Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
Osasuna snatch win at Celta Vigo
A spirited comeback sees Osasuna overturn an early deficit to claim all three points.
Celta Vigo took an early lead through Iago Aspas' strike in the 14th minute, but Osasuna responded strongly after the break. Kike Barja levelled the scores in the 54th minute before A. Budimir secured the victory with a penalty at 63 minutes. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, as Osasuna turned the game on its head.
Analysis
The new La Liga season kicks off with Celta Vigo facing Osasuna in what promises to be a closely contested affair. Both teams will be eager to start their campaigns on a positive note, setting the tone for the months ahead.
As the curtain rises on the 2026-27 season, Celta Vigo and Osasuna prepare to battle it out in the first round of fixtures. Last season's performances have set expectations, with Celta aiming to build on a solid finish and Osasuna looking to improve their standing. This match offers a fresh start for both sides to showcase their ambitions.
Celta Vigo hold a statistical edge heading into this fixture, with a notably better goal difference than Osasuna from the previous campaign. The prediction models favour a home win, with a 1-0 scoreline being the most probable outcome. The anticipated tight scoreline suggests a disciplined defensive display from both teams, with Celta likely to secure a slender lead by halftime and maintain it through to fulltime. The match is also expected to be competitive in terms of discipline, with around four cards predicted.
Prediction
Expect Celta Vigo to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory over Osasuna. The home side is predicted to take the lead in the first half and hold on to that advantage. The game should be tight and tactical, with a moderate number of fouls and cards adding to the intensity.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
In summary, the season opener is set to be a close encounter with Celta Vigo just edging out Osasuna. Fans can anticipate a tactical battle where a single goal will likely decide the outcome, setting the stage for an intriguing campaign ahead.
- Celta Vigo finished 6th in the league last season with 54 points.
- Osasuna ended last season in 17th place with 42 points.
- Celta Vigo had a superior goal difference by 11 goals compared to Osasuna.
- The predicted final score is 1-0 in favour of Celta Vigo.
- Halftime score is expected to be 1-0, consistent with the fulltime prediction.
- Approximately four cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Celta Vigo
Away — Osasuna
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Aspas
Assist: Román
Moncayola
Yellow Card
Moncayola
Alonso
Red Card
Aspas
Kike Barja
Assist: García
Dubasin
Herrando
Budimir
Penalty
Swedberg
Javi Rueda
Javi Galán
Kike Barja
Durán
García
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Celta Vigo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iago Aspas(C) | F | 52 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Miguel Román | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Williot Swedberg | F | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pablo Durán | F | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Javier Rueda | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Galán | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ilaix Moriba | M | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 51 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ionuț Radu | G | 89 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hugo Burcio | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Faye | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleix Febas | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Núñez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Antañón | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Altay Bayındır | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo González | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jones El-Abdellaoui | F | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Carreira | D | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | M | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ferrán Jutglà | F | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carl Starfelt | D | 37 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Osasuna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Catena | D | 89 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kike Barja(C) | M | 74 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Lucas Torró | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Asier Osambela | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl García de Haro | F | 82 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Jon Moncayola | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Herrando | D | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Iñigo Arguibide | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Sergio Herrera | G | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abel Bretones | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Dubasin | M | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Unai Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Rico | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Echegoyen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enzo Boyomo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Moro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aimar Oroz | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Fernández | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ante Budimir | F | 31 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 44 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moi Gómez | F | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubén García | M | 31 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Celta Vigo to win against Osasuna.
- What score did Fipster predict for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Celta Vigo 1–0 Osasuna.
- What were the win probabilities for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
- Fipster's model gave Celta Vigo a 53% chance of winning, Osasuna a 23% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 53% confidence — a medium-confidence call.