Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia
Chapecoense-sc and Bahia share six-goal thriller
A rollercoaster of goals sees both sides settle for a draw in Serie A.
Chapecoense-sc and Bahia battled to a thrilling 3-3 draw in Serie A, with goals flying in from the early stages through to the second half. Bahia's A. Véliz opened the scoring with a penalty before Giovanni Augusto and Marcinho put Chapecoense-sc ahead, only for Bahia to claw back with a mix-up leading to an own goal by Kauan and a strike from N. Acevedo. Túlio's goal for Chapecoense-sc kept the game tight, but neither side could find a winner. This entertaining stalemate defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow away win for Bahia.
Outcome probability
Chapecoense-sc and Bahia face off in a Brazilian Serie A regular season match where both sides will be eager to improve their standings. Bahia currently sit comfortably in the top half, while Chapecoense-sc are struggling near the foot of the table.
Match factors
Bahia's Defensive Solidity vs Chapecoense's Struggles
Bahia concedes fewer goals on average and has a higher clean sheet rate, likely to contain Chapecoense's attack effectively.
Luciano Juba's Goal Threat from Defense
Luciano Juba leads Bahia with 7 goals this season, a significant scoring edge from a defender.
Chapecoense's Scoring Streak at Home
Chapecoense has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, showing some attacking momentum despite overall struggles.
Bahia Missing Key Players Including Léo Vieira and Erick
Bahia's goalkeeper Léo Vieira and midfielder Erick are out/doubtful, potentially weakening defensive and midfield stability.
Bruno Pacheco's Creative Role for Chapecoense
Bruno Pacheco's 3 assists and set-piece duties make him a key creative outlet for Chapecoense.
The context
This fixture is part of the 23rd round of the Brazilian Serie A season. Bahia hold a significant advantage in the league standings, positioned 6th with 32 points, compared to Chapecoense-sc's 20th place with just 10 points. Historically, the head-to-head record is fairly balanced with Chapecoense-sc winning 5 of 13 encounters, Bahia 4, and 4 draws.
Key insights
Luciano Juba
Bahia
Leading scorer for Bahia with 7 goals, providing a significant offensive threat from defense.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 18 appearances, 0.39 goals/game
Bruno Pacheco
Chapecoense-sc
Top assister for Chapecoense-sc with 3 assists, key creative outlet especially on set-pieces.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 12 appearances, 0.25 assists/game
- C
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc
Scored in 4 of last 5 home games, showing attacking momentum despite overall struggles.
- E
Erick
Bahia
Doubtful for the match, his absence could weaken Bahia's midfield creativity and stability.
Analysis
Bahia's defensive solidity and superior goal difference (+27 compared to Chapecoense-sc's -23) suggest they have the edge in this encounter. Chapecoense-sc have shown some attacking promise at home, scoring in four of their last five home games, but their overall struggles are evident. Key players like Luciano Juba, Bahia's leading scorer with 7 goals, and Chapecoense's creative outlet Bruno Pacheco, who leads his team with 3 assists, will be crucial. However, Bahia face some injury concerns with goalkeeper Léo Vieira and midfielder Erick doubtful, which could impact their defensive and midfield stability.
Key facts
- 1.Chapecoense-sc rank 20th with 10 points from 21 games (W1 D7 L13).
- 2.Bahia rank 6th with 32 points from 21 games (W8 D8 L5).
- 3.Bahia have a goal difference of +27; Chapecoense-sc have -23.
- 4.In 13 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense-sc have 5 wins, Bahia 4, with 4 draws.
- 5.Chapecoense-sc have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 6.Luciano Juba is Bahia's top scorer with 7 goals this season.
- 7.Bruno Pacheco leads Chapecoense-sc with 3 assists this season.
- 8.Bahia's goalkeeper Léo Vieira and midfielder Erick are doubtful for this match.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Bahia with a 2-1 scoreline. While the probabilities favour Bahia, the relatively close chances for a draw or home win mean this is a cautious call. No clear leader is expected at halftime, reflecting the competitive nature of the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Chapecoense-sc
Away — Bahia
The verdict
Expect a competitive match with Bahia's quality and form likely to secure them a narrow victory. Chapecoense-sc will fight hard, especially at home, but Bahia's better goal difference and league position should see them through.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Véliz
Penalty
Giovanni Augusto
Unknown (OG)
Ramírez
Bruno Matias
Unknown
Marcinho
Assist: Giovanni Augusto
Acevedo
Assist: Jean Lucas
Roman Gomez
Jean Lucas
Yılmaz
Juba
Túlio
Assist: Giovanni Augusto
Unknown
Fernando
Rodrigo Nestor
Sanabria
Yellow Card
Camilo
Yellow Card
Erick
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | +21 | 48 |
| 5 |  Cruzeiro | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 33 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 33 |
| 7 |  RB Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +4 | 32 |
| 19 |  Remo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -10 | 22 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | -23 | 10 |
Match Statistics
Chapecoense-sc
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3DomaD
- 7MarcinhoF
- 10Giovanni AugustoF
- 12FernandoD
- 16Bruno MatiasM
- 21Kauan Faria GomesD
- 27CamiloM
- 94K. RamírezF
- 98AndersonG
Substitutes
- 6ManchaD
- 9TúlioF
- 15Rafael ThyereD
- 18Neto PessoaF
- 19David AntunesM
- 25Victor CaetanoD
- 26EvertonD
- 29F. RossiF
- 30Matheus AurélioG
- 70RubensM
- 91Bruno PachecoD
- 97ÊnioM
Bahia
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1RonaldoG
- 5N. AcevedoM
- 6Jean LucasM
- 9A. VélizF
- 11Rodrigo NestorM
- 16Erick PulgaF
- 21S. RamosD
- 31Roman GomezD
- 33David DuarteD
- 46Luciano JubaM
- 57Çağatay YılmazM
Substitutes
- 3Marco MorenoD
- 4KanuD
- 8Caio AlexandreM
- 12Willian JoséF
- 14ErickM
- 15M. AraújoM
- 17G. HerreraG
- 23M. SanabriaF
- 27EveraldoF
- 44Marcos VictorD
- 66Zé GuilhermeD
- 99C. OliveraF
Chapecoense-sc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Augusto | F | 89 | 10.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 |
| Marcinho | F | 89 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Kevin Ramírez | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Camilo | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Anderson | G | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Fernando | D | 78 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Eduardo Doma(C) | D | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauan | D | 89 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Victor Caetano | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Thyere | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubens Tadeu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neto Pessoa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mancha | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ênio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira | F | 44 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| David Antunes | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | D | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Rossi | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
Bahia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Acevedo(C) | M | 89 | 8.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/2 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 5/8 |
| Alejo Véliz | F | 89 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Román Gómez | D | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jean Lucas | M | 66 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Kauê Furquim | M | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| David Duarte | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Luciano Juba | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ronaldo | G | 89 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Marco Moreno | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guido Herrera | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Victor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kanu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian José | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michel Araújo | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Cristian Olivera | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Sanabria | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4/6 |
| Erick | M | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Caio Alexandre | M | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| José Guilherme | D | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |