Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo
Match recap
Botafogo beat Chapecoense-sc 4–1 in their Serie A fixture. Marcinho scored for Chapecoense-sc; Edenílson, Matheus Martins, Edenílson, and Matheus Martins replied for Botafogo. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.26 for Chapecoense-sc versus 1.11 for Botafogo. Chapecoense-sc sit 20th in the Serie A table while Botafogo are 11th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Chapecoense-sc win
Actual
1–4
Outcome probability
Chapecoense and Botafogo face off in this regular season clash, with Chapecoense looking to leverage their home form and attacking prowess to claim a vital win.
Match factors
Chapecoense's Marcinho as key attacking threat
Marcinho leads Chapecoense's scoring with 5 goals and strong recent form, likely focal point in attack.
Danilo Santos driving Botafogo's offense
Danilo Santos is Botafogo's top scorer with 9 goals and consistent starter, crucial for their attack.
Giovanni Augusto's creativity for Chapecoense
Giovanni Augusto tops assists for Chapecoense with 5, key in creating chances for Marcinho.
Alex Telles' dual role for Botafogo
Alex Telles provides 4 assists from defense, combining defensive duties with offensive support.
Chapecoense's recent scoring streak at home
Chapecoense has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, showing positive attacking momentum.
The context
Chapecoense currently sit 20th in the league with 18 points from 29 games, while Botafogo are positioned 13th with 36 points from 30 matches. Historically, Botafogo have had the upper hand in their 13 meetings, winning eight to Chapecoense's four, with one draw.
Key insights
Marcinho
Chapecoense-sc
Marcinho leads Chapecoense's scoring with 5 goals and strong recent form, likely focal point in attack.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 27 appearances, 0.19 goals/game
Danilo Santos
Botafogo
Danilo Santos is Botafogo's top scorer with 9 goals and consistent starter, crucial for their attack.
Serie A 26/279 goals in 22 appearances, 0.41 goals/game
Giovanni Augusto
Chapecoense-sc
Giovanni Augusto tops assists for Chapecoense with 5, key in creating chances for Marcinho.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 20 appearances, 0.25 assists/game
Alex Telles
Botafogo
Alex Telles provides 4 assists from defense, combining defensive duties with offensive support.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 27 appearances, 0.15 assists/game
Analysis
Chapecoense's attacking threat is spearheaded by Marcinho, their top scorer with five goals this season and strong recent away form. Giovanni Augusto's creativity, with five assists, provides a vital link in their attack. Botafogo rely heavily on Danilo Santos, their leading scorer with nine goals, and Alex Telles, who contributes both defensively and offensively with four assists. Despite Botafogo's higher league position and historical head-to-head advantage, Chapecoense's recent home scoring streak and attacking connections give them the edge in this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Chapecoense are 20th in the league with 18 points from 29 games (W3 D9 L17).
- 2.Botafogo are 13th with 36 points from 30 games (W9 D9 L12).
- 3.In 13 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo have won 8, Chapecoense 4, with 1 draw.
- 4.Marcinho is Chapecoense's top scorer with 5 goals this season.
- 5.Danilo Santos leads Botafogo with 9 goals this season.
- 6.Giovanni Augusto has provided 5 assists for Chapecoense this season.
- 7.Alex Telles has contributed 4 assists from defence for Botafogo.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Chapecoense with a 2-1 scoreline. This reflects their strong home advantage and the likelihood of key players like Marcinho and Giovanni Augusto influencing the game. Botafogo will pose a threat, but Chapecoense's attacking momentum and tactical setup should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Chapecoense-sc
Away — Botafogo
The verdict
Expect a competitive match with Chapecoense narrowly overcoming Botafogo. The home side's attacking strengths and recent form should be enough to secure the three points in a closely contested game.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:28 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Edenílson
Assist: Telles
Matheus Martins
Assist: Santos
Edenílson
Assist: Vitinho
David Antunes
Everton
Marcinho
Assist: Bolasie
Bolasie
Italo
Júnior Santos
João Vitor
Edenílson
Cabral
Medina
Matheus Martins
Assist: Correa
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
Match Statistics
Chapecoense-sc
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1Rafael SantosG
- 3DomaD
- 5João VitorM
- 7MarcinhoM
- 11Y. BolasieF
- 19David AntunesM
- 22Higor MeritãoM
- 26EvertonD
- 33Bruno LeonardoD
- 77ItaloM
- 91Bruno PachecoD
Substitutes
- 2Marcos ViníciusD
- 15Rafael ThyereD
- 17Vinicius BalieiroM
- 18Neto PessoaF
- 20Jean CarlosM
- 25Victor CaetanoD
- 31GarcezF
- 37W. ClarD
- 70RubensM
- 94K. RamírezF
- 97ÊnioM
- 98AndersonG
Botafogo
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2VitinhoD
- 5N. FerraresiD
- 6C. MedinaM
- 7Júnior SantosF
- 8Danilo SantosM
- 11Matheus MartinsF
- 13Alex TellesD
- 19Arthur CabralF
- 20A. BarbozaD
- 22NetoG
- 88EdenílsonM
Substitutes
- 1RaulG
- 10Álvaro MontoroM
- 14J. BarreraM
- 15Bartolomeu Jacinto QuissangaD
- 25AllanM
- 27Caio RoqueD
- 30J. CorreaF
- 34G. JustinoD
- 37K. BarriaF
- 42Kadu SantosD
- 75HuguinhoM
- 77L. VillalbaF
Chapecoense-sc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcinho | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1/6 |
| João Vitor | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Yannick Bolasie | F | 45 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Higor Meritão | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Italo | M | 53 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| David Antunes | M | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Doma | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Leonardo(C) | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | D | 29 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | G | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Walter Clar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neto Pessoa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ênio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubens Tadeu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anderson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Thyere | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Caetano | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maurício Garcez | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Jean Carlos | M | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kevin Ramírez | F | 37 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Vinícius | D | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Vinicius Balieiro | M | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Botafogo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Martins | F | 90 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Edenilson | M | 73 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Cristian Medina | M | 77 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alex Telles(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Alexander Barboza | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Vitinho | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Neto | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 74 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Júnior Santos | F | 59 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bastos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raul | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caio Roque | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Villalba | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Huguinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Justino | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kadu Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kadir Barría | F | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Allan | M | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquin Correa | F | 31 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jordan Barrera | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Chapecoense-sc to win against Botafogo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Chapecoense-sc 2–1 Botafogo.
- What were the win probabilities for Chapecoense-sc vs Botafogo?
- Fipster's model gave Chapecoense-sc a 85% chance of winning, Botafogo a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.