CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls
Match recap
CF Montreal beat New York Red Bulls 4–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Loturi, Owusu, Longstaff, and Opoku scored for CF Montreal; Longstaff replied for New York Red Bulls. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.90 for CF Montreal versus 1.00 for New York Red Bulls.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 New York Red Bulls win
Actual
4–1
Outcome probability
CF Montreal and New York Red Bulls face off in what promises to be a competitive regular season match. Both teams have shown attacking prowess, but the Red Bulls' recent form and key players could tip the scales.
Match factors
Owusu's scoring threat vs NYRB defense
Owusu's 15 goals this season and strong home form pose a major challenge to NYRB's defense.
NYRB's attacking depth with Hall and Ruvalcaba
Hall's 11 goals and Ruvalcaba's 8 provide NYRB with multiple scoring options, supporting predicted away win.
Montreal's goalkeeper Gillier out weakens defense
Gillier's confirmed absence due to injury reduces Montreal's defensive stability, increasing NYRB's scoring chances.
Montreal's recent scoring streak but defensive frailty
Montreal has scored in recent matches but conceded in all last 5, indicating defensive issues.
NYRB's creative midfielders Donkor and Forsberg key to attack
Donkor's 5 assists and Forsberg's playmaking boost NYRB's chance to break down Montreal's defense.
The context
This fixture is part of the regular season's eighth round. Historically, CF Montreal have a slight edge in head-to-head meetings, but New York Red Bulls have demonstrated strong attacking options that make them formidable opponents.
Key insights
Prince-Osei Owusu
CF Montreal
Owusu's 15 goals this season and strong home scoring rate make him a major threat to New York's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 26 apps, 0.58 goals/game
J. Hall
New York Red Bulls
Hall's 11 goals and consistent form provide New York with a reliable attacking outlet.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 27 apps, 0.41 goals/game
- T
T. Gillier
CF Montreal
Gillier's confirmed injury absence weakens Montreal's goalkeeping, potentially exposing their defence.
Ronald Donkor
New York Red Bulls
Donkor's 5 assists and creative playmaking are key to breaking down Montreal's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/275 assists in 25 apps, 0.20 assists/game
Analysis
CF Montreal boast a strong home scoring record, led by Prince-Osei Owusu, who has netted 15 goals this season and thrives in front of their fans. However, their defensive vulnerabilities, especially with goalkeeper T. Gillier ruled out due to injury, could be exploited by New York's attacking duo of J. Hall and Jorge Ruvalcaba Castro. The Red Bulls' creative midfielders, including Ronald Donkor, add further threat, making their attack multi-dimensional. The average goals in their head-to-head matches hover around 2.9, indicating a moderately high-scoring affair.
Key facts
- 1.CF Montreal have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against New York Red Bulls, who have won 8, with 2 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, indicating moderate scoring.
- 3.Prince-Osei Owusu leads CF Montreal with 15 goals this season, excelling at home.
- 4.J. Hall is New York Red Bulls' top scorer with 11 goals this season.
- 5.Montreal's goalkeeper T. Gillier is out injured, weakening their defense.
- 6.New York Red Bulls' Ronald Donkor has provided 5 assists, boosting their creativity.
Prediction
We predict a 2-1 away win for New York Red Bulls. Despite Montreal's home advantage and scoring ability, the Red Bulls' balanced attack and Montreal's defensive concerns suggest the visitors will edge this one.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — CF Montreal
Away — New York Red Bulls
The verdict
Expect an entertaining match with goals from both sides, but New York Red Bulls' attacking depth and Montreal's defensive issues should see the visitors claim a narrow victory.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:26 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Loturi
Assist: Owusu
Mehmeti
Yellow Card
Owusu
Penalty
Ruvalcaba
Yellow Card
Cowell
Ruvalcaba
Marshall-Rutty
Longstaff
Longstaff (OG)
Unknown
Mehmeti
Vera
Yellow Card
Gillier
Yellow Card
Opoku
Jaime
Piette
Forsberg
Donkor
Yellow Card
Owusu
Longstaff
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
CF Montreal
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2J. NealD
- 4B. VeraD
- 6S. PietteM
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 9P. OwusuF
- 10Iván JaimeF
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 22V. LoturiM
- 27D. BugajD
- 31T. GillierG
Substitutes
- 1S. BrezaG
- 5B. CraigD
- 7K. OpokuF
- 14D. RíosF
- 17D. ÞórhallssonM
- 21F. HerbersF
- 24E. MoralesD
- 29O. EscobarF
- 39Aleksandr GubogloD
New York Red Bulls
Starting XI
- 3J. Marshall-RuttyD
- 6R. VoloderD
- 7C. CowellF
- 10E. ForsbergM
- 11J. RuvalcabaF
- 12D. NealisD
- 15A. MehmetiM
- 16J. HallF
- 34E. HorvathG
- 48R. DonkorM
- 56M. Dos SantosD
Substitutes
- 4G. BerggrenM
- 5O. ValenciaD
- 13E. Choupo-MotingF
- 20J. MinaD
- 26T. ParkerD
- 37M. SofoF
- 39N. BenedettiM
- 77J. McCarthyG
- 79R. MosqueraF
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prince-Osei Owusu | F | 84 | 9.0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Noah Streit | F | 58 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Luca Petrasso | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Gillier | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Jaime | F | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/7 |
| Jalen Neal | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Piette(C) | M | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Brayan Vera | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yuri Aleksandr Guboglo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandan Craig | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Breza | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dagur Dan Þórhallsson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Efraín Morales | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kwadwo Opoku | F | 32 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Fabian Herbers | F | 12 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olger Escobar | F | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Daniel Rios | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Voloder | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Julian Hall | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ethan Horvath | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cade Cowell | F | 45 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Ronald Donkor | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Emil Forsberg(C) | M | 80 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Omar Valencia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John McCarthy | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustav Berggren | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Parker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nehuen Benedetti | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Mohammed Sofo | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting | F | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Juan Mina | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls?
- Fipster's AI model predicted New York Red Bulls to win against CF Montreal.
- What score did Fipster predict for CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls?
- Fipster predicted a final score of CF Montreal 1–2 New York Red Bulls.
- What were the win probabilities for CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls?
- Fipster's model gave CF Montreal a 27% chance of winning, New York Red Bulls a 46% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 46% confidence — a medium-confidence call.