CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal secures solid win over FC Cincinnati
Owusu's brace, including a penalty, seals a 3-1 victory for Montreal.
CF Montreal took the lead through D. Ríos in the first half before FC Cincinnati briefly levelled the contest via T. Barlow after the break. However, Owusu's penalty and a quick follow-up goal in the mid-70s restored and extended Montreal's advantage, ensuring a comfortable 3-1 win. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction for a home win was spot on, though the margin was a bit more decisive than forecast.
Outcome probability
CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati face off in what promises to be an engaging MLS regular season encounter. Both teams have shown attacking flair in their previous meetings, setting the stage for a competitive match.
Match factors
Owusu's home scoring threat vs Cincinnati's defense
Owusu scores 0.5 goals per home game, exploiting Cincinnati's leaky defense conceding 2.44 goals per game
Denkey's consistent scoring form for Cincinnati
Denkey has 13 goals this season with 3 in last 5, providing a reliable scoring outlet for away side
Evander's creative influence for Cincinnati
Evander leads assists with 8 this season and is key playmaker despite no assists in last 5 games
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so predicted lineups likely to feature key players
The context
This fixture is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 27. Historically, these teams have met 15 times, with FC Cincinnati holding a slight edge in wins. Their encounters tend to be high scoring, averaging nearly four goals per match, indicating an open and attacking style from both sides.
Key insights
Prince-Osei Owusu
CF Montreal
Owusu is a key home threat, scoring 11 goals this season with strong recent form, exploiting Cincinnati's leaky defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 21 appearances, 0.52 goals/game
Ahoueke Denkey
FC Cincinnati
Denkey provides a reliable scoring outlet with 13 goals this season, including 3 in the last 5 games, maintaining consistent form.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 20 appearances, 0.65 goals/game
Evander
FC Cincinnati
Evander is the creative engine for Cincinnati, leading with 8 assists and contributing 10 goals, key to their attacking play.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals and 8 assists in 19 appearances
Analysis
CF Montreal's Prince-Osei Owusu has been a standout performer this season, netting 11 goals and providing 6 assists, particularly thriving at home. FC Cincinnati's Ahoueke Denkey counters with 13 goals, maintaining consistent scoring form. Midfielder Evander is a key creative force for Cincinnati, leading their assists tally. The predicted halftime score of 1-1 reflects the balanced nature of the contest, with both teams likely to find the net early before Montreal clinches the win in the second half.
Key facts
- 1.CF Montreal have won 4 of 15 meetings against FC Cincinnati, who have won 9, with 2 draws.
- 2.The average goals per head-to-head match is 3.9, highlighting offensive potential.
- 3.Prince-Osei Owusu leads CF Montreal with 11 goals and 6 assists this season.
- 4.Ahoueke Denkey is FC Cincinnati's top scorer with 13 goals.
- 5.Evander leads FC Cincinnati with 8 assists and 10 goals this season.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-1, indicating a balanced first half.
- 7.The match is expected to feature 3 total cards, suggesting a competitive game.
Prediction
We anticipate a 2-1 victory for CF Montreal, with the home side edging out FC Cincinnati after a competitive first half. The match should feature three cards, reflecting a spirited but fair contest. Expect Owusu to be heavily involved in the goals, supported by Montreal's solid home form.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — CF Montreal
Away — FC Cincinnati
The verdict
In summary, this match is set to be a closely fought affair with attacking talents on both sides. CF Montreal's home advantage and key players' form should see them narrowly prevail, making for an entertaining MLS fixture.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 02:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ceballos
Ríos
Longstaff
Yellow Card
Herbers
Yellow Card
Jabbari
Barlow
Assist: Valenzuela
Celentano
Yellow Card
Owusu
Penalty
Owusu
Assist: Ríos
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
Nwobodo
Gidi
Hadebe
Yellow Card
Hagglund
Owusu
Match Statistics
CF Montreal
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1S. BrezaG
- 2J. NealD
- 3B. CeballosD
- 5B. CraigD
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 9P. OwusuF
- 10A. SánchezM
- 13L. PetrassoM
- 14D. RíosF
- 22V. LoturiM
- 27D. BugajM
Substitutes
- 21F. HerbersF
- 25F. AmayaM
- 26I. LosenkoM
- 31T. GillierG
- 33E. GazdovG
FC Cincinnati
3-5-2Starting XI
- 4N. HagglundD
- 5O. NwobodoM
- 10EvanderM
- 11S. GidiD
- 15T. HadebeD
- 16T. BarlowF
- 17K. Mboma DemM
- 18R. CelentanoG
- 22G. ValenzuelaM
- 29Bryan Josías Ramírez LeónM
- 99A. JabbariF
Substitutes
- 2A. PowellD
- 6J. MalatiniD
- 13E. LouroG
- 14K. FletcherF
- 19Stefan ChirilaM
- 23D. DouděraM
- 24K. SmithD
- 27B. AnungaM
- 50Felix SamsonD
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ríos | F | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Owusu | F | 87 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | 4 | — |
| J. Neal | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Breza | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sánchez | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| M. Longstaff | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Craig | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Petrasso | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| B. Ceballos | D | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bugaj | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Herbers | F | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| F. Amaya | M | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Loturi | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| I. Losenko | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Gillier | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Gazdov | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Barlow | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Valenzuela | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 3/4 |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | M | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| A. Jabbari | F | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| O. Nwobodo | M | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Evander | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| K. Fletcher | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Hagglund | D | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| D. Douděra | M | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Hadebe | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Powell | D | 4 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Anunga | M | 4 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Gidi | D | 86 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Smith | D | 13 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Mboma Dem | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/2 |
| R. Celentano | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felix Samson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Louro | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Malatini | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Chirila | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster's AI model predicted CF Montreal to win against FC Cincinnati.
- What score did Fipster predict for CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster predicted a final score of CF Montreal 2–1 FC Cincinnati.
- What were the win probabilities for CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster's model gave CF Montreal a 59% chance of winning, FC Cincinnati a 20% chance, and a 21% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 59% confidence — a medium-confidence call.