CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
Suárez penalty seals Miami's narrow win
A solitary spot-kick in the 81st minute handed Inter Miami all three points at CF Montreal.
Inter Miami edged out CF Montreal 1-0 thanks to an 81st-minute penalty converted by L. Suárez. The match was a tight affair with little to separate the sides until that decisive moment. Fipster's prediction of an away win was on the money, though the exact scoreline proved a bit optimistic.
Analysis
CF Montreal and Inter Miami are set to face off in what promises to be an entertaining MLS regular season fixture. Both teams boast attacking talent, with Montreal relying on Prince-Osei Owusu and possibly Wikelman Carmona, while Inter Miami's firepower is spearheaded by Lionel Messi and Luis Suárez.
This match is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 19. Montreal will be looking to leverage their home form, while Inter Miami aim to continue their impressive scoring streak. The fixture is poised to be a tactical battle with both sides eager to climb the standings.
Inter Miami hold a slight edge in scoring prowess, averaging 2.63 goals per game compared to Montreal's 1.5. Messi's remarkable run of 10 goals and 8 assists in the last 10 matches, alongside Suárez's consistent scoring, gives Miami a potent attacking threat. Montreal's key man Owusu has been in good form with 3 goals in the last 5 games, but the doubtful status of Carmona due to a knee injury could hamper their creativity. Defensive resilience from Montreal's Brayan Vera will be crucial to contain Miami's forwards.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Inter Miami with a 3-2 scoreline. The match is expected to be high scoring and closely contested, with a total of around four cards likely due to the competitive nature of the fixture. Confidence in this outcome stands at 35%, reflecting the slight edge Miami have in attack and form.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Inter Miami's attacking trio in red-hot form
Messi and Suárez lead a potent attack with high recent goal and assist rates, likely to challenge Montreal's defense
CF Montreal's Carmona doubtful with knee injury
Carmona's availability uncertain; if absent, Montreal loses a key goal threat and creative midfielder
Inter Miami's superior scoring and form
Inter Miami averages 2.63 goals per game with a 5-game scoring streak, outperforming Montreal's 1.5 goals average
Montreal's Longstaff playmaking crucial if fit
Longstaff's assists and key passes vital for Montreal's attack; doubtful status caps his impact potential
Key Takeaways
Expect a thrilling encounter with plenty of goals and moments of quality from star players. Inter Miami's attacking trio should prove decisive, but Montreal will fight hard to keep the scoreline respectable. Fans can look forward to an entertaining MLS clash with a narrow victory for the visitors.
- Inter Miami averages 2.63 goals per game, outscoring Montreal's 1.5 goals per game.
- Lionel Messi has scored 10 goals and provided 8 assists in his last 10 matches.
- Luis Suárez has netted 7 goals in the last 10 games, forming a strong partnership with Messi.
- Prince-Osei Owusu is Montreal's top scorer with 3 goals in the last 5 matches.
- Wikelman Carmona is doubtful with a knee injury, potentially impacting Montreal's creativity.
- Brayan Vera is a key defensive figure for Montreal with solid recent performances.
- Prediction confidence for an Inter Miami win is 35%, with a predicted scoreline of 3-2.
- The match is expected to see around 4 cards due to its competitive nature.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — CF Montreal
Away — Inter Miami
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Fray
Yellow Card
Reguilón
Ríos
Piette
Longstaff
Berterame
Suárez
Penalty
Segovia
Yellow Card
Loturi
Bright
Morales
Match Statistics
CF Montreal
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1S. BrezaG
- 4B. VeraD
- 6S. PietteM
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 9P. OwusuF
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 14D. RíosF
- 18H. SynchukF
- 22V. LoturiM
- 24E. MoralesD
- 27D. BugajD
Substitutes
- 2J. NealD
- 5B. CraigD
- 7D. PereiraM
- 21F. HerbersF
- 23N. StreitM
- 26I. LosenkoM
- 29O. EscobarF
- 41S. KeitaG
Inter Miami
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3ReguilónD
- 4F. MuraD
- 5CasemiroM
- 8T. SegoviaM
- 9L. SuárezF
- 16MicaelD
- 17I. FrayD
- 19G. BerterameF
- 24Mateo SilvettiM
- 34R. Ríos NovoG
- 42Y. BrightM
Substitutes
- 32N. AllenD
- 41D. RuízM
- 56Daniel PinterF
- 59P. PlambeckM
- 70D. SumallaD
- 76Ezequiel Abadia-RedaD
- 97D. St. ClairG
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Petrasso | D | 99 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Prince Owusu | F | 99 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Hennadii Synchuk | F | 99 | 7.0 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Brayan Vera | D | 99 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Efraín Morales | D | 99 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Samuel Piette(C) | M | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastian Breza | G | 99 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 99 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Daniel Rios | F | 62 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jalen Neal | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandan Craig | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Losenko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olger Escobar | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samsy Keita | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pereira | M | 38 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Noah Streit | M | 37 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Fabian Herbers | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Inter Miami
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocco Ríos Novo | G | 99 | 8.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Micael | D | 99 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Telasco Segovia | M | 99 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1/2 |
| Luis Suárez(C) | F | 99 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Casemiro | M | 99 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Ian Fray | D | 99 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Reguilón | D | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Yannick Bright | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Germán Berterame | F | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Facundo Mura | D | 99 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Silvetti | M | 99 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Daniel Sumalla | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dayne St. Clair | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Ruíz | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pinter | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezequiel Abadia-Reda | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Allen | D | 40 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Preston Plambeck | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |