-sc vs Corinthians?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Chapecoense-sc 3–2 Corinthians.
- What were the win probabilities for Chapecoense-sc vs Corinthians?
- Fipster's model gave Chapecoense-sc a 50% chance of winning, Corinthians a 25% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 50% confidence — a medium-confidence call.