Canada vs Morocco
Morocco strolls to a commanding win over Canada
A. Ounahi's brace and Rahimi's late strike seal Morocco's 3-0 victory.
Morocco delivered a dominant performance against Canada in the World Cup, with A. Ounahi opening the scoring shortly after the break and doubling the lead in the 82nd minute. S. Rahimi wrapped up the win deep into stoppage time, ensuring a comprehensive 3-0 victory. The result aligned with Fipster's prediction of an away win, though the margin was more emphatic than forecasted.
Analysis
Canada face Morocco in the Round of 16, a knockout stage clash promising a tactical battle between a host nation and a strong African contender.
Canada, one of the hosts for the 2026 World Cup, have made two prior World Cup appearances with their best finish being the group stage in 1986 and 2022. Morocco, with six prior World Cup appearances and a best finish of fourth place in 2022, qualified directly and bring a squad boasting a strong calibre edge with 15 players in top-5 European leagues compared to Canada's five.
Morocco's recent form is impressive, averaging 2.429 points per game over the last year compared to Canada's 1.75. The Moroccan squad features standout players like Achraf Hakimi of Paris Saint Germain and Noussair Mazraoui of Manchester United, providing a quality advantage over Canada's Alphonso Davies of Bayern München and Jonathan David of Juventus. Canada's home advantage as hosts offers some boost, but Morocco's attacking threat, led by prolific scorer Ilias Saibari, and creative playmaker Brahim Díaz, is expected to be decisive.
Prediction
We predict Morocco to take a 1-0 lead by halftime and ultimately win 2-1. The match should be competitive but Morocco's stronger squad depth and recent form give them the edge. Expect a disciplined game with around three cards shown.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Morocco's attacking edge through Saibari and Díaz
Saibari's prolific scoring and Díaz's creative assists give Morocco a strong offensive threat against Canada’s defense.
Canada's home scoring form vs Morocco's away resilience
Canada scores heavily at home but Morocco concedes less away, suggesting a tight contest with Morocco favored to capitalize.
J. David's hot streak vs Morocco's consistent scoring
David's recent goal spree contrasts with Morocco's balanced scoring across multiple players, indicating dynamic attacking options.
Eustáquio's midfield control vs Morocco's pressing midfielders
Eustáquio's passing and defensive stats suggest he can control midfield tempo, challenging Morocco's disruptors like El Aynaoui.
No key injuries reported for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans can be executed.
Key Takeaways
This Round of 16 encounter will test Canada's resilience against a well-drilled Moroccan side. While the hosts have the crowd behind them, Morocco's quality and momentum suggest they will progress to the quarter-finals.
- Canada have appeared in 2 World Cups, best finish: group stage (1986, 2022).
- Morocco have appeared in 6 World Cups, best finish: fourth place (2022).
- Canada qualify as hosts; Morocco qualified directly topping their group.
- Morocco's squad includes 15 players in top-5 European leagues, Canada has 5.
- Morocco's recent form yields 2.429 points per game; Canada has 1.75.
- Canada currently sit 2nd in their group with 4 points; Morocco lead their group with 7 points.
- Morocco's key players include Achraf Hakimi (PSG) and Noussair Mazraoui (Manchester United).
- Canada's key players include Alphonso Davies (Bayern München) and Jonathan David (Juventus).
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Canada
Away — Morocco
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Halhal
Yellow Card
Saibari
Hakimi
Yellow Card
Laryea
Yellow Card
David
Yellow Card
El Khannouss
Yellow Card
Ounahi
Yellow Card
De Fougerolles
Yellow Card
Ounahi
Assist: Hakimi
El Khannouss
Bouaddi
Oluwaseyi
Larin
Yellow Card
Ahmed
Laryea
Ounahi
Assist: Díaz
Sigur
Ounahi
Diop
Buchanan
Rahimi
Assist: Díaz
Match Statistics
Canada
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2A. JohnstonD
- 4L. De FougerollesD
- 7S. EustáquioM
- 10J. DavidF
- 12T. OluwaseyiF
- 15M. LumpunguD
- 16M. CrépeauG
- 17T. BuchananM
- 20A. AhmedM
- 22R. LaryeaD
- 23N. SigurM
Substitutes
- 1D. St. ClairG
- 3A. JonesD
- 5J. WatermanD
- 6M. ChoinièreM
- 9C. LarinF
- 11L. MillarF
- 13D. CorneliusD
- 14J. ShaffelburgF
- 18O. GoodmanG
- 19A. DaviesD
- 21J. OsorioM
- 24P. DavidF
- 25N. SalibaM
- 26J. NelsonF
Morocco
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Y. BounouG
- 2A. HakimiD
- 3N. MazraouiD
- 6A. BouaddiM
- 8A. OunahiM
- 10Brahim DíazM
- 11I. SaibariF
- 14I. DiopD
- 23B. El KhannoussM
- 24N. El AynaouiM
- 25R. HalhalD
Substitutes
- 4S. AmrabatM
- 5M. SaâdaneD
- 7C. TalbiF
- 9S. RahimiF
- 12M. MohamediG
- 13Z. El OuahdiD
- 15S. El MourabetM
- 16Gessime YassineF
- 17A. SbaïF
- 18C. RiadD
- 19Y. BelammariD
- 20A. El KaabiF
- 21A. AmaimouniF
- 22A. TagnaoutiG
- 26A. Salah-EddineD
Canada
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nelson | F | 3 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| S. Eustáquio | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| A. Ahmed | M | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Johnston | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| N. Sigur | M | 87 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| P. David | F | 12 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Shaffelburg | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. David | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| L. De Fougerolles | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| T. Buchanan | M | 87 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| R. Laryea | D | 78 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lumpungu | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 27 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Osorio | M | 3 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Crépeau | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Millar | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Davies | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Jones | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Choinière | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. St. Clair | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Cornelius | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Waterman | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Goodman | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Saliba | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Morocco
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ounahi | M | 87 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| N. Mazraoui | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| I. Diop | D | 87 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Saâdane | D | 3 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Halhal | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Bounou | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hakimi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. El Mourabet | M | 3 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Saibari | F | 22 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Talbi | F | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Bouaddi | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. El Aynaoui | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| S. Rahimi | F | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Amrabat | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Mohamedi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Tagnaouti | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. El Kaabi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Belammari | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Salah-Eddine | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sbaï | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Riad | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. El Ouahdi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gessime Yassine | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Amaimouni | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |