Cagliari vs Udinese

Serie AMatchweek 36

Cagliari

Full Time
0–2
HT: 0–0

Udinese

Ref: Federico Dionisi, ItalyUnipol Domus, Cagliari · 16,416 cap
Fipster Pick
DrawlowMiss

Match recap

Udinese beat Cagliari 2–0 in their Serie A fixture. Buksa and Gueye scored for Udinese. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.41 for Cagliari versus 2.17 for Udinese. Cagliari sit 14th in the Serie A table while Udinese are 10th.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick✗
1–1
HT 0–0
Final Result
0–2
HT 0–0
30%Poor
F
✗Outcome✗Exact Score✗BTTS✓Over/Under 2.5✓Halftime
Fipster's self review11 May 2026

Analysis

Cagliari host Udinese in what promises to be a tightly contested Serie A fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with key players missing, a cautious approach is likely.

Cagliari sit 15th in the league, while Udinese are slightly better placed at 11th. Historically, their meetings have been balanced, with Udinese holding a slight edge. Injuries and suspensions have impacted both sides, particularly in attack and defence.

Cagliari's top scorer S. Esposito leads their attacking hopes despite recent injury setbacks. Udinese will miss their top scorer K. Davis, which could blunt their offensive threat. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities due to suspensions, suggesting a match where goals may be shared but limited.

Prediction

The forecast is a 1-1 draw, with a goalless first half expected. The match should see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but disciplined contest. Confidence in this outcome is moderate at 35%, acknowledging the evenly matched nature of the teams.

Outcome probability

Cagliari 33%Draw 35%Udinese 32%

Key Insights

Injury Impacthigh

Cagliari missing key attackers and playmaker

Esposito, Borrelli, Felici, and Idrissi are injured, reducing attacking options and creativity.

Injury Impacthigh

Udinese's top scorer Davis unavailable

Davis's thigh injury removes their main goal threat, impacting scoring potential.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Udinese's strong defensive midfield presence

Atta and Karlström provide solid defensive and creative balance, aiding control in midfield.

Statistical Edgemedium

Cagliari's defensive suspensions weaken backline

Obert and Idrissi suspensions reduce defensive stability, increasing vulnerability.

Form Momentummedium

Udinese's better recent away scoring form

Udinese scores more away goals recently, suggesting attacking threat despite injuries.

Key Takeaways

In summary, expect a balanced game with both sides sharing the spoils. Key players' absences will shape the contest, but neither team is likely to dominate, resulting in a fair 1-1 draw.

  • In 20 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari have won 5, Udinese 9, with 6 draws.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.7 total goals, aligning with the predicted 1-1 scoreline.
  • Cagliari are ranked 15th with 37 points from 35 games (W9 D10 L16).
  • Udinese are ranked 11th with 47 points from 35 games (W13 D8 L14).
  • S. Esposito is Cagliari's top scorer with 6 goals in 32 appearances.
  • Udinese's top scorer K. Davis is injured and unavailable for this match.
  • Both teams have key defensive suspensions affecting their backlines.
  • The predicted total cards count is 4, indicating a moderately physical game.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Cagliari

S. Kılıçsoy

S. Kılıçsoy

Forward

Cagliari

Total Goals
4
League avg: 1.04
22 played
11 starts
983 mins
~45 mins/game
G. Borrelli

G. Borrelli

Attacker

Cagliari

Total Goals
4
League avg: 1.04
26 played
12 starts
1199 mins
~46 mins/game
G. Gaetano

G. Gaetano

Midfielder

Cagliari

Total Goals
2
League avg: 1.04
29 played
17 starts
1551 mins
~53 mins/game

Away — Udinese

No standout top scorers flagged for Udinese

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