Cardiff vs Charlton
Cardiff's Moylan shines in confident win
A commanding performance sees Cardiff secure a 3-1 victory over Charlton.
Cardiff took control early with J. Moylan opening the scoring in the 8th minute, followed by Y. Salech doubling the lead before half-time. Charlton's T. Campbell pulled one back shortly after, but Moylan's second goal after the break sealed the win. Fipster's prediction of a Cardiff win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was a bit more emphatic than expected.
Outcome probability
Cardiff and Charlton face off in what promises to be a competitive fixture. Despite Cardiff's struggles in the league, their recent home scoring streak and key players stepping up could tip the scales in their favour.
Match factors
Cardiff's midfield creativity led by Cian Ashford
Ashford leads Cardiff in goals and assists, key to unlocking Charlton's defense at home
Charlton's defensive solidity with Amari'i Bell and Lloyd Jones
Bell and Jones provide strong defensive stats and leadership, crucial to limit Cardiff's attack
Cardiff's recent home scoring streak
Cardiff has scored in last 3 home games, showing attacking momentum despite overall struggles
Rubin Colwill's doubtful status limits Cardiff's midfield options
Colwill's fitness test caps his scoring and assist probability, affecting Cardiff's creativity
The context
Cardiff sit 21st in the league with just 4 points from 7 games, yet they have shown some attacking promise at home recently. Charlton, in contrast, are 5th with 11 points from 6 games and boast a better points-per-game ratio. This clash pits a team fighting for form against one enjoying a solid campaign so far.
Key insights
Cian Ashford
Cardiff
Leads Cardiff in goals and assists, key to unlocking Charlton's defence at home.
Championship 26/272 goals and 1 assist in 6 games
- A
Amari'i Bell
Charlton
Provides strong defensive stability with tackling and interception stats, crucial against Cardiff's attack.
Championship 26/27Consistent starter with 6 full matches
- R
Rubin Colwill
Cardiff
Doubtful status limits Cardiff's midfield creativity and goal threat.
Championship 26/271 assist in 6 games
Analysis
Charlton's defensive solidity, led by Amari'i Bell and Lloyd Jones, will be tested by Cardiff's creative midfield spearheaded by Cian Ashford, who leads his team in goals and assists. Cardiff's recent home scoring streak suggests they can break down Charlton's defence, especially if Rubin Colwill overcomes his fitness doubts to add creativity. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 aligns with Cardiff's tendency to start strong at home, setting the stage for a narrow victory.
Key facts
- 1.Cardiff are 21st with 4 points from 7 games (W0 D4 L3).
- 2.Charlton are 5th with 11 points from 6 games (W3 D2 L1).
- 3.Charlton have a points-per-game advantage of 1.83 over Cardiff's 0.57.
- 4.Cardiff have scored in their last 3 home games, showing attacking momentum.
- 5.Cian Ashford leads Cardiff with 2 goals and 1 assist in 6 games.
- 6.Charlton's Amari'i Bell is a key defensive figure with strong tackling stats.
- 7.Rubin Colwill is doubtful, potentially limiting Cardiff's midfield creativity.
- 8.The predicted halftime score is 1-0, consistent with the final 2-1 result.
Prediction
We expect Cardiff to take an early lead and maintain their advantage, ultimately winning 2-1. The home side's attacking momentum and key contributions from Ashford and Moylan should be enough to overcome Charlton's resilience. Four cards are anticipated, reflecting a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cardiff
Away — Charlton
The verdict
This match is set to be a tight affair with Cardiff leveraging their home form and creative spark to claim a vital win. Charlton will push hard, but the hosts' early dominance and sustained pressure should see them through to a 2-1 victory.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Moylan
Assist: Salech
Salech
Assist: Moylan
Robertson
Yellow Card
Campbell
Assist: Bindon
Tanner
Yellow Card
McNamara
Yellow Card
Bagan
Yellow Card
Alli
Bindon
Skipp
Yellow Card
Moylan
Assist: Tanner
Willock
Coventry
Tanner
Osho
Moylan
McNamara
Leaburn
Mesík
Yellow Card
Ashford
Yellow Card
Colwill
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 19 |  Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |  Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Cardiff
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1N. TrottG
- 3J. BaganD
- 4G. OshoD
- 5K. BielikD
- 8J. MoylanM
- 9Y. SalechF
- 11O. TannerM
- 16C. WillockM
- 18A. RobertsonM
- 27J. ColwillM
- 38P. NgD
Substitutes
- 14D. TurnbullM
- 23C. ScanlonD
- 30H. TyrerG
- 33R. TankiewiczM
- 43P. MorenoM
- 44R. KpakioD
- 45Cian AshfordF
- 47C. RobinsonF
- 48D. LawlorD
Charlton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5L. JonesD
- 6C. CoventryM
- 7T. CampbellM
- 9K. Ahearne-GrantM
- 11M. LeaburnF
- 13A. OkonkwoG
- 18I. MesíkD
- 19M. AlliM
- 20D. McNamaraD
- 34O. SkippM
- 44Tyler BindonD
Substitutes
- 3J. EdwardsD
- 8H. KnibbsM
- 14S. CareyM
- 16T. OumaM
- 17A. BellD
- 21T. BrooksG
- 23C. KelmanF
- 26J. Rankin-CostelloM
- 35R. NkengF
Cardiff
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Moylan | M | 82 | 8.7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2/5 |
| Y. Salech | F | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Tanner | M | 70 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| A. Robertson | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| K. Bielik | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Ng | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| J. Bagan | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| D. Turnbull | M | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| C. Willock | M | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Cian Ashford | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Colwill | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| G. Osho | D | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Scanlon | D | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lawlor | D | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Trott | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Moreno | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Tankiewicz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Kpakio | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Tyrer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Robinson | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Charlton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Campbell | M | 90 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Okonkwo | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Bindon | D | 46 | 6.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Leaburn | F | 83 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. McNamara | D | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Kelman | F | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Ahearne-Grant | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Coventry | M | 70 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bell | D | 44 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Edwards | D | 7 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Carey | M | 7 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Alli | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Ouma | M | 44 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Skipp | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Jones | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| I. Mesík | D | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Brooks | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Knibbs | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Nkeng | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rankin-Costello | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Cardiff vs Charlton?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Cardiff to win against Charlton.
- What score did Fipster predict for Cardiff vs Charlton?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Cardiff 2–1 Charlton.
- What were the win probabilities for Cardiff vs Charlton?
- Fipster's model gave Cardiff a 82% chance of winning, Charlton a 9% chance, and a 9% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 81% confidence — a high-confidence call.