Celta Vigo vs Elche
Match recap
Celta Vigo beat Elche 3–1 in their La Liga fixture. Álvarez, Aspas, and Iglesias scored for Celta Vigo; André Silva replied for Elche. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.82 for Celta Vigo versus 1.45 for Elche. Celta Vigo sit 6th in the La Liga table while Elche are 15th.
Analysis
As the La Liga season nears its climax, Celta Vigo host Elche in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have their eyes on crucial points, but the home side's recent form and squad depth give them the upper hand.
Celta Vigo currently sit 7th in the league with 44 points, while Elche are 14th with 38 points. Historically, Celta have a slight edge in head-to-head meetings, winning 5 of 11 matches against Elche's 4. The home advantage and better goal difference (+2) this season further bolster Celta's chances.
Despite injuries to key attackers like Borja Iglesias and Ferran Jutglà, Celta's offensive threat remains potent, especially with Óscar Mingueza orchestrating play from midfield. Elche have shown improvement in scoring but continue to struggle defensively, conceding in most recent matches. Celta's defensive line is somewhat weakened by injuries, but their attacking prowess at home is expected to prevail.
Prediction
We predict a 2-1 victory for Celta Vigo, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of around four cards issued. Confidence in this outcome stands at 48%, reflecting a balanced but favourable scenario for the home side.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key attackers Borja Iglesias and Ferran Jutglà injured
Both top scorers are missing, forcing reliance on less prolific forwards.
Óscar Mingueza's creative midfield role crucial
Top assister and strong passer, his presence boosts attacking chances.
Celta's away scoring form strong despite injuries
Away goal scoring streak of 4 games supports predicted 2 goals.
Elche's recent form improving but defensive frailties persist
Elche scored in 4 of last 5 but conceded in all, likely to concede again.
Defensive absences weaken Celta's backline
Injuries to key defenders like Carl Starfelt and Javi Rodríguez may expose defense.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Celta Vigo's home advantage, combined with their superior league position and key player contributions, should see them edge past Elche in a tight contest. Fans can expect an entertaining match with goals and some disciplinary action.
- Celta Vigo have won 5 of 11 head-to-head matches against Elche.
- Celta Vigo are 7th in La Liga with 44 points; Elche are 14th with 38 points.
- Celta Vigo have a better goal difference (+2) this season than Elche.
- Borja Iglesias and Ferran Jutglà, key attackers for Celta, are injured.
- Óscar Mingueza leads Celta with 4 assists this season.
- Elche have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches but conceded in all.
- Celta's predicted halftime lead is 1-0, with a fulltime score of 2-1.
- Total cards expected in the match are around 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Celta Vigo
Away — Elche
No standout top scorers flagged for Elche
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Álvarez
Assist: Javi Rueda
Villar
Yellow Card
Aspas
Assist: Jutglà
Javi Rueda
Yellow Card
Javi Rueda
Affengruber
Villar
Aspas
Pedrosa
Tete Morente
Jutglà
Álvarez
Aguado
Núñez
André Silva
Penalty
Lago
Yellow Card
Iglesias
Assist: Swedberg
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 60 |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 | 54 |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | -6 | 51 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 |  Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 |  Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -14 | 42 |
Match Statistics
Celta Vigo
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5Sergio CarreiraM
- 6I. MoribaM
- 8Fer LópezM
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 10Iago AspasF
- 13I. RaduG
- 14Álvaro NúñezD
- 17Javi RuedaM
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezF
- 29Yoel LagoD
- 32Javi RodríguezD
Substitutes
- 1Iván VillarG
- 3Óscar MinguezaD
- 4J. AidooD
- 7Borja IglesiasF
- 12Manu FernándezD
- 18Pablo DuránF
- 19W. SwedbergM
- 21M. RistićD
- 22Hugo SoteloM
- 24Carlos DomínguezD
- 36Andrés AntañónM
- 39J. El AbdellaouiF
Elche
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1M. DituroG
- 3Adrià PedrosaM
- 6BigasD
- 8Marc AguadoM
- 9André SilvaF
- 12Gonzalo VillarF
- 14Aleix FebasM
- 15Tete MorenteM
- 18John NwankwoD
- 20Á. RodríguezF
- 22D. AffengruberD
Substitutes
- 13Iñaki PeñaG
- 16Martim NetoM
- 17JosanM
- 19G. DianganaF
- 21L. PétrotD
- 23Víctor ChustD
- 24L. CepedaF
- 39Héctor FortD
- 42Buba SangaréD
- 45Alejandro IturbeG
Celta Vigo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Álvarez | F | 71 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Iago Aspas(C) | F | 63 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 71 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Javier Rueda | M | 45 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| Ionuț Radu | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Fer López | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ilaix Moriba | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Carreira | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Núñez | D | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Pablo Durán | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Domínguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Villar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Aidoo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mihailo Ristić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Antañón | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Sotelo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 19 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Williot Swedberg | M | 19 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jones El-Abdellaoui | F | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Manu Fernández | D | 45 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Elche
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Villar | F | 58 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| André Silva | F | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 0/3 |
| Aleix Febas | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| Matías Dituro | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Aguado | M | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Bigas(C) | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Álvaro Rodriguez | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| John Donald | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Tete Morente | M | 69 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Adrià Pedrosa | M | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| David Affengruber | D | 58 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Buba Sangare | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Iturbe | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo Pétrot | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Grady Diangana | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iñaki Peña | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josan | M | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Martim Neto | M | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Lucas Cepeda | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Víctor Chust | D | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Hector Fort | D | 21 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |