Celta Vigo vs Juventus
Juventus snatch late win at Celta Vigo
Kolo Muani's stoppage-time strike seals a 2-1 comeback victory in Spain.
Celta Vigo took an early lead through Hugo Álvarez's 18th-minute goal, but Juventus fought back after the break with N. Woltemade equalising in the 58th minute. The visitors clinched the win thanks to R. Kolo Muani's decisive goal deep into stoppage time. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a Celta Vigo victory, turning the tie in Juventus' favour.
Outcome probability
The upcoming group stage clash between Celta Vigo and Juventus promises to be a tightly fought encounter. Both teams enter the match with full squads available, setting the stage for a competitive fixture where home advantage could play a decisive role.
Match factors
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both Celta Vigo and Juventus have no confirmed absences, ensuring full squad availability.
Insufficient recent form data limits prediction confidence
Lack of recent match and player form data reduces certainty in individual impact predictions.
Predicted home win despite low confidence
Model favors Celta Vigo 2-1 win but with moderate confidence (0.458), indicating a competitive match.
The context
This match is part of the group stage of the competition, where every point counts. While Juventus, also known as La Vecchia Signora, bring their experience to the table, Celta Vigo will be keen to make a strong impression early on. Neither side has confirmed injuries, so expect both teams to field their best line-ups.
Key facts
- 1.Celta Vigo have the highest aggregated probability for a home win at 43.6%.
- 2.The most probable fulltime scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Celta Vigo.
- 3.A 1-0 halftime lead aligns well with the predicted 2-1 final score.
- 4.No confirmed injuries for either team, ensuring full squad availability.
- 5.The match is expected to feature around four cards, indicating a competitive game.
Analysis
Aggregated probabilities favour a home win for Celta Vigo, with a 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. The prediction suggests Celta will take a 1-0 lead by halftime, maintaining their advantage despite Juventus' attempts to equalise. The model indicates a competitive match with moderate confidence, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest and the limited recent form data available.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Celta Vigo
Away — Juventus
Prediction
We predict Celta Vigo to win 2-1, leading 1-0 at halftime. The home side's slight edge in probabilities and the consistency of the halftime and fulltime scorelines support this outcome. Expect a match with four cards in total, hinting at a spirited and possibly feisty encounter.
The verdict
In summary, Celta Vigo are poised to claim a narrow victory over Juventus in this group stage fixture. With full squads and a balanced contest expected, the home side's early lead and resilience should see them through to a memorable win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Álvarez
Assist: Swedberg
Swedberg
Yellow Card
Kelly
Yellow Card
Woltemade
Swedberg
Conceição
Alajbegović
Kelly
Gatti
Lucumí
Yellow Card
Febas
Jutglà
Koopmeiners
Moriba
Yellow Card
Javi Rueda
Álvarez
Kolo Muani
Assist: Cambiaso
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 18 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3Marcos AlonsoD
- 5Sergio CarreiraM
- 6I. MoribaM
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 13I. RaduG
- 14Aleix FebasM
- 17Javi RuedaM
- 18Yoel LagoD
- 19W. SwedbergF
- 20Javi RodríguezD
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezF
Substitutes
- 1A. BayındırG
- 4A. FayeD
- 10Iago AspasF
- 15Álvaro NúñezD
- 16Hugo GonzálezF
- 21S. CáceresD
- 22Javi GalánD
- 24C. DriouechF
- 28Andrés AntañónM
- 30H. BurcioM
- 31Ángel ArcosF
Juventus
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4F. GattiD
- 6L. KellyD
- 7Francisco ConceiçãoM
- 8T. KoopmeinersM
- 15P. KaluluD
- 17Kerim-Sam AlajbegovićM
- 20A. CambiasoM
- 22W. McKennieM
- 25G. VicarioG
- 27N. WoltemadeF
- 29P. SarrM
Substitutes
- 2Z. ÇelikD
- 3BremerD
- 9R. Kolo MuaniF
- 12Douglas LuizM
- 23C. PinsoglioG
- 26J. LucumíD
- 31N. GonzálezF
- 32J. CabalD
- 33NetoG
Celta Vigo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Álvarez | F | 85 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| W. Swedberg | F | 62 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| I. Radu | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Moriba | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Yoel Lago | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo González | F | 5 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Driouech | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Sergio Carreira | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Álvaro Núñez | D | 5 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Burcio | M | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Aleix Febas | M | 75 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Javi Rueda | M | 85 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/4 |
| A. Faye | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángel Arcos | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Antañón | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Cáceres | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bayındır | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Galán | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Juventus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Woltemade | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1/1 |
| A. Cambiaso | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| R. Kolo Muani | F | 26 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| P. Kalulu | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| P. Sarr | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Koopmeiners | M | 82 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| F. Gatti | D | 70 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Francisco Conceição | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3/6 |
| G. Vicario | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bremer | D | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Kerim-Sam Alajbegović | M | 64 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 4/6 |
| N. González | F | 26 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Douglas Luiz | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. McKennie | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Kelly | D | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Lucumí | D | 20 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Çelik | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Pinsoglio | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cabal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neto | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Celta Vigo to win against Juventus.
- What score did Fipster predict for Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Celta Vigo 2–1 Juventus.
- What were the win probabilities for Celta Vigo vs Juventus?
- Fipster's model gave Celta Vigo a 46% chance of winning, Juventus a 27% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 46% confidence — a medium-confidence call.