Celta Vigo vs Sevilla
Match recap
Celta Vigo beat Sevilla 1–0 in their La Liga fixture. Moriba scored for Celta Vigo. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.57 for Celta Vigo versus 0.80 for Sevilla. Celta Vigo sit 6th in the La Liga table while Sevilla are 13th.
Analysis
As the La Liga season nears its climax, Celta Vigo host Sevilla in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have their eyes on finishing strong, but the home side's recent form and statistical edge suggest they have the upper hand.
Celta Vigo currently sit 6th in the league with 51 points, comfortably ahead of Sevilla who are 13th with 43 points. The match takes place at Celta's home ground, where their attacking trio have been particularly effective this season.
Celta's Borja Iglesias leads the charge with 14 goals this season, boasting a strong recent scoring run and excellent home form. Ferran Jutglà complements him well, especially at home, while Javi Rueda's creativity and assist tally provide ample support. Defensively, Óscar Mingueza and Marcos Alonso offer solidity and passing accuracy, crucial against Sevilla's attackers. Sevilla's top scorer Akor Adams has been less prolific recently, and their overall goal difference and form lag behind Celta's.
Prediction
We predict a 2-1 victory for Celta Vigo, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of four cards likely to be shown. Confidence in this outcome stands at a solid 68%, reflecting Celta's home advantage and superior recent performances.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Celta's attacking trio in strong recent form
Borja Iglesias and Ferran Jutglà show high scoring rates recently, supported by Javi Rueda's assists.
Celta's superior assist and passing stats
Celta's key players exceed league averages in assists and passing accuracy, aiding attacking fluidity.
Sevilla's key attackers have inconsistent recent scoring
Akor Adams leads but recent goal output is moderate; creative support is less prolific.
Defensive solidity from Celta's Mingueza and Alonso
Both defenders have above-average defensive stats and passing, crucial against Sevilla's attackers.
No significant injuries reported for either team
Full squad availability supports predicted lineups and tactical plans.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Celta Vigo's blend of attacking prowess and defensive resilience at home should see them edge past Sevilla in a tight encounter. Fans can expect a spirited match with moments of quality and a narrow home win to cap off the season.
- Celta Vigo are 6th in La Liga with 51 points from 37 games.
- Sevilla sit 13th with 43 points from 37 games.
- Celta Vigo have a positive goal difference of +4; Sevilla have -13.
- Borja Iglesias is Celta's top scorer with 14 goals this season.
- Javi Rueda leads Celta in assists with 6 this season.
- Sevilla's top scorer Akor Adams has 10 goals this season.
- Celta's defenders Mingueza and Alonso have above-average defensive stats.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Celta Vigo
Away — Sevilla
No standout top scorers flagged for Sevilla
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Moriba
Yellow Card
Moriba
Assist: Fer López
Peque Fernández
Isaac
Sánchez
Swedberg
Aspas
Fer López
Iglesias
Oso
Agoumé
Maupay
Yellow Card
Javi Rueda
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 60 |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 | 54 |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | -6 | 51 |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 | 45 |
| 13 |  Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 | 43 |
Match Statistics
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Starting XI
- 5Sergio CarreiraM
- 6I. MoribaM
- 7Borja IglesiasF
- 8Fer LópezM
- 10Iago AspasF
- 13I. RaduG
- 17Javi RuedaM
- 19W. SwedbergF
- 20Marcos AlonsoD
- 29Yoel LagoD
- 32Javi RodríguezD
Substitutes
- 1Iván VillarG
- 3Óscar MinguezaD
- 4J. AidooD
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 11F. CerviM
- 14Álvaro NúñezD
- 15M. VecinoM
- 18Pablo DuránF
- 21M. RistićD
- 22Hugo SoteloM
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezM
- 39J. El AbdellaouiF
Sevilla
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2José Ángel CarmonaD
- 3César AzpilicuetaD
- 4Kike SalasD
- 7IsaacF
- 10A. SánchezF
- 12G. SuazoD
- 13Ø. NylandG
- 14Peque FernándezM
- 18L. AgouméM
- 20D. SowM
- 36OsoF
Substitutes
- 1O. VlachodimosG
- 5T. NianzouD
- 6N. GudeljM
- 8Joan JordánM
- 9A. AdamsF
- 11R. VargasM
- 15Fábio CardosoD
- 17N. MaupayF
- 21C. EjukeF
- 22F. GattoniD
- 31Alberto FloresG
Celta Vigo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fer López | M | 74 | 8.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 3/4 |
| Ilaix Moriba | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ionuț Radu | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Carreira | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Javier Rueda | M | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Iago Aspas(C) | F | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Williot Swedberg | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 74 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jones El-Abdellaoui | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Sotelo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Núñez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Villar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mihailo Ristić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Aidoo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Cervi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 24 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Pablo Durán | F | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Vecino | M | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
Sevilla
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oso | F | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Kike Salas | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| César Azpilicueta(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Peque Fernández | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Djibril Sow | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Alexis Sánchez | F | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Lucien Agoumé | M | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Isaac Romero | F | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Gabriel Suazo | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ørjan Nyland | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tanguy Nianzou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Odysseas Vlachodimos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fábio Cardoso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joan Jordán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Guillén | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Flores | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Gattoni | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nemanja Gudelj | M | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Chidera Ejuke | F | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ruben Vargas | M | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Neal Maupay | F | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Akor Adams | F | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |