Celta Vigo vs Levante

La LigaMatchweek 36
Full Time
23
HT: 11
Ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, SpainEstadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo · 24,791 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighMiss

Match recap

Levante beat Celta Vigo 3–2 in their La Liga fixture. Jutglà and Jutglà scored for Celta Vigo; Arriaga, Dela, and Brugui replied for Levante. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.07 for Celta Vigo versus 1.46 for Levante. Celta Vigo sit 6th in the La Liga table while Levante are 16th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Overconfident✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick
21
HT 1–0
Final Result
23
HT 1–1
30%Poor
F
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review14 May 2026

Analysis

As the La Liga season nears its climax, Celta Vigo host Levante in what promises to be a closely contested fixture. With both teams eager to secure vital points, the stage is set for an engaging encounter at Celta's home ground.

Celta Vigo currently sit comfortably in 6th place with 47 points, while Levante languish near the relegation zone in 18th with 36 points. The home side boasts a positive goal difference of +4, contrasting sharply with Levante's -16, highlighting the gulf in both offensive and defensive capabilities.

Despite missing key attackers Borja Iglesias and Ferran Jutglà to injury, Celta's attacking threat remains potent, especially with Hugo Álvarez's recent good form at home. Defender Óscar Mingueza's dual role as a playmaker and defender adds tactical depth. Levante, meanwhile, face defensive challenges due to suspensions and injuries, which could be exploited by the home side's superior build-up play.


Prediction

We predict Celta Vigo to edge out Levante with a 2-1 victory. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, reflecting Celta's ability to start strong and maintain control. The match is likely to see around four cards, indicating a competitive but fair contest.

Outcome probability

Celta Vigo 85%Draw 8%Levante 7%

Key Insights

Injury Impacthigh

Key attackers missing for Celta Vigo

Borja Iglesias, Ferran Jutglà, and Iago Aspas are injured, reducing attacking firepower.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Óscar Mingueza's dual role advantage

Mingueza's passing and defensive skills provide Celta a build-up and defensive edge.

Statistical Edgehigh

Celta's better home scoring form

Celta averages 1.5 goals at home vs Levante's 1.0 away, supporting predicted home win.

Form Momentummedium

Levante's recent scoring streak at home

Levante has scored in last 5 home games, showing attacking threat despite lower league rank.

Tactical Advantagehigh

Defensive absences weaken Levante

Levante missing key defenders like Manu Sánchez and J. Toljan, may struggle defensively.

Key Takeaways

In summary, Celta Vigo's home advantage, better form, and tactical strengths should see them through to a narrow win over Levante. While Levante will pose some threat, especially at home, the visitors' defensive absences and lower league standing make a comeback unlikely.

  • Celta Vigo rank 6th with 47 points, Levante 18th with 36 points.
  • Celta Vigo have a goal difference of +4; Levante's is -16.
  • Borja Iglesias is Celta's top scorer with 13 goals despite injury.
  • Óscar Mingueza leads Celta with 4 assists and strong defensive stats.
  • Levante have scored in their last 5 home games, showing resilience.
  • Levante miss key defenders Manu Sánchez and J. Toljan due to suspension and injury.
  • Celta average 1.5 goals per home game; Levante average 1.0 goals away.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeCelta Vigo

Borja Iglesias

Borja Iglesias

Attacker

Celta Vigo

Total Goals
13
League avg: 1.18
31 played
18 starts
1678 mins
~54 mins/game
Ferran Jutglà

Ferran Jutglà

Attacker

Celta Vigo

Total Goals
7
League avg: 1.18
26 played
19 starts
1488 mins
~57 mins/game
Hugo Álvarez

Hugo Álvarez

Midfielder

Celta Vigo

Total Goals
4
League avg: 1.18
24 played
14 starts
1223 mins
~51 mins/game

AwayLevante

No standout top scorers flagged for Levante