Casa Pia vs Sporting CP
Sporting CP secure comfortable win at Casa Pia
Pedro Lima and Geny Catamo strike to seal a 2-0 victory for the visitors.
Sporting CP took control early with Pedro Lima's goal in the 13th minute and wrapped up the win with Geny Catamo's stoppage-time strike. Casa Pia were unable to find a way back, leaving Sporting with a solid 2-0 away victory. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved slightly optimistic.
Outcome probability
Casa Pia face a tough challenge against Sporting CP, who have consistently outperformed them in recent encounters. With Sporting CP's strong league position and goal difference advantage, this match promises to be a test of resilience for the home side.
Match factors
Casa Pia's main scoring threat is Henrique Araújo
Henrique Araújo leads Casa Pia's scoring with 1 goal in 8 games and shows better recent away form
Sporting CP's midfield dominance via Sergi Altimira
Altimira's high tackle rate and passing accuracy give Sporting control in midfield battles
Sporting CP's consistent scoring streak
Sporting CP has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong attacking form
No confirmed injuries affecting key players
Both teams have no confirmed outs, so full squads expected to influence match
The context
Sporting CP currently sit third in the league with 18 points from 8 games, while Casa Pia languish near the bottom at 16th with just 7 points from 9 matches. Historically, Sporting CP have won all nine previous meetings against Casa Pia, scoring 29 goals to Casa Pia's 7, underscoring a clear dominance in this fixture.
Key insights
Henrique Araújo
Casa Pia
Leads Casa Pia's scoring with 1 goal in 8 games and shows improved scoring form away from home, making him a key threat despite the team's struggles.
Primeira Liga 26/271 goal in 8 games, 0.125 avg per game, better recent away form
- S
Sergi Altimira
Sporting CP
Dominates midfield with high tackle rate and exceptional passing accuracy, providing Sporting CP control and stability in the centre of the park.
Primeira Liga 26/273.625 tackles per game, 93% passing accuracy
Analysis
Sporting CP's midfield, led by Sergi Altimira with his impressive tackling and passing accuracy, is expected to control the game's tempo. Casa Pia's main threat comes from Henrique Araújo, who has shown better scoring form away from home. However, Sporting's consistent scoring streak and superior goal difference suggest they will likely dictate proceedings and secure a comfortable win.
Key facts
- 1.Sporting CP have won all 9 previous meetings against Casa Pia, scoring 29 goals to Casa Pia's 7.
- 2.Sporting CP rank 3rd with 18 points from 8 games; Casa Pia rank 16th with 7 points from 9 games.
- 3.Sporting CP have a +11 goal difference compared to Casa Pia's -12 this season.
- 4.Casa Pia's Henrique Araújo is their top scorer with 1 goal in 8 games, showing better away form.
- 5.Sporting CP's Sergi Altimira leads in tackles with 3.625 per game and boasts 93% passing accuracy.
- 6.Sporting CP have scored in their last 5 matches, demonstrating strong attacking form.
- 7.No confirmed injuries are expected to impact either team for this match.
Prediction
We predict Sporting CP to take an early lead, going into halftime 2-0 up. Casa Pia may pull one back in the second half, but Sporting CP will extend their lead to finish 3-1. The match is expected to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Casa Pia
Away — Sporting CP
No standout top scorers flagged for Sporting CP
The verdict
This fixture looks set to reinforce Sporting CP's superiority over Casa Pia. With key players in form and no significant injury concerns, Sporting CP should maintain their winning streak and continue climbing the league table, while Casa Pia will need to regroup and find answers quickly.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 22:35 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sousa
Yellow Card
Lima
Assist: Fresneda
Kaly
Yellow Card
Andersen
Yellow Card
El Boukammiri
Luis Guilherme
Irankunda
Andersen
Ofori
Pauwels
Lima
Araújo
Sousa
Suárez
Araújo
Yellow Card
Catamo
Assist: Fresneda
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1P. SequeiraG
- 3KalyD
- 9Henrique AraújoF
- 11M. El BoukammiriM
- 18GeraldesD
- 24S. PérezM
- 43David SousaD
- 70João Pedro Seno Luís RêgoM
- 75Pedro RosasD
- 77B. PauwelsM
- 80L. OforiM
Substitutes
- 4João GoulartD
- 8Gabi PereiraM
- 16SilviM
- 17E. MaurinF
- 19K. PrietoF
- 20A. JattaF
- 29J. LivolantF
- 44Felipe SilvaD
- 59Abdu DafeM
- 90CassianoF
- 95Ivan MandićG
- 98JPM
Sporting CP
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4S. AndersenM
- 5Sergi AltimiraM
- 19N. IrankundaM
- 20M. AraújoD
- 21Pedro LimaM
- 22Iván FresnedaD
- 25Gonçalo InácioD
- 30KaiqueG
- 31Luis GuilhermeM
- 72Eduardo QuaresmaD
- 97L. SuárezF
Substitutes
- 1Rui SilvaG
- 7F. IoannidisF
- 8João SimõesM
- 9Rafael Ferreira NelF
- 10Geny CatamoM
- 13G. VagiannidisD
- 18M. ZekriD
- 28J. DerryF
- 55Ibrahima BaD
- 58Flávio GonçalvesF
- 73Eduardo FelicíssimoM
- 77I. DoumbiaM
Casa Pia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sequeira | G | 90 | 8.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Livolant | F | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Pedro Rosas | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| David Sousa | D | 85 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| S. Pérez | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabi Pereira | M | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| L. Ofori | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Geraldes | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/4 |
| Kaly | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Henrique Araújo | F | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Cassiano | F | 5 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. El Boukammiri | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/4 |
| B. Pauwels | M | 74 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| A. Jatta | F | 5 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdu Dafe | M | 16 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ivan Mandić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Maurin | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Silva | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Goulart | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Silvi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Prieto | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JP | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sporting CP
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Fresneda | D | 90 | 8.3 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2/2 |
| Pedro Lima | M | 76 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Gonçalo Inácio | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Araújo | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| I. Doumbia | M | 28 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Luis Guilherme | M | 62 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2/3 |
| Geny Catamo | M | 28 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Sergi Altimira | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kaique | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Simões | M | 14 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 86 | 6.8 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| N. Irankunda | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Flávio Gonçalves | F | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Andersen | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| F. Ioannidis | F | 4 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ibrahima Ba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Derry | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Ferreira Nel | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Vagiannidis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rui Silva | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Felicíssimo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zekri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sporting CP to win against Casa Pia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Casa Pia 1–3 Sporting CP.
- What were the win probabilities for Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster's model gave Casa Pia a 2% chance of winning, Sporting CP a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.