Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar
Cambuur and AZ Alkmaar share spoils in lively draw
A spirited 2-2 draw sees both sides trading blows in an entertaining Eredivisie clash.
Cambuur took an early lead through N. Binder before R. Daal levelled for AZ Alkmaar in the first half. I. Hamache restored Cambuur's advantage, but a penalty from M. Meerdink ensured AZ Alkmaar salvaged a point late on. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win, as both teams settled for a draw.
Outcome probability
Cambuur and AZ Alkmaar face off in what promises to be an entertaining fixture in the regular season. With both teams showing contrasting fortunes so far, this match could be a real test of resilience and attacking flair.
Match factors
AZ Alkmaar's superior scoring form
AZ averages 2.6 goals per game with multiple players scoring consistently, outpacing Cambuur's 1.38
AZ's creative defenders boost attack
Mateo Chávez leads AZ with 3 assists from defense, adding attacking width and set-piece threat
Ro-Zangelo Daal's recent scoring surge
Daal scored 3 goals in last 5 matches, showing strong form and key role in AZ's attack
Cambuur's doubtful attacker N. Binder could influence attack
Binder is doubtful but has scored and assisted recently; his fitness will affect Cambuur's offensive threat
AZ's midfield defensive solidity
Peer Koopmeiners' high tackle rate and duel win percentage provide AZ stability against Cambuur's attack
The context
AZ Alkmaar currently sit comfortably in third place with 19 points from 8 games, boasting a strong goal difference and a points-per-game average well above Cambuur's. Cambuur, positioned 15th with just 5 points from 7 matches, will be looking to upset the odds despite their struggles this season.
Key insights
Ro-Zangelo Daal
AZ Alkmaar
Daal's recent scoring surge with 3 goals in the last 5 matches makes him a key threat for AZ.
Eredivisie 26/274 goals in 7 appearances, 83 avg mins/game
- M
Mateo Chávez García
AZ Alkmaar
Chávez's 3 assists from defense add attacking width and set-piece threat for AZ.
Eredivisie 26/273 assists in 7 appearances, 80 avg mins/game
Mexx Meerdink
AZ Alkmaar
Meerdink contributes both goals and assists, making him a versatile attacking threat.
Eredivisie 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 7 appearances, 80 avg mins/game
- N
N. Binder
Cambuur
Binder's doubtful status could reduce Cambuur's offensive options despite his recent goal and assist.
Eredivisie 26/271 goal recently
Analysis
AZ Alkmaar's attacking form is impressive, averaging 2.6 goals per game, with key players like Ro-Zangelo Daal leading the charge with 4 goals in 7 appearances. Their creative defenders, particularly Mateo Chávez García with 3 assists, add an extra dimension to their play. Cambuur's attack could be hampered by the doubtful status of N. Binder, whose recent contributions have been significant. Defensively, Cambuur will need to be at their best to contain AZ's potent offense, while AZ's midfield stability, anchored by Peer Koopmeiners, provides a solid foundation for their attacking exploits.
Key facts
- 1.AZ Alkmaar are 3rd in the league with 19 points from 8 games (W6 D1 L1).
- 2.Cambuur sit 15th with 5 points from 7 games (W1 D2 L4).
- 3.AZ Alkmaar have a superior goal difference, scoring 19 goals this season.
- 4.AZ Alkmaar average 2.6 goals per game compared to Cambuur's 1.38.
- 5.Ro-Zangelo Daal is AZ's top scorer with 4 goals in 7 appearances.
- 6.Mateo Chávez García leads AZ with 3 assists, contributing from defense.
- 7.N. Binder is doubtful for Cambuur, potentially impacting their attack.
- 8.Peer Koopmeiners provides midfield stability for AZ with a high tackle rate.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for AZ Alkmaar with a close 3-2 scoreline. Expect a high-scoring game where AZ's superior attacking quality and form give them the edge, though Cambuur's resilience should not be underestimated.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cambuur
No standout top scorers flagged for Cambuur
Away — AZ Alkmaar
The verdict
While the data points to an AZ Alkmaar victory, the limited match history between these sides and Cambuur's home advantage make this a cautiously optimistic call. Fans can anticipate an exciting, goal-filled encounter with plenty of action at both ends of the pitch.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 14:27 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Binder
Assist: Çeka
Schouten
Yellow Card
Bouah
Yellow Card
Daal
Assist: Koopmeiners
Hamache
Assist: van Duijl
Bouah
Red Card
Çeka
Oufkir
Yellow Card
Chávez
Oufkir
Goes
Clasie
Binder
Yellow Card
Penalty confirmed
Jansen
Yellow Card
Meerdink
Penalty
Maertens
Hamache
El Arguioui
Stengs
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +21 | 25 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +18 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Cambuur
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. JansenG
- 2D. BouahD
- 4I. BaoufD
- 8N. SourenM
- 10R. El ArguiouiM
- 11I. HamacheM
- 13N. BinderF
- 14B. van DuijlD
- 28M. CostarelliD
- 30J. ÇekaM
- 33M. MaertensM
Substitutes
- 3J. BerkhoutD
- 7S. BouhoudaneF
- 9S. VinkF
- 15F. KvamF
- 16R. MuldersD
- 17Ethan ApkakouM
- 22L. PlogmannG
- 23L. JettenD
- 24M. KalisvaartG
- 27W. KooistraF
- 29Iwan HenstraF
- 48D. WesterhofM
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3W. GoesD
- 4L. SchoutenD
- 5M. ChávezD
- 6P. KoopmeinersM
- 8J. ClasieM
- 9M. MeerdinkF
- 11R. DaalM
- 14C. StengsM
- 22E. DijkstraD
- 24A. OufkirM
- 28J. De BusserG
Substitutes
- 1R. Owusu-OduroG
- 2S. MaikumaD
- 7Weslley PatatiF
- 17V. ByskovM
- 18B. KovacsF
- 21D. KwakmanM
- 29W. HoedtD
- 30D. KasiusD
- 31R. IchiharaD
- 34M. de WitD
Cambuur
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Binder | F | 74 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| I. Hamache | M | 84 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3/5 |
| J. Çeka | M | 57 | 7.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 3/3 |
| N. Souren | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iwan Henstra | F | 6 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Kooistra | F | 6 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Costarelli | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. van Duijl | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. El Arguioui | M | 84 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| I. Baouf | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| S. Bouhoudane | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mulders | D | 33 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Berkhout | D | 6 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Maertens | M | 84 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| T. Jansen | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bouah | D | 53 | 5.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| S. Vink | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Jetten | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Kvam | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kalisvaart | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Apkakou | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Westerhof | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Plogmann | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AZ Alkmaar
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Koopmeiners | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| R. Daal | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/7 |
| M. Meerdink | F | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| W. Goes | D | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. De Busser | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Stengs | M | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| B. Kovacs | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Dijkstra | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| L. Schouten | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. de Wit | D | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Clasie | M | 64 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Kwakman | M | 26 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| V. Byskov | M | 26 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Chávez | D | 63 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Oufkir | M | 63 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| R. Ichihara | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Owusu-Oduro | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Maikuma | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Kasius | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Hoedt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
- Fipster's AI model predicted AZ Alkmaar to win against Cambuur.
- What score did Fipster predict for Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Cambuur 2–3 AZ Alkmaar.
- What were the win probabilities for Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
- Fipster's model gave Cambuur a 32% chance of winning, AZ Alkmaar a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.