Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi stun Celtic with swift strike trio
A rapid-fire burst around half-time turned the game on its head in Budapest's favour.
Ferencvarosi TC overturned expectations with a 3-1 victory over Celtic in the UEFA Europa League. B. Yusuf opened the scoring early on, and despite M. Baur's equaliser just before half-time, Ferencvarosi responded immediately with goals from K. Zachariassen and D. Arzani after the break. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow Celtic win, delivering a surprising away triumph instead.
Outcome probability
Celtic and Ferencvarosi TC face off in what promises to be a tightly fought group stage match. Both teams have shown solid form recently, but this one looks set to be a cagey affair with few clear-cut chances early on.
Match factors
Ferencvarosi TC's scoring consistency
Ferencvarosi TC has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong attacking form
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing players
Ferencvarosi TC's strong recent form
Ferencvarosi TC has a 71% win rate in last 7 games, indicating good momentum
The context
Ferencvarosi TC have impressed in this competition with an unbeaten record of six wins and two draws from eight matches, including a commanding 4-0 play-off win against Trabzonspor. Celtic, meanwhile, are looking to assert themselves in the group stage, aiming to capitalise on home advantage and break down a resolute visiting side.
Analysis
The probabilities suggest a slight edge for Celtic, with a narrow 1-0 win being the second most likely full-time scoreline after a 1-1 draw. The first half is expected to be goalless, reflecting a cautious start from both sides. Ferencvarosi TC's recent scoring streak and strong win rate indicate they won't be pushovers, but Celtic's home familiarity and tactical discipline could tip the scales late on.
Key facts
- 1.Ferencvarosi TC remain unbeaten in eight matches in this competition (W6 D2).
- 2.Ferencvarosi TC's last knockout match was a 4-0 home win against Trabzonspor.
- 3.The most probable halftime score is 0-0, indicating a cautious first half.
- 4.The predicted full-time score is a narrow 1-0 win for Celtic.
- 5.Four total cards are expected, suggesting a competitive midfield battle.
- 6.Ferencvarosi TC have scored in their last five matches, showing strong attacking form.
- 7.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
Prediction
Expect a tight match with few goals, culminating in a late strike to give Celtic the win. The predicted 1-0 scoreline reflects a slender margin, with four cards anticipated as both teams contest the midfield battle robustly.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Celtic
No standout top scorers flagged for Celtic
Away — Ferencvarosi TC
The verdict
While the outcome leans towards a Celtic victory, the close probabilities and limited data mean this one could easily swing either way. Fans should brace for a tense, tactical encounter where a single moment of quality might decide the day.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
No recent fixture data
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Celtic has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yusuf
Assist: Zachariassen
Baur
Assist: Tierney
Zachariassen
Assist: Yusuf
Sørensen
Nagy
Arzani
Assist: Yusuf
Forrest
Hassan
Yusuf
Arzani
Baur
Bagi
Donovan
Gómez
Levi
Yellow Card
Osváth
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Celtic
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1V. SinisaloG
- 5L. ScalesD
- 11C. DuránF
- 18O. SørensenM
- 20C. Carter-VickersD
- 22M. BaurM
- 23H. HassanM
- 42C. McGregorM
- 49J. ForrestM
- 51Colby DonovanD
- 63K. TierneyD
Substitutes
- 3J. LotombaD
- 6A. TrustyD
- 8B. NygrenF
- 9K. HøghF
- 14L. McCowanM
- 17S. TounektiF
- 26S. JohnstoneG
- 31R. DoohanG
- 47D. MurrayD
- 56A. RalstonD
Ferencvarosi TC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Á. VargaG
- 4M. GómezD
- 6Á. NagyM
- 11B. YusufM
- 15D. ArzaniM
- 16K. ZachariassenM
- 17M. CorbuM
- 18Á. BagiF
- 20CaduD
- 28T. RaemaekersD
- 54O. NagyD
Substitutes
- 5G. ZohoréD
- 7V. BirmančevićF
- 8N. KeïtaM
- 10J. LeviF
- 14A. OsváthD
- 19F. KovačevićF
- 22M. BeroM
- 47C. O'DowdaM
- 71C. LakatosD
- 76K. LisztesF
- 90D. DibuszG
Celtic
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Baur | M | 66 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Tierney | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| K. Høgh | F | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| S. Tounekti | F | 33 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| C. Carter-Vickers | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Forrest | M | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| C. McGregor | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. Nygren | F | 33 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| C. Durán | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Scales | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Colby Donovan | D | 80 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ralston | D | 10 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Sørensen | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| H. Hassan | M | 57 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. McCowan | M | 24 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| V. Sinisalo | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Murray | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Trusty | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lotomba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Doohan | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Johnstone | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ferencvarosi TC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Yusuf | M | 66 | 9.1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2/4 |
| K. Zachariassen | M | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| D. Arzani | M | 66 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| K. Lisztes | F | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Cadu | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| T. Raemaekers | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gómez | D | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Varga | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Á. Nagy | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| J. Levi | F | 24 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Zohoré | D | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Nagy | D | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Corbu | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| C. O'Dowda | M | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Á. Bagi | F | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Osváth | D | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Bero | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Dibusz | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Kovačević | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Keïta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Birmančević | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Lakatos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Celtic to win against Ferencvarosi TC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Celtic 1–0 Ferencvarosi TC.
- What were the win probabilities for Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC?
- Fipster's model gave Celtic a 35% chance of winning, Ferencvarosi TC a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.