Celta Vigo vs Real Betis
Celta Vigo and Real Betis settle for stalemate
A goalless draw frustrates expectations in La Liga clash
Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 4-1 home win, Celta Vigo and Real Betis played out a cautious 0-0 draw. Neither side could find the breakthrough, resulting in a stalemate that defied the anticipated goal-fest. The match offered a tight defensive battle rather than the expected goal-scoring spectacle.
Outcome probability
Celta Vigo face Real Betis in a La Liga clash where the home side are tipped to overturn the odds with a convincing win. Despite Betis' higher league standing, Celta's attacking potential and defensive resilience could prove decisive.
Match factors
Celta Vigo missing key attackers
Pablo Durán and Borja Iglesias are confirmed out, weakening home attack options
Real Betis on strong scoring streak
Betis have scored in last 5 games, led by Ezzalzouli's 3 goals in last 5
Celta's midfield defensive strength
I. Moriba's tackling rate (1.875/game) exceeds league average (1.23), aiding defensive solidity
Betis' creative attackers vs Celta's weakened defense
Betis attackers like Hernández and Ezzalzouli have good form against a Celta side missing key defenders
The context
Real Betis currently sit third in the league with 19 points from 8 games, boasting a strong points-per-game ratio of 2.38. Meanwhile, Celta Vigo are ninth with 8 points from 8 matches, struggling to convert draws into wins. Betis have been consistent scorers recently, led by Abdessamad Ezzalzouli, but Celta's home advantage and tactical setup offer a promising counter.
Key insights
Ferran Jutglà
Celta Vigo
Jutglà's strong home form with 2 goals in 8 appearances makes him the key attacking threat for Celta.
La Liga 26/272 goals in 8 appearances, 0.4 avg per game last 5
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
Real Betis
Ezzalzouli leads Betis' scoring with 3 goals in last 5 games, posing a significant threat despite Betis being the away side.
La Liga 26/273 goals in 5 appearances, 0.6 avg per game last 5
- I
I. Moriba
Celta Vigo
Moriba's tackling rate of 1.875 per game exceeds the league average, bolstering Celta's midfield defensive strength.
La Liga 26/271.875 tackles/game vs 1.23 league avg
- J
Juan Hernández Suárez
Real Betis
Hernández is a consistent goal and assist contributor, making him a key creative and scoring threat for Betis.
La Liga 26/272 goals and 2 assists in 8 appearances
Analysis
The prediction leans heavily towards a home win, with a 92% probability and a most likely scoreline of 4-1. Celta Vigo's midfield, anchored by I. Moriba's above-average tackling, is expected to stifle Betis' creative attackers like Juan Hernández Suárez and Ezzalzouli. Despite missing key attackers Pablo Durán and Borja Iglesias, Celta's Ferran Jutglà and Iago Aspas provide goal threats, supported by creative midfielders Hugo González and Hugo Álvarez. Betis' attacking form is notable, but Celta's defensive solidity and home form should prevail.
Key facts
- 1.Real Betis are 3rd in the league with 19 points from 8 games (W6 D1 L1).
- 2.Celta Vigo are 9th with 8 points from 8 games (W1 D5 L2).
- 3.Betis have a points-per-game advantage of 2.38 over Celta's 1.00.
- 4.Ferran Jutglà has scored 2 goals in 8 appearances, with strong recent home form.
- 5.Abdessamad Ezzalzouli is Betis' top scorer with 3 goals in last 5 games.
- 6.Celta's I. Moriba averages 1.875 tackles per game, above the league average of 1.23.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 2-0, consistent with the fulltime 4-1 outcome.
- 8.Three cards are expected in this competitive fixture.
Prediction
Expect Celta Vigo to lead 2-0 at halftime and extend their dominance to a 4-1 fulltime victory. The match should feature three cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Ferran Jutglà is the prime candidate to score, with a 75% probability, while Betis' Ezzalzouli will look to spoil the party with his goal threat.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Celta Vigo
Away — Real Betis
The verdict
In summary, Celta Vigo are poised to deliver a strong home performance against Real Betis, overturning league form with a confident attacking display and disciplined defence. Fans can anticipate an entertaining match with goals aplenty and a clear home victory.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 16:09 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Moriba
Yellow Card
Diego Llorente
Yellow Card
Álvarez
González
Deossa
Antony
Durán
Isco
Javi Rueda
Diego Llorente
Dani Ceballos
Carreira
Yellow Card
Febas
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3Marcos AlonsoD
- 6I. MoribaM
- 11Pablo DuránF
- 13I. RaduG
- 14Aleix FebasM
- 16Hugo GonzálezF
- 17Javi RuedaM
- 18Yoel LagoD
- 20Javi RodríguezD
- 22Javi GalánM
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezF
Substitutes
- 1A. BayındırG
- 4A. FayeD
- 5Sergio CarreiraD
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 10Iago AspasF
- 19W. SwedbergF
- 21S. CáceresD
- 24C. DriouechF
- 25Iván VillarG
- 28Andrés AntañónM
- 30H. BurcioM
Real Betis
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Álvaro VallésG
- 3Diego LlorenteD
- 4NatanD
- 7AntonyM
- 10A. EzzalzouliM
- 12Ángel OrtizD
- 16V. GómezD
- 18N. DeossaF
- 21Marc RocaM
- 22IscoM
- 25Dani CeballosM
Substitutes
- 2Héctor BellerínD
- 5Marc BartraD
- 8Pablo FornalsM
- 11Fran GarcíaD
- 13Diego CondeG
- 15Álvaro FidalgoM
- 17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
- 19T. ParrottF
- 20G. Lo CelsoM
- 24Aitor RuibalF
- 27J. A. MoranteF
- 31Manu GonzálezG
Celta Vigo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo González | F | 58 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1/1 |
| I. Radu | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Galán | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/4 |
| Yoel Lago | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| W. Swedberg | F | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| I. Moriba | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Aleix Febas | M | 81 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | F | 57 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| H. Burcio | M | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Javi Rueda | M | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 33 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Iago Aspas | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Carreira | D | 22 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Faye | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Antañón | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Cáceres | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bayındır | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Villar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Driouech | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Betis
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Vallés | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Fornals | M | 29 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Marc Roca | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Isco | M | 68 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| G. Lo Celso | M | 22 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| V. Gómez | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ezzalzouli | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Natan | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Dani Ceballos | M | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antony | M | 61 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Marc Bartra | D | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Llorente | D | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | M | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángel Ortiz | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Deossa | F | 61 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| T. Parrott | F | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. A. Morante | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran García | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Héctor Bellerín | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Ruibal | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Conde | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Riquelme | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu González | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Celta Vigo to win against Real Betis.
- What score did Fipster predict for Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Celta Vigo 4–1 Real Betis.
- What were the win probabilities for Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?
- Fipster's model gave Celta Vigo a 95% chance of winning, Real Betis a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.