Cagliari vs Lecce
Maldini's strike secures narrow Cagliari win
A solitary goal from D. Maldini was enough to see Cagliari edge past Lecce.
Cagliari claimed a tight 1-0 victory over Lecce in Serie A thanks to a first-half goal from D. Maldini at 29 minutes. The match was a closely contested affair with neither side able to find the net again. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction for a home win at this exact scoreline proved spot on.
Outcome probability
The new Serie A season kicks off with Cagliari facing Lecce in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams are looking to start their campaigns on a positive note after summer changes, setting the tone for the months ahead.
Key facts
- 1.Cagliari finished 14th last season with 43 points from 38 games.
- 2.Lecce ended the previous campaign in 17th place with 38 points.
- 3.Cagliari have a superior goal difference by 9 goals compared to Lecce.
- 4.H. Winks has joined Cagliari in the summer transfer window.
- 5.G. Gaetano has left Cagliari ahead of the new season.
- 6.Lecce have lost Y. Ramadani during the summer.
- 7.The predicted final score is 1-0 in favour of Cagliari.
- 8.Four cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive game.
The context
Cagliari have made a notable signing with H. Winks arriving to bolster their midfield, while G. Gaetano has departed. Lecce, on the other hand, have been shorn of Y. Ramadani. These moves could influence the dynamics as both sides seek to find their best starting eleven for the season opener.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cagliari
Away — Lecce
Analysis
Looking at the numbers from last season, Cagliari finished higher in the league standings and boast a better goal difference by nine goals compared to Lecce. This suggests a slight edge in quality and consistency. The prediction leans towards a tight game, with a 1-0 scoreline reflecting Cagliari's ability to break the deadlock while maintaining defensive solidity. Expect a competitive match with a handful of cards, as both sides will be eager to stamp their authority early on.
Prediction
The forecast is for Cagliari to take the three points with a narrow 1-0 victory. The halftime score is also predicted to be 1-0, indicating an early goal that Cagliari will look to protect. Four cards are expected in total, hinting at a physical contest but nothing out of the ordinary.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, Cagliari's slight advantage in squad strength and last season's metrics make them favourites to claim a slender win. Lecce will no doubt put up a fight, but the home side's edge should see them through in a match that sets the tone for the campaign ahead.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Maldini
Assist: Fazzini
Kialonda Gaspar
Yellow Card
Ngom
Fazzini
Rodríguez
Maldini
Monteiro
Ilić
Kialonda Gaspar
Mendy
Felici
Pierotti
Siebert
Yellow Card
Deiola
Yellow Card
Falcone
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Cagliari
4-3-2-1Starting XI
- 1E. CaprileG
- 2Zé PedroD
- 4A. RomanoM
- 6H. WinksM
- 8M. AdopoM
- 10J. FazziniM
- 14A. DeiolaD
- 15J. RodríguezD
- 31P. MendyF
- 33A. ObertD
- 70D. MaldiniM
Substitutes
- 12A. SherriG
- 17M. FeliciF
- 20R. CiervoF
- 22R. KoflerD
- 23B. RadunovićG
- 24G. AurelioD
- 27J. LitetaM
- 30A. AkarakiriM
- 32Ivan Stoyanov SulevM
- 36N. GranduM
- 39A. FaderaF
Lecce
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 4Kialonda GasparD
- 9N. ŠtulićF
- 17Danilo VeigaD
- 20I. IlićM
- 25A. GalloD
- 29L. CoulibalyM
- 30W. FalconeG
- 44Tiago GabrielD
- 50S. PierottiM
- 79O. NgomM
- 99Joël MonteiroM
Substitutes
- 1M. BleveG
- 2A. DembéléD
- 3C. NdabaD
- 5J. SiebertD
- 7A. Ahmed FatahF
- 8S. FofanaM
- 10M. BerishaM
- 11K. N’DriF
- 14Y. MalehM
- 16O. GandelmanM
- 18G. JeanD
- 22Paco EstebanF
- 28Olaf GorterM
- 31E. ScottD
- 33P. PenevG
Cagliari
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maldini | M | 66 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Fazzini | M | 61 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 66 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Deiola | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Kofler | D | 24 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Obert | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Fadera | F | 24 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Zé Pedro | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| M. Adopo | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Felici | F | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| H. Winks | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Romano | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Caprile | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Mendy | F | 74 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Liteta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Stoyanov Sulev | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ciervo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Aurelio | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Akarakiri | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Radunović | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sherri | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Grandu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lecce
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Falcone | G | 90 | 8.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Maleh | M | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Ilić | M | 66 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Ngom | M | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| L. Coulibaly | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| A. Ahmed Fatah | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Štulić | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Veiga | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. N’Dri | F | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Berisha | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Kialonda Gaspar | D | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joël Monteiro | M | 66 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/6 |
| S. Pierotti | M | 82 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Siebert | D | 24 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gallo | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Gandelman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Bleve | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Jean | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ndaba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Dembélé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olaf Gorter | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Scott | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Penev | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paco Esteban | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |