CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC
Match recap
CF Montreal beat Orlando City SC 2–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Ríos and Þórhallsson scored for CF Montreal. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.31 for CF Montreal versus 0.64 for Orlando City SC.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-3 Orlando City SC win
Actual
2–0
Outcome probability
CF Montreal and Orlando City SC are set for a lively MLS regular season match that promises goals and drama. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for an entertaining contest.
Match factors
CF Montreal's Owusu vs Orlando's defense
Owusu's strong home scoring form and high minutes give Montreal a key attacking edge
Griezmann's creative influence for Orlando
Griezmann's high goal and assist rate makes him a pivotal playmaker for Orlando
Orlando's superior recent scoring form
Orlando averages 1.82 goals per game vs Montreal's 1.25, supporting predicted away win
Montreal's goalkeeper Gillier out weakens defense
Gillier's confirmed absence due to injury may reduce Montreal's defensive stability
Orlando's consistent scoring streak
Orlando has scored in last 5 matches, showing strong attacking momentum
The context
This fixture is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 13. Historically, the two sides have met 20 times, with Orlando City holding a slight edge in wins. Their encounters typically produce an average of 2.5 goals, indicating a balanced but open affair.
Key insights
Prince-Osei Owusu
CF Montreal
Owusu's strong home scoring form and consistent starting role make him Montreal's key attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 26 games, averaging 0.8 goals per game in last 10 home matches
Antoine Griezmann
Orlando City SC
Griezmann's high goal and assist rate makes him a pivotal playmaker for Orlando's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals and 5 assists in 12 games, with 4 goals and 2 assists in last 5 matches
Martín Ojeda
Orlando City SC
Ojeda leads Orlando's scoring and has strong recent away form, boosting their attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 22 games, with 2 goals in last 3 away matches
Analysis
Orlando City SC have been in fine scoring form recently, averaging 1.82 goals per game compared to Montreal's 1.25. Antoine Griezmann is a key creative force for Orlando, boasting 9 goals and 5 assists in just 12 games, while Martín Ojeda leads their attack with 13 goals. Montreal will rely heavily on Prince-Osei Owusu, their top scorer with 15 goals, particularly given his strong home scoring record. However, Montreal's defensive stability might be compromised by the absence of goalkeeper Gillier due to injury, which could tilt the balance in Orlando's favour.
Key facts
- 1.Orlando City SC have won 8 of 20 head-to-head matches against CF Montreal, who have won 6, with 6 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, with Orlando scoring 26 and Montreal 23 in total.
- 3.Prince-Osei Owusu is CF Montreal's top scorer with 15 goals this season.
- 4.Antoine Griezmann has 9 goals and 5 assists in 12 games for Orlando City SC.
- 5.Orlando City averages 1.82 goals per game this season, higher than Montreal's 1.25.
- 6.Montreal's goalkeeper Gillier is out injured, potentially weakening their defence.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Orlando City SC with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-2, reflecting a competitive start with Orlando taking the lead. This outcome aligns with the teams' recent scoring trends and key player performances.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — CF Montreal
Away — Orlando City SC
The verdict
Expect a tight, high-scoring match with Orlando City SC just edging out CF Montreal. Key players like Griezmann and Owusu will be pivotal, but Orlando's attacking momentum and Montreal's defensive concerns could prove decisive.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 09:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Atuesta
Yellow Card
Spicer
Jaime
Ellis
Owusu
Piette
Carmona
Unknown
Dorsey
Iago
Yellow Card
Ríos
Penalty
Þórhallsson
Assist: Loturi
Match Statistics
CF Montreal
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5B. CraigD
- 6S. PietteM
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 9P. OwusuF
- 10Iván JaimeF
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 16W. CarmonaF
- 22V. LoturiM
- 24E. MoralesD
- 27D. BugajD
- 31T. GillierG
Substitutes
- 1S. BrezaG
- 3T. AvilésD
- 7K. OpokuF
- 14D. RíosF
- 17D. ÞórhallssonM
- 25F. AmayaM
- 29O. EscobarF
- 39Aleksandr GubogloD
Orlando City SC
5-3-2Starting XI
- 6R. JanssonD
- 8B. OjedaM
- 10M. OjedaF
- 14T. SpicerM
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 22Justin EllisF
- 24G. DorseyD
- 57IagoD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloD
Substitutes
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 11TiagoF
- 12Javier OteroG
- 13D. McGuireF
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 19Z. TaifiM
- 23Harvey SarajianF
- 29T. Reid-BrownD
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Petrasso | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Wikelman Carmona | F | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1/1 |
| Victor Loturi | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Brandan Craig | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Jaime | F | 79 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Thomas Gillier | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Prince Owusu | F | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3/4 |
| Samuel Piette(C) | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Efraín Morales | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Frankie Amaya | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Breza | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Avilés | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kwadwo Opoku | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Aleksandr Guboglo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dagur Dan Þórhallsson | M | 4 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Daniel Rios | F | 14 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Olger Escobar | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Noah Streit | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Ellis | F | 80 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4/4 |
| Iago Silva | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tyrese Spicer | M | 67 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Braian Ojeda | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Ojeda | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Eduard Atuesta | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/5 |
| Griffin Dorsey | D | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Robin Jansson(C) | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Angulo | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/6 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Javier Otero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tahir Reid-Brown | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Souza | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harvey Sarajian | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilder Cartagena | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duncan McGuire | F | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Brekalo | D | 10 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Orlando City SC to win against CF Montreal.
- What score did Fipster predict for CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of CF Montreal 2–3 Orlando City SC.
- What were the win probabilities for CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's model gave CF Montreal a 21% chance of winning, Orlando City SC a 57% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 57% confidence — a medium-confidence call.