Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander
Celta Vigo steamroll Racing Santander
A dominant five-goal display leaves Racing stunned at Balaídos.
Celta Vigo delivered a commanding 5-0 thrashing of Racing Santander, overturning Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win. Hugo González opened the scoring with a penalty before I. Moriba doubled the lead just before half-time. After the break, Miguel Román and Pablo Durán, who netted twice including a stoppage-time goal, completed the rout. This emphatic home victory was a clear upset against the forecast.
Outcome probability
Celta Vigo and Racing Santander face off in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both sides have had mixed starts to the season, but Racing's sharper edge in attack could prove decisive.
Match factors
Racing Santander's prolific striker Mohamed Zabiri
Zabiri leads with 5 goals in 5 games, driving Racing's attack and boosting their win chances
Celta Vigo's assist leader Hugo González in good form
González has 2 assists in 3 games, key to creating chances despite team's low scoring
Starfelt's dual threat as defender and occasional scorer
Starfelt's goal threat on set pieces and solid defense could challenge Racing's attack
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing key players
The context
Celta Vigo sit 16th in the league with just 4 points from 6 games, struggling to find the net with no wins so far. Meanwhile, Racing Santander are a bit more comfortable in 10th place, having picked up 7 points from their 6 outings. Racing's points-per-game advantage (1.17 vs 0.67) suggests they have the momentum heading into this fixture.
Key insights
Mohamed Zabiri
Racing Santander
Zabiri is the league's top scorer with 5 goals in 5 games, making him the key threat for Racing.
La Liga 26/275 goals in 5 appearances, 1.0 avg per game
Hugo González
Celta Vigo
González leads Celta's creativity with 2 assists in 3 games, crucial for their attacking chances.
La Liga 26/272 assists in 3 appearances, 0.67 avg per game
C. Starfelt
Celta Vigo
Starfelt offers both defensive solidity and a goal threat, scoring once in 3 games.
La Liga 26/271 goal in 3 appearances, 0.33 avg per game
Analysis
Racing Santander's Mohamed Zabiri is the standout player, leading the league with 5 goals in 5 games and expected to continue his scoring run. Celta's Hugo González, with 2 assists in 3 games, will be key to creating chances for the home side, but Racing's defensive resilience and attacking threat give them the upper hand. The predicted halftime score of 0-1 reflects Racing's early dominance, with Celta likely to respond in the second half but ultimately falling short.
Key facts
- 1.Celta Vigo are 16th with 4 points from 6 games (W0 D4 L2).
- 2.Racing Santander are 10th with 7 points from 6 games (W2 D1 L3).
- 3.Racing Santander have a points-per-game advantage of 1.17 over Celta Vigo's 0.67.
- 4.Mohamed Zabiri leads the league with 5 goals in 5 games.
- 5.Hugo González has 2 assists in 3 games for Celta Vigo.
- 6.Predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favour of Racing Santander.
- 7.Total cards predicted in the match are 4.
Prediction
The forecast is for Racing Santander to take the lead before halftime and maintain their advantage, despite Celta Vigo pulling one back later on. The final scoreline of 2-1 in favour of the visitors aligns with the statistical probabilities and current form, making an away win the most plausible outcome.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Celta Vigo
Away — Racing Santander
The verdict
Expect a competitive match with Racing Santander's clinical striker Zabiri making the difference. Celta Vigo will fight hard but may find it tough to overturn the early deficit. Four cards are predicted, so discipline could play a role in the closing stages.
Prediction generated 17 Sep 2026, 05:06 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty confirmed
González
Penalty
Moriba
Assist: Román
Javi Rueda
Yellow Card
González
Javi Rueda
Zabiri
Yellow Card
Mantilla
Jutglà
André Almeida
García
Swedberg
Belocian
Yellow Card
Román
Lago
Yellow Card
Zabiri
Ramón
Yellow Card
Durán
Assist: Álvarez
Román
Martín
Durán
Assist: Álvarez
Vicente
Yellow Card
Canales
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 |  Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Starting XI
- 6I. MoribaM
- 8Miguel RománM
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 13I. RaduG
- 15Álvaro NúñezD
- 16Hugo GonzálezF
- 17Javi RuedaM
- 18Yoel LagoD
- 19W. SwedbergF
- 21S. CáceresD
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezM
Substitutes
- 1A. BayındırG
- 2C. StarfeltD
- 3Marcos AlonsoD
- 4A. FayeD
- 5Sergio CarreiraD
- 7Borja IglesiasF
- 11Pablo DuránF
- 14Aleix FebasM
- 20Javi RodríguezD
- 22Javi GalánD
- 24C. DriouechF
- 30H. BurcioM
Racing Santander
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Álvaro MantillaD
- 5Pablo RamónD
- 8André AlmeidaM
- 10Iñigo VicenteM
- 13Julen AgirrezabalaG
- 15Pablo GarcíaM
- 17Jorge SalinasD
- 19Iker LuqueM
- 21M. ZabiriF
- 23Iván MartínM
- 24J. BelocianD
Substitutes
- 3Aarón MartínD
- 4Manu HernandoD
- 6Íñigo Sainz-MazaM
- 7G. GuliashviliF
- 9Juan Carlos AranaF
- 12Asier VillalibreF
- 14M. GueyeM
- 16Facundo GonzálezD
- 18M. PratiM
- 20Sergio CanalesM
- 22Pedro FelipeD
- 31Laro GómezG
Celta Vigo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Román | M | 84 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| I. Moriba | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| I. Radu | G | 90 | 8.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Hugo González | F | 46 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Hugo Álvarez | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| S. Cáceres | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 44 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Álvaro Núñez | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Carreira | D | 44 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Javi Galán | D | 26 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| H. Burcio | M | 6 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Javi Rueda | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| W. Swedberg | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Aleix Febas | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Starfelt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bayındır | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Driouech | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Faye | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Racing Santander
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Almeida | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Asier Villalibre | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Iñigo Vicente | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/5 |
| Iker Luque | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Jorge Salinas | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Iván Martín | M | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| G. Guliashvili | F | 15 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pablo Ramón | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| M. Zabiri | F | 75 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Aarón Martín | D | 27 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Íñigo Sainz-Maza | M | 6 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Mantilla | D | 63 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Belocian | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo García | M | 63 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Julen Agirrezabala | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Canales | M | 27 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Laro Gómez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Hernando | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Carlos Arana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo González | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Prati | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gueye | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Felipe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Racing Santander to win against Celta Vigo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Celta Vigo 1–2 Racing Santander.
- What were the win probabilities for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
- Fipster's model gave Celta Vigo a 16% chance of winning, Racing Santander a 68% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 68% confidence — a high-confidence call.