Casa Pia vs FC Porto
Porto cruise past Casa Pia with four-goal salvo
A commanding display from FC Porto sees them comfortably dispatch Casa Pia despite an early penalty scare.
Casa Pia took an early lead through Henrique Araújo's penalty just before half-time, but FC Porto responded swiftly with André Silva equalising in stoppage time of the first half. After the break, Porto asserted their dominance with goals from J. Kiwior and Borja Sainz, before S. Giménez sealed the emphatic 4-1 victory with a late penalty. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win was spot on, even if the margin was wider than expected.
Outcome probability
As the Portuguese league season progresses, FC Porto face Casa Pia in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. With Porto leading the league and Casa Pia struggling for points, the match offers a classic clash of form and ambition.
Match factors
FC Porto's superior scoring and defensive form
FC Porto leads league with 11 goals scored and only 1 conceded, showing strong form advantage
Gabri Veiga's dual threat as scorer and assister
Gabri Veiga has 3 goals and 2 assists in 5 games, central to FC Porto's attack
FC Porto's winning streak and clean sheets
Porto has won all 5 games with 4 clean sheets, indicating strong momentum
Casa Pia's lack of goal scorers and poor form
Casa Pia has scored 0 goals in 4 games and has no top scorers listed, limiting offensive threat
The context
FC Porto, also known as Os Dragões, currently top the league with a perfect record of five wins from five games, boasting a formidable goal difference of +10. Casa Pia, on the other hand, have yet to register a point from four matches and carry a goal difference of -11, highlighting their defensive frailties and offensive struggles.
Key insights
Gabri Veiga
FC Porto
Gabri Veiga is central to FC Porto's attack with 3 goals and 2 assists in 5 games, making him a dual threat.
Primeira Liga 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 5 appearances
Pepê Aquino
FC Porto
Pepê Aquino leads FC Porto's assists with 3 in 5 games, providing creativity and set-piece threat.
Primeira Liga 26/273 assists in 5 appearances
André Silva
FC Porto
André Silva contributes consistently with 2 goals in 5 games, adding depth to Porto's attack.
Primeira Liga 26/272 goals in 5 appearances
Analysis
Historically, FC Porto have dominated this fixture, winning seven of the nine meetings against Casa Pia. This season, Porto's attack has been spearheaded by midfielder Gabri Veiga, who has netted three goals and provided two assists in five games, making him a dual threat. Their defence has been equally impressive, conceding just once in five matches. Casa Pia's lack of goals and points this season suggests they will find it difficult to breach Porto's organised backline.
Key facts
- 1.FC Porto have won 7 of the last 9 meetings against Casa Pia.
- 2.FC Porto lead the league with 15 points from 5 games; Casa Pia have 0 points from 4 games.
- 3.FC Porto have a +10 goal difference; Casa Pia have -11 this season.
- 4.Gabri Veiga has scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists in 5 games for FC Porto.
- 5.FC Porto have conceded only 1 goal in 5 league matches this season.
Prediction
The prediction leans heavily towards an away win for FC Porto, with a likely scoreline of 0-1. The model favours a tight game where Porto's defensive resilience and clinical finishing edge out Casa Pia. Expect a disciplined performance from the visitors, with the decisive goal coming from one of their key attacking players.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Casa Pia
No standout top scorers flagged for Casa Pia
Away — FC Porto
The verdict
In summary, FC Porto's superior form, historical dominance, and standout performers like Gabri Veiga make them the clear favourites to claim all three points. Casa Pia will need to tighten up defensively and find a spark in attack if they are to upset the odds, but the smart money is on Os Dragões to maintain their winning streak.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Araújo
Penalty
André Silva
Assist: Rosario
Kiwior
Yellow Card
Kaly
Yellow Card
Geraldes
Yellow Card
Kiwior
Assist: Gabri Veiga
William
André Silva
Sainz
Pauwels
Hwang In-Beom
El Boukammiri
Araújo
Baio
Gabri Veiga
Sousa
Yellow Card
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
Giménez
Penalty
Mandić
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Casa Pia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3KalyD
- 9Henrique AraújoF
- 11M. El BoukammiriM
- 16SilviM
- 18GeraldesD
- 43David SousaD
- 70João Pedro Seno Luís RêgoM
- 75Pedro RosasD
- 77B. PauwelsM
- 80L. OforiM
- 95Ivan MandićG
Substitutes
- 1P. SequeiraG
- 4João GoulartD
- 8Gabi PereiraM
- 10RochinhaF
- 17E. MaurinF
- 19K. PrietoF
- 20A. JattaF
- 21A. ZouinF
- 24S. PérezM
- 59Abdu DafeM
- 90CassianoF
- 98JPM
FC Porto
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4J. KiwiorD
- 5J. BednarekD
- 7WilliamF
- 10Gabri VeigaM
- 11Pepê AquinoF
- 13P. RosarioM
- 16Hwang In-BeomM
- 19André SilvaF
- 20Alberto BaioD
- 74Francisco MouraD
- 99Diogo CostaG
Substitutes
- 14Cláudio RamosG
- 17Borja SainzF
- 18N. PérezD
- 21D. PrpićD
- 22A. VarelaM
- 29S. GiménezF
- 33SouzaD
- 37Gabriel MecF
- 42S. FofanaM
- 50J. AfonsoG
- 52Martim FernandesD
- 58T. SilvaM
Casa Pia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henrique Araújo | F | 74 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Cassiano | F | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Silvi | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| E. Maurin | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Zouin | F | 2 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. El Boukammiri | M | 74 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Ofori | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| JP | M | 16 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Pedro Rosas | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo | M | 88 | 5.9 | — | — | 5 | — | — | 0/2 |
| B. Pauwels | M | 68 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Kaly | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ivan Mandić | G | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Geraldes | D | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Prieto | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdu Dafe | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rochinha | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Jatta | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Pérez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Sequeira | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Goulart | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabi Pereira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Porto
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Silva | F | 62 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Giménez | F | 28 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Borja Sainz | F | 28 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kiwior | D | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Gabri Veiga | M | 80 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | 3/5 |
| J. Bednarek | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Diogo Costa | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Rosario | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Francisco Moura | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hwang In-Beom | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| William | F | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Alberto Baio | D | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| A. Varela | M | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martim Fernandes | D | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 10 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pepê Aquino | F | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Souza | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Prpić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Afonso | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Silva | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Ramos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Pérez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Porto to win against Casa Pia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Casa Pia 0–1 FC Porto.
- What were the win probabilities for Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
- Fipster's model gave Casa Pia a 2% chance of winning, FC Porto a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.