Casa Pia vs Moreirense
Moreirense nicks narrow win at Casa Pia
Kiko's first-half strike secures all three points for the visitors.
Moreirense edged out Casa Pia 1-0 thanks to Kiko's 24th-minute goal, which proved decisive in a tight contest. The visitors held firm to claim a narrow victory on the road. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline was slightly off.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Casa Pia facing Moreirense in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have been busy over the summer, with Casa Pia bolstering their ranks by signing André Gomes while releasing Gaizka Larrazabal. Moreirense, meanwhile, enter the campaign unchanged, aiming to build on their previous performances.
Key facts
- 1.Casa Pia finished 16th last season with 30 points.
- 2.Moreirense finished 7th last season with 43 points.
- 3.Moreirense have a better goal difference (-12) than Casa Pia (-26).
- 4.Casa Pia signed André Gomes over the summer.
- 5.Casa Pia released Gaizka Larrazabal before the new season.
- 6.Moreirense made no notable summer signings or departures.
- 7.The predicted scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Moreirense.
- 8.This is the first competitive fixture of the new season for both teams.
The context
Casa Pia finished last season in 16th place with 30 points, while Moreirense secured 7th with 43 points. This contrast in league standings sets the stage for a clash where Moreirense will look to assert their superiority early on. The summer transfer window saw Casa Pia make a notable signing, potentially adding fresh impetus to their squad.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Casa Pia
Away — Moreirense
Analysis
Moreirense's superior goal difference and higher league finish last season suggest a stronger overall team. Casa Pia's signing of André Gomes could provide some spark, but Moreirense's consistency and defensive solidity give them the edge. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects a closely fought match, with Moreirense expected to edge it thanks to their balanced attack and defence.
Prediction
The forecast is for Moreirense to secure a 2-1 away win. Their ability to score and defend more effectively than Casa Pia last season underpins this prediction. Casa Pia will likely find the net once, but Moreirense's quality should see them through to victory in this season opener.
The verdict
As the new season begins, Moreirense look set to start on a high note with a narrow win over Casa Pia. The match promises to be an entertaining contest, but the visitors' stronger squad depth and last season's form give them the advantage.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kiko
Assist: João Veloso
Rochinha
Prieto
Rosas
Yellow Card
Kiko
Yellow Card
Landerson
John
Rodri Alonso
Yellow Card
Aranha
Yellow Card
Kiko
Jatta
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
Silvi
Unknown
João Veloso
Match Statistics
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4João GoulartD
- 10RochinhaM
- 16SilviM
- 18GeraldesD
- 19K. PrietoM
- 20A. JattaF
- 31André GomesG
- 43David SousaD
- 70João Pedro Seno Luís RêgoM
- 75Pedro RosasD
- 80L. OforiM
Substitutes
- 3KalyD
- 5Abdu ContéD
- 8Gabi PereiraM
- 9Henrique AraújoF
- 21A. ZouinF
- 24S. PérezM
- 59Abdu DafeM
- 77B. PauwelsF
- 90CassianoF
- 95Ivan MandićG
- 98JPM
- 99ClaudioF
Moreirense
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9A. Duville-ParsemainF
- 11LandersonM
- 13André FerreiraG
- 20João VelosoM
- 23N. JohnM
- 26MaracásD
- 27KikoD
- 65Guilherme LiberatoM
- 66Gilberto BatistaD
- 76Dinis PintoD
Substitutes
- 1AranhaG
- 2Leandro Henrique Sousa SantosD
- 4Kevyn MonteiroD
- 8M. StjepanovićM
- 10Kiko BondosoF
- 17Álvaro MartínezD
- 19Tiago AndradeF
- 21Rodri AlonsoM
- 89Afonso VieiraF
- 99MaranhãoF
Casa Pia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Sousa | D | 93 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| João Goulart | D | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Ofori | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Kevin Prieto | M | 61 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Pedro Rosas | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| André Geraldes(C) | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Selvi Clúa | M | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| João Rêgo | M | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| André Gomes | G | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rochinha | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Alassana Jatta | F | 78 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gabi Pereira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Mandić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdu Conté | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Claudio Mendes | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aymen Zouin | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JP | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Pauwels | F | 15 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/4 |
| Sebastián Pérez | M | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Henrique Araújo | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Cassiano | F | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdu Dafe | M | 48 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Moreirense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiko | D | 77 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Maracás(C) | D | 93 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Veloso | M | 82 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Gilberto Batista | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Dinis Pinto | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Nile John | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Guilherme Liberato | M | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| André Ferreira | G | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Landerson | M | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Alexandre Parsemain | F | 93 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Aranha | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kiko Bondoso | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Afonso Vieira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Martínez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yan Maranhão | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Santos | D | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevyn Monteiro | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateja Stjepanović | M | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Alonso | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Andrade | F | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Casa Pia vs Moreirense?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Moreirense to win against Casa Pia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Casa Pia vs Moreirense?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Casa Pia 1–2 Moreirense.
- What were the win probabilities for Casa Pia vs Moreirense?
- Fipster's model gave Casa Pia a 2% chance of winning, Moreirense a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.