CF Montreal vs Nashville SC
Nashville SC secures a solid win at Montreal
Two well-timed goals hand Nashville a deserved 2-0 victory on the road.
Nashville SC claimed a 2-0 victory over CF Montreal in Major League Soccer, with S. Surridge opening the scoring shortly after the break and S. Keita adding a second via an own goal in the second half. The result was a controlled away win, matching Fipster's low-confidence prediction for a Nashville triumph, though the exact scoreline was slightly off.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its climax, CF Montreal face a stern test against Nashville SC. Both teams will be eager to make their mark, but the data suggests a close contest with the visitors edging it.
Match factors
Nashville's potent attacking duo
Surridge and Mukhtar combine high scoring and assisting rates, posing a major threat to Montreal's defense
Montreal's reliance on Owusu for goals
Owusu leads Montreal with 13 goals and 6 assists, central to their attacking output
Mukhtar's recent scoring surge
Mukhtar scored 6 goals in last 5 matches, showing strong form heading into the fixture
Montreal missing key defenders
Absence of Ceballos and Hidalgo weakens Montreal's defensive stability against Nashville's attack
Montreal's creative midfield support
Longstaff and Carmona provide creative support with assists and key passes, aiding Owusu's scoring chances
The context
This fixture is part of the 31st round of the regular season. Nashville SC currently sit top of the league with 66 points, while CF Montreal find themselves down in 15th place with 24 points. Historically, Nashville have had the upper hand, winning six of their eleven meetings against Montreal, who have managed just one victory.
Key insights
Samuel Surridge
Nashville SC
Leading scorer with 16 goals in 21 games, consistently finding the net and a key attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2716 goals in 21 appearances, 0.76 goals/game
Hany Mukhtar
Nashville SC
In excellent recent form with 6 goals in last 5 matches, also top assister with 10 assists, driving Nashville's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in last 5 matches, 10 assists in 23 appearances
Prince-Osei Owusu
CF Montreal
Top scorer with 13 goals and 6 assists, strong home form with 0.66 goals per game in last 5 home matches.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 24 appearances, 0.54 goals/game
Matthew Longstaff
CF Montreal
Creative midfielder providing key passes and 3 assists, supporting Montreal's attacking efforts.
Major League Soccer 26/273 assists in 26 appearances, 0.12 assists/game
Analysis
Nashville SC's attacking duo, Samuel Surridge and Hany Mukhtar, have been in fine form this season, combining for 28 goals and 17 assists between them. Mukhtar's recent scoring spree, netting six goals in his last five matches, adds to their threat. Montreal rely heavily on Prince-Osei Owusu, their top scorer with 13 goals and six assists, particularly strong at home with 0.66 goals per game in recent matches. However, Montreal's defence is weakened by the absence of key defenders Ceballos and Hidalgo, which could be exploited by Nashville's potent attack. Creative midfielders like Matthew Longstaff and Carmona provide support, but it may not be enough to contain Nashville's firepower.
Key facts
- 1.Nashville SC lead the head-to-head with 6 wins out of 11 matches against CF Montreal.
- 2.The average goals per head-to-head match is 2.2, with Nashville scoring 17 and Montreal 7 in total.
- 3.Nashville SC top the league with 66 points; CF Montreal sit 15th with 24 points.
- 4.Samuel Surridge is Nashville's leading scorer with 16 goals in 21 games.
- 5.Prince-Osei Owusu leads Montreal with 13 goals and 6 assists this season.
- 6.Hany Mukhtar has scored 6 goals in his last 5 matches, showing excellent form.
- 7.Montreal are missing key defenders Ceballos and Hidalgo, weakening their backline.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Nashville SC with a 2-1 scoreline. The visitors are expected to take an early lead, reflected in a predicted halftime score of 0-2, before Montreal pull one back in the second half. The match is likely to feature a few cards, with a total of three predicted. While the call is for a Nashville victory, the low confidence in this prediction suggests the game could be finely balanced and entertaining.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — CF Montreal
Away — Nashville SC
The verdict
In summary, Nashville SC's superior form and attacking prowess give them the edge in this encounter. CF Montreal will fight hard, especially on home turf, but the visitors' early dominance should see them through to a narrow victory. Expect a competitive match with moments of quality from key players on both sides.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 04:35 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pereira
Yellow Card
Radojević
Yellow Card
Surridge
Saad
Yellow Card
Corcoran
Saad
Palacios
Yellow Card
Sealy
Keita (OG)
Espinoza
Piette
Yazbek
Sánchez
Escobar
Pereira
Najar
Match Statistics
CF Montreal
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4B. VeraD
- 6S. PietteM
- 7D. PereiraM
- 10A. SánchezF
- 17D. SealyM
- 18H. SynchukM
- 24E. MoralesD
- 27D. BugajD
- 28V. RadojevićD
- 29O. EscobarM
- 41S. KeitaG
Substitutes
- 1S. BrezaG
- 5B. CraigD
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 14D. RíosF
- 16W. CarmonaM
- 21F. HerbersF
- 22V. LoturiM
- 25F. AmayaM
Nashville SC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3M. WoledziD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 7C. EspinozaM
- 8P. YazbekM
- 9S. SurridgeF
- 10H. MukhtarM
- 11E. SaadM
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
- 31A. NajarD
- 99B. SchwakeG
Substitutes
- 1J. WillisG
- 2D. LovitzD
- 5J. MaherD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 14S. MohammedM
- 19A. MuylM
- 20E. TagsethM
- 22J. BauerD
- 41W. MadrigalF
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Morales | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Synchuk | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Bugaj | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sánchez | F | 79 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| B. Vera | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| V. Radojević | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Piette | M | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Escobar | M | 87 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| F. Herbers | F | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ríos | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Sealy | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| W. Carmona | M | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| F. Amaya | M | 3 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Longstaff | M | 11 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Pereira | M | 87 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| S. Keita | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Petrasso | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Loturi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Breza | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Craig | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Woledzi | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Surridge | F | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Najar | D | 88 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Baker-Whiting | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Palacios | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Bauer | D | 2 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Acosta | M | 11 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Yazbek | M | 79 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Muyl | M | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Espinoza | M | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| E. Saad | M | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/4 |
| W. Madrigal | F | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| H. Mukhtar | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| M. Corcoran | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Mohammed | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Willis | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Maher | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Nashville SC to win against CF Montreal.
- What score did Fipster predict for CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of CF Montreal 1–2 Nashville SC.
- What were the win probabilities for CF Montreal vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster's model gave CF Montreal a 32% chance of winning, Nashville SC a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.