Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
Match recap
Casa Pia and Rio Ave drew 1–1 in their Primeira Liga fixture. Larrazabal scored for Casa Pia; Blesa replied for Rio Ave. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.34 for Casa Pia versus 0.61 for Rio Ave. Casa Pia sit 16th in the Primeira Liga table while Rio Ave are 12th.
Analysis
Casa Pia host Rio Ave in what promises to be a closely fought match in the Portuguese league. Both teams have shown resilience this season, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Casa Pia currently sit 16th with 30 points, while Rio Ave hold 12th place with 36 points. Historically, Rio Ave have the upper hand with five wins in 11 meetings, but Casa Pia have proven tricky opponents with two wins and four draws.
The match is poised to be a tactical stalemate. Casa Pia rely heavily on Cassiano, their top scorer with six goals and impressive recent away form. Rio Ave counter with Clayton, their prolific striker boasting 10 goals in 19 games. Both teams have creative contributors like Casa Pia's J. Livolant and Rio Ave's Marios Vrousai, ensuring chances at both ends. Defensive solidity from players like Casa Pia's David Sousa and Rio Ave's Jakub Brabec will keep the scoreline tight.
Prediction
Given the balanced strengths and recent form, a 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome. The halftime score is expected to be 0-0, reflecting cautious starts from both sides. The match will likely see around four cards, indicating a competitive but fair contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Casa Pia's attacking reliance on Cassiano
Cassiano's strong away scoring form and central role make him a key threat against Rio Ave's defense.
Rio Ave's Clayton as primary scoring threat
Clayton's high goals per game (0.53) and consistent starts give Rio Ave a clear offensive focal point.
Gaizka Larrazabal's dual threat
Larrazabal contributes both goals and assists above average for a defender, impacting both ends.
Rio Ave's midfield creativity via Vrousai and Nikitscher
Vrousai's passing and Nikitscher's assists indicate Rio Ave's midfield can unlock defenses effectively.
No significant injuries reported
Both teams have full squads available, so no major impact from missing players expected.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a well-matched game with both Casa Pia and Rio Ave sharing the spoils. Key players on both sides will influence the game, but neither team is likely to dominate, resulting in a draw that keeps the league standings interesting.
- Casa Pia have won 2 of 11 meetings against Rio Ave, who have won 5, with 4 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.3 goals, suggesting moderate scoring.
- Casa Pia are 16th in the league with 30 points from 34 games.
- Rio Ave sit 12th with 36 points from 34 games.
- Cassiano is Casa Pia's top scorer with 6 goals, showing strong recent away form.
- Clayton leads Rio Ave's scoring with 10 goals in 19 games.
- J. Livolant has provided 8 assists for Casa Pia, highlighting his creative role.
- Gaizka Larrazabal contributes both goals and assists, unusual for a defender.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Casa Pia
Away — Rio Ave
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Larrazabal
Assist: Livramento
Blesa
Pérez
Livramento
Špikić
Prieto
João Marques
Yellow Card
Unknown
Ofori
Rosas
João Tomé
Tamble Monteiro
Match Statistics
Casa Pia
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1Patrick Gilmar Sequeira MejíasG
- 3KalyD
- 4João GoulartD
- 10Dailon Rocha Livramento do RosarioF
- 11João MarquesF
- 19Kevin Estiven Prieto MachadoM
- 42Sebastián Pérez CardonaM
- 43David SousaD
- 72Gaizka LarrazabalF
- 75Pedro RosasM
- 80Lawrence OforiM
Substitutes
- 5Abdu ContéD
- 6José FonteD
- 8Rafael BritoM
- 13Oluwakorede David OsundinaF
- 18GeraldesD
- 24Iyad Inomse M'Vourani MohamedM
- 29Jérémy LivolantF
- 95Ivan MandićG
- 99ClaudioF
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5Andreas-Richardos NtoiM
- 7Diogo Bezerra
- 9Tamble MonteiroF
- 11Jalen Aleix Miller BlesaM
- 18Dario ŠpikićM
- 20João ToméD
- 32Jakub BrabecD
- 39Gustavo ManchaD
- 44Tamás NikitscherM
- 77Omar Tyrell Crawford RichardsD
- 99Ennio van der GouwG
Substitutes
- 1Cezary MisztaG
- 14Karem ZoabiF
- 19Antonis PapakanellosM
- 24Leonardo ButaD
- 25Rafael GenuinoF
- 27Tobías MedinaM
- 54Georgios LiavasM
- 63Julien Lomboto LompombiD
- 80Ole PohlmannM
Casa Pia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joao Marques | F | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | F | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Kevin Prieto | M | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | F | 59 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Pérez | M | 59 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Pedro Rosas | M | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| João Goulart(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lawrence Ofori | M | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Patrick Sequeira | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Claudio Mendes | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Fonte | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Mandić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Geraldes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iyad Mohamed | M | 11 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Abdu Conté | D | 14 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jérémy Livolant | F | 31 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rafael Brito | M | 31 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Oluwakorede Osundina | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Rio Ave
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Brabec(C) | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tamás Nikitscher | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ennio Van Der Gouw | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omar Richards | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Diogo Bezerra | M | 82 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Andreas Ndoj | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| João Tomé | D | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Dario Špikić | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jalen Blesa | M | 90 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Tamblé Monteiro | F | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rafael Lobato | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgios Liavas | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Karem Zoabi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Medina | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cezary Miszta | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Buta | D | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonis Papakanellos | M | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Julien Lomboto | D | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olinho | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |