Celtic vs Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo snatch victory at Celtic
Javi Rodríguez's brace turns the tide after Celtic's early second-half strike.
Celtic took the lead just after the break through M. Baur, but Celta Vigo responded swiftly with two goals from Javi Rodríguez to secure a 2-1 win. The Spanish side's quickfire double between the 68th and 71st minutes overturned the home advantage. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Celtic win, proving the visitors' resilience in this Europa League clash.
Outcome probability
The upcoming group stage match between Celtic and Celta Vigo promises a closely fought contest. Both teams enter the fixture with full squads available, setting the stage for an evenly matched battle.
Match factors
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both Celtic and Celta Vigo have no confirmed absences, ensuring full squad availability.
Balanced scoring and assisting averages across teams
Both teams show similar average goals and assists per player by position, indicating a balanced contest offensively.
Limited recent form data reduces prediction confidence
Insufficient match history and missing form data for both teams lowers confidence in player impact predictions.
The context
This fixture is part of the group stage where every point counts. Neither side has confirmed injuries, so both can field their strongest line-ups. The balanced offensive stats suggest a competitive game with chances at both ends.
Key facts
- 1.Celtic and Celta Vigo have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squad availability.
- 2.The predicted fulltime scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Celtic.
- 3.Draws have the highest single scoreline probability (1-1), but 2-1 is a close second.
- 4.Both teams show balanced scoring and assisting averages, indicating an evenly matched offensive contest.
- 5.A total of three cards is predicted for the match, suggesting a competitive game.
- 6.Limited recent form data reduces confidence in the prediction.
- 7.This is a group stage match where every point is crucial for progression.
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win for Celtic by a 2-1 scoreline. While the most probable single scoreline overall is a 1-1 draw, the aggregated probabilities favour Celtic edging this one. Limited recent form data and missing standings reduce certainty, but the home side's slight advantage in the probabilities is notable.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Celtic
Away — Celta Vigo
Prediction
Expect Celtic to clinch a 2-1 victory in a match that should be tight but with the home side just shading it. The game is likely to feature a few cards, with a total of three predicted, reflecting a competitive but fair encounter.
The verdict
In summary, Celtic are favoured to take the points in this group stage clash, though the margin is fine and the data limited. Fans can anticipate a spirited match with both teams pushing hard for a win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Durán
Yellow Card
Baur
Osmand
Burcio
Aspas
Yellow Card
Javi Rodríguez
Assist: Álvarez
Javi Rodríguez
Hassan
Jutglà
Baur
Durán
Scales
Yellow Card
Javi Rueda
Álvarez
Sørensen
Yellow Card
Donovan
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Celtic
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5L. ScalesD
- 8B. NygrenM
- 11C. DuránF
- 19C. OsmandM
- 22M. BaurM
- 23H. HassanM
- 26S. JohnstoneG
- 42C. McGregorM
- 47D. MurrayD
- 51Colby DonovanD
- 63K. TierneyD
Substitutes
- 1V. SinisaloG
- 3J. LotombaD
- 9K. HøghF
- 14L. McCowanM
- 17S. TounektiF
- 18O. SørensenM
- 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
- 33S. McArdleM
- 49J. ForrestM
- 56A. RalstonD
- 61J. HaneyM
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3Marcos AlonsoD
- 5Sergio CarreiraM
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 10Iago AspasF
- 13I. RaduG
- 14Aleix FebasM
- 17Javi RuedaM
- 20Javi RodríguezD
- 21S. CáceresD
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezF
- 30H. BurcioM
Substitutes
- 1A. BayındırG
- 4A. FayeD
- 6I. MoribaM
- 11Pablo DuránF
- 16Hugo GonzálezF
- 18Yoel LagoD
- 19W. SwedbergF
- 22Javi GalánD
- 24C. DriouechF
- 28Andrés AntañónM
- 31Ángel ArcosF
- 35G. MillerD
Celtic
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Baur | M | 79 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| L. Scales | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Murray | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Tierney | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Colby Donovan | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Osmand | M | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| C. Durán | F | 80 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| H. Hassan | M | 73 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| B. Nygren | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| S. Johnstone | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Forrest | M | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Tounekti | F | 10 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| K. Høgh | F | 17 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| O. Sørensen | M | 11 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. McArdle | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Oxlade-Chamberlain | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Haney | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Sinisalo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. McCowan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ralston | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lotomba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 90 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Swedberg | F | 27 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | F | 85 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2/6 |
| Aleix Febas | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| S. Cáceres | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 77 | 6.8 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0/3 |
| H. Burcio | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Iago Aspas | F | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Sergio Carreira | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Javi Rueda | M | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Javi Galán | D | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Moriba | M | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Antañón | M | 5 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| I. Radu | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Miller | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bayındır | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo González | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Driouech | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Faye | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángel Arcos | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Celtic to win against Celta Vigo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Celtic 2–1 Celta Vigo.
- What were the win probabilities for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
- Fipster's model gave Celtic a 35% chance of winning, Celta Vigo a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.