Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen
Cambuur cruise to commanding 3-0 win
I. Hamache's brace and a late goal seal a comfortable victory for Cambuur.
Cambuur put on a dominant display against NEC Nijmegen, with I. Hamache opening the scoring in the first half and doubling the lead shortly after the break. Iwan Henstra added a late gloss to the scoreline in stoppage time, completing a 3-0 triumph. This result was a clear upset, defying Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win for NEC Nijmegen.
Outcome probability
As the Eredivisie season progresses, Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Cambuur, struggling near the foot of the table, will look to turn their fortunes around, while NEC aims to build on their mid-table position with a vital away win.
Match factors
NEC's potent away attack led by T. Chery
Chery's 3 goals in 4 games with strong away form give NEC a clear attacking edge.
Cambuur's defensive frailty likely to be exploited
Cambuur concedes 3.6 goals per game at home, a major vulnerability NEC can target.
Rafik El Arguioui's consistent scoring form
El Arguioui has scored 4 goals in 5 games, showing reliable goal threat for Cambuur.
NEC missing key attacker Emre Mor
Mor is out, reducing NEC's attacking depth but Chery and others compensate well.
The context
Cambuur sit 18th with just 1 point from 5 games, having yet to register a win this season. NEC Nijmegen, by contrast, hold 10th place with 6 points from 4 matches. The stark difference in league standing and goal difference (+2 for NEC versus -12 for Cambuur) sets the stage for a challenging match for the home side.
Key insights
T. Chery
NEC Nijmegen
Chery's 3 goals in 4 games with strong away form give NEC a clear attacking edge.
Eredivisie 26/273 goals in 4 games, 0.75 avg per game
Rafik El Arguioui
Cambuur
El Arguioui has scored 4 goals in 5 games, showing reliable goal threat for Cambuur.
Eredivisie 26/274 goals in 5 games, 0.8 avg per game
Nicolas Binder
Cambuur
Binder has a high assist rate despite limited minutes, providing key creativity.
Eredivisie 26/272 assists in 4 games, 0.5 avg per game
Analysis
NEC Nijmegen's attacking threat, spearheaded by T. Chery who boasts 3 goals in 4 games and excellent away form, gives them a clear edge. Cambuur's Rafik El Arguioui remains a bright spot with 4 goals in 5 games, but the home side's defensive frailties—conceding an average of 3.6 goals per game at home—are likely to be exploited. NEC's balanced attack and superior points-per-game average (1.50 versus 0.20) suggest they will control the match and secure a narrow victory.
Key facts
- 1.Cambuur are 18th with 1 point from 5 games (W0 D1 L4).
- 2.NEC Nijmegen are 10th with 6 points from 4 games (W2 D0 L2).
- 3.NEC has a goal difference of +2 compared to Cambuur's -12.
- 4.NEC averages 1.50 points per game, Cambuur only 0.20.
- 5.Cambuur concedes an average of 3.6 goals per home game.
- 6.T. Chery is NEC's top scorer with 3 goals in 4 games.
- 7.Rafik El Arguioui leads Cambuur with 4 goals in 5 games.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards is 4.
Prediction
We predict NEC Nijmegen to take an early lead and maintain their advantage, with a halftime score of 0-1. Cambuur may pull one back, but NEC's resilience and attacking quality should see them through to a 2-1 fulltime win. Expect a competitive match with around four cards shown, reflecting the intensity on the pitch.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cambuur
Away — NEC Nijmegen
The verdict
In summary, NEC Nijmegen's stronger league position, better goal difference, and potent attack make them favourites to claim all three points. Cambuur's fightback spirit will be tested, but the visitors' consistency and tactical edge should prevail in this encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hamache
Assist: van Duijl
Bouah
Yellow Card
Storm
Yellow Card
Sandler
Yellow Card
Crettaz
Hamache
Geiger
Sandler
Tahaui
Maertens
Binder
Kvam
Mor
Hamache
Bouah
Lebreton
Yellow Card
Henstra
Assist: Amofa
Raouf Mohammed Kabar
Yellow Card
Henstra
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -13 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Cambuur
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. JansenG
- 2D. BouahD
- 4I. BaoufD
- 8N. SourenM
- 10R. El ArguiouiM
- 11I. HamacheM
- 13N. BinderF
- 14B. van DuijlD
- 15F. KvamM
- 28M. CostarelliD
- 33M. MaertensM
Substitutes
- 3J. BerkhoutD
- 6J. AmofaD
- 7S. BouhoudaneF
- 9S. VinkF
- 16R. MuldersD
- 17Ethan ApkakouM
- 21J. MeijsterG
- 22L. PlogmannG
- 23L. JettenD
- 27W. KooistraF
- 29Iwan HenstraF
- 30J. ÇekaF
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1G. CrettazG
- 3P. SandlerD
- 6D. NejašmićM
- 9T. CheryM
- 14K. SierhuisF
- 18D. GeigerM
- 19Adam TahauiM
- 20N. LebretonM
- 21T. StormD
- 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
- 99Clement BischoffM
Substitutes
- 7E. MorF
- 8I. Hansen-AarøenM
- 10D. TadićF
- 11W. WillumssonM
- 12N. PolsterG
- 17B. NuytinckD
- 30B. LinssenF
- 34Kevin KersF
- 35Jamiro MonteiroM
- 42Y. MoslihD
- 73Gabriel BrásD
- 77A. ThomasF
Cambuur
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Hamache | M | 84 | 9.8 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 3/4 |
| I. Baouf | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Costarelli | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Iwan Henstra | F | 18 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| B. van Duijl | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| R. El Arguioui | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| J. Amofa | D | 26 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Souren | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| F. Kvam | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| S. Bouhoudane | F | 19 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Bouah | D | 84 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| M. Maertens | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| W. Kooistra | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Vink | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Binder | F | 71 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Jansen | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Jetten | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Plogmann | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mulders | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Çeka | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Berkhout | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Meijster | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Apkakou | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NEC Nijmegen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Chery | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| K. Sierhuis | F | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| Kevin Kers | F | 17 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| E. Mor | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| B. Linssen | F | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Nejašmić | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| P. Sandler | D | 58 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Crettaz | G | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 32 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Geiger | M | 58 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| T. Storm | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Clement Bischoff | M | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/4 |
| Adam Tahaui | M | 58 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Polster | G | 44 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Lebreton | M | 90 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Y. Moslih | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Nuytinck | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Willumsson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Brás | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Thomas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Tadić | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Hansen-Aarøen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted NEC Nijmegen to win against Cambuur.
- What score did Fipster predict for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Cambuur 1–2 NEC Nijmegen.
- What were the win probabilities for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?
- Fipster's model gave Cambuur a 7% chance of winning, NEC Nijmegen a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.