Cagliari vs Torino
Match recap
Cagliari beat Torino 2–1 in their Serie A fixture. Esposito and Mina scored for Cagliari; Obrador replied for Torino. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.62 for Cagliari versus 1.08 for Torino. Cagliari sit 14th in the Serie A table while Torino are 12th.
Analysis
As the Serie A season nears its climax, Cagliari host Torino in what promises to be a closely fought contest. Both teams have had their fair share of ups and downs, and with key players sidelined, this match could well end in a stalemate.
Cagliari sit 15th with 37 points, while Torino are slightly better placed at 12th with 44 points. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been competitive, with Torino holding a slight edge. Both sides have struggled with injuries and suspensions, notably missing their top scorers and creative midfielders, which could limit attacking fireworks.
Cagliari's top scorer S. Esposito is suspended, and G. Borrelli is injured, reducing their goal threat. Torino miss their top scorer G. Simeone and creative force N. Vlašić due to injury and suspension respectively. Defensive absences on both sides suggest vulnerabilities at the back. Recent form shows Torino scoring in four of their last five matches, while Cagliari rely on home advantage and the potential of S. Kılıçsoy to make an impact.
Prediction
Given the balanced head-to-head record, the absence of key attacking players, and the defensive frailties on both sides, a 1-1 draw looks the most probable outcome. The halftime score is expected to be goalless, with the game opening up in the second half. Expect a moderately physical encounter with around four cards shown.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Cagliari's key attackers sidelined
Esposito and Borrelli are injured/suspended, reducing Cagliari's scoring options.
Torino missing top scorer Simeone
Simeone's injury absence weakens Torino's primary goal threat.
Torino's midfield creativity at risk
Vlašić suspension limits Torino's assist potential and attacking creativity.
Cagliari's defensive instability
Multiple defensive absences and suspensions may expose Cagliari at the back.
Torino's recent scoring consistency
Torino scored in 4 of last 5 matches, showing attacking momentum despite injuries.
Key Takeaways
In summary, this fixture is set for a tight contest with both teams cancelling each other out. Fans should brace for a tactical battle rather than a goal fest, with the spoils shared in a 1-1 draw.
- In 20 meetings, Cagliari won 5, Torino 9, with 6 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.0 total goals, aligning with a moderate scoring prediction.
- Cagliari rank 15th with 37 points from 36 games (W9 D10 L17).
- Torino rank 12th with 44 points from 36 games (W12 D8 L16).
- Cagliari's top scorer S. Esposito is suspended for this match.
- Torino's top scorer G. Simeone is injured and unavailable.
- Torino's creative midfielder N. Vlašić is suspended, impacting attacking options.
- The predicted total cards count is 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cagliari
Away — Torino
No standout top scorers flagged for Torino
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Obrador
Assist: Prati
Esposito
Assist: Gaetano
Mina
Marianucci
Prati
Zapata
Deiola
Adopo
Pedersen
Maripán
Yellow Card
Mendy
Mendy
Yellow Card
Esposito
İlkhan
Match Statistics
Cagliari
4-3-2-1Starting XI
- 1E. CaprileG
- 2M. PalestraM
- 8M. AdopoM
- 10G. GaetanoM
- 14A. DeiolaM
- 22A. DossenaD
- 26Y. MinaD
- 28G. ZappaD
- 31P. MendyF
- 33A. ObertD
- 94S. EspositoM
Substitutes
- 9S. KılıçsoyF
- 12A. SherriG
- 15J. RodríguezD
- 19A. BelottiF
- 20A. AlbarracínF
- 24G. CiocciG
- 25I. SulemanaM
- 29G. BorrelliF
- 90M. FolorunshoM
Torino
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1A. PaleariG
- 4M. PratiM
- 6E. İlkhanM
- 10N. VlašićF
- 16M. PedersenM
- 18G. SimeoneF
- 23Saúl CocoD
- 33Rafael ObradorM
- 35Luca MarianucciD
- 77E. EbosseD
- 91D. ZapataF
Substitutes
- 8I. IlićM
- 13G. MaripánD
- 17S. KulenovićF
- 19C. AdamsF
- 20V. LazaroD
- 22C. CasadeiM
- 25N. NkounkouD
- 34C. BiraghiD
- 79Z. Savva
- 81F. IsraelG
- 83S. PerciunM
- 92A. NjieF
- 93M. PelliniD
- 94W. AcquahM
- 99L. SivieroG
Cagliari
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastiano Esposito | M | 83 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Yerry Mina | D | 96 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto Dossena | D | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gianluca Gaetano | M | 96 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Elia Caprile | G | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Obert | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Deiola(C) | M | 72 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gabriele Zappa | D | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Michel Adopo | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marco Palestra | M | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Paul Mendy | F | 82 | 5.6 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alen Sherri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gennaro Borrelli | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giuseppe Ciocci | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Semih Kılıçsoy | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustín Albarracín | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Rodríguez | D | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sulemana | M | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Folorunsho | M | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Andrea Belotti | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Torino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Obrador | M | 96 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| Saúl Coco | D | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nikola Vlašić | F | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Matteo Prati | M | 59 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Emirhan İlkhan | M | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Simeone | F | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/4 |
| Enzo Ebosse | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Luca Marianucci | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marcus Pedersen | M | 77 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Duván Zapata(C) | F | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alberto Paleari | G | 96 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Niels Nkounkou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Israel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Ilić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wisdom Acquah | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Pellini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lapo Siviero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergiu Perciun | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zanos Savva | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentino Lazaro | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Biraghi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Maripán | D | 51 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Che Adams | F | 37 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Cesare Casadei | M | 37 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alieu Njie | F | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sandro Kulenović | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |