Cagliari vs Juventus
Match recap
Cagliari and Juventus drew 1–1 in their Serie A fixture. Maldini scored for Cagliari; Kolo Muani replied for Juventus. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.54 for Cagliari versus 1.94 for Juventus. Cagliari sit 4th in the Serie A table while Juventus are 6th.
Outcome probability
Cagliari and Juventus face off in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A encounter. Both sides have shown glimpses of quality, but recent form and tactical nuances suggest a tight game with limited scoring opportunities.
Match factors
Cagliari's Daniel Maldini in strong scoring form
Maldini's 3 goals in last 5 games and consistent starts give Cagliari a key attacking edge at home
Michel Adopo leads Cagliari's creativity
Adopo's 2 assists in 4 games and high minutes make him the main chance creator for Cagliari
Juventus missing key midfielder Locatelli
Locatelli's absence weakens Juventus' midfield creativity and passing control
Juventus' Edon Zhegrova shows sharp away scoring
Zhegrova scored 2 goals in 2 away games despite limited minutes, indicating impact potential
Bremer's dual threat for Juventus
Bremer contributes defensively and offensively with solid tackling and goal scoring
The context
Cagliari currently sit 4th in the league with 12 points from 5 games, showcasing solid home performances. Juventus, known as the Bianconeri, are 8th with 7 points from 4 matches. Historically, Juventus have dominated head-to-head meetings, but recent league form favours Cagliari.
Key insights
Daniel Maldini
Cagliari
Maldini's 3 goals in 5 games make him a key attacking threat for Cagliari at home.
Serie A 26/273 goals in last 5 games, 4 starts, 310 mins
Michel Adopo
Cagliari
Adopo's 2 assists in 4 games highlight his role as Cagliari's main creative force.
Serie A 26/272 assists in 4 games, 360 mins, 4 starts
Edon Zhegrova
Juventus
Zhegrova's 2 goals in limited minutes show his potential impact off the bench away from home.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 3 games, 59 mins total, no starts
Bremer
Juventus
Bremer contributes both defensively and offensively, adding balance to Juventus' backline.
Serie A 26/271 goal in 4 games, 360 mins, 4 starts
Analysis
Juventus have won 15 of the last 20 meetings against Cagliari, but the Sardinians have been impressive this season, boasting a points-per-game advantage (2.40 vs 1.75). Cagliari's Daniel Maldini is in fine scoring form with 3 goals in 5 games, while Michel Adopo leads their creativity with 2 assists. Juventus' Edon Zhegrova offers an attacking threat despite limited minutes, but the absence of key midfielder Locatelli may hamper their midfield control. Defensive solidity from Bremer for Juventus adds balance, but Cagliari's home advantage and recent momentum could be decisive.
Key facts
- 1.Cagliari are 4th in the league with 12 points from 5 games (W4 D0 L1).
- 2.Juventus sit 8th with 7 points from 4 games (W2 D1 L1).
- 3.Juventus have won 15 of 20 head-to-head matches against Cagliari.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals per game.
- 5.Cagliari have a points-per-game advantage of 2.40 over Juventus' 1.75.
- 6.Daniel Maldini has scored 3 goals in the last 5 games for Cagliari.
- 7.Michel Adopo leads Cagliari with 2 assists in 4 games.
- 8.Edon Zhegrova has 2 goals in 3 games for Juventus, mostly as a substitute.
Prediction
We predict a narrow 1-0 victory for Cagliari, with the home side taking an early lead and holding on through disciplined defending. The halftime score is expected to mirror the fulltime result, reflecting a cautious but effective approach from the hosts. Expect around four cards as tensions simmer in this competitive fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cagliari
Away — Juventus
The verdict
This match is set to be a tactical battle with Cagliari leveraging their home form and attacking edge to claim all three points. Juventus will need to overcome midfield absences and find sharper attacking moments to avoid defeat. A tight scoreline seems the most likely outcome.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 17:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
McKennie
Yellow Card
Maldini
Assist: Mendy
Rodríguez
Yellow Card
McKennie
Conceição
Rodríguez
González
Massolin
Çelik
Mendy
Maldini
Kolo Muani
Assist: Alajbegović
Deiola
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz
Obert
Match Statistics
Cagliari
4-3-2-1Starting XI
- 1E. CaprileG
- 2Zé PedroD
- 4A. RomanoM
- 6H. WinksM
- 8M. AdopoM
- 15J. RodríguezD
- 26Y. MinaD
- 31P. MendyF
- 33A. ObertD
- 70D. MaldiniM
- 79Y. MassolinM
Substitutes
- 9Kevin CarlosF
- 10J. FazziniM
- 12A. SherriG
- 14A. DeiolaM
- 18M'Bala NzolaF
- 20R. CiervoF
- 21R. GagliardiniM
- 22R. KoflerD
- 23B. RadunovićG
- 24G. AurelioD
- 27J. LitetaM
- 28Y. SugawaraD
- 32Ivan Stoyanov SulevM
- 39A. FaderaF
Juventus
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Z. ÇelikD
- 3BremerD
- 7Francisco ConceiçãoM
- 9R. Kolo MuaniF
- 12Douglas LuizM
- 15P. KaluluD
- 22W. McKennieM
- 25G. VicarioG
- 26J. LucumíD
- 29P. SarrM
- 31N. GonzálezM
Substitutes
- 4F. GattiD
- 6L. KellyD
- 8T. KoopmeinersM
- 11E. ZhegrovaF
- 17Kerim-Sam AlajbegovićF
- 20A. CambiasoD
- 23C. PinsoglioG
- 24D. RuganiD
- 27N. WoltemadeF
- 32J. CabalD
Cagliari
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Caprile | G | 90 | 8.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Maldini | M | 69 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| P. Mendy | F | 69 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| Y. Massolin | M | 60 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| A. Obert | D | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Y. Mina | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Pedro | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Fadera | F | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Adopo | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| H. Winks | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| M'Bala Nzola | F | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| J. Fazzini | M | 6 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Deiola | M | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Romano | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Y. Sugawara | D | 21 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Stoyanov Sulev | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Aurelio | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Carlos | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Radunović | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Kofler | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Liteta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sherri | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Gagliardini | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ciervo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Juventus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kolo Muani | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/5 |
| Kerim-Sam Alajbegović | F | 44 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 1/3 |
| Douglas Luiz | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Sarr | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Z. Çelik | D | 64 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Bremer | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Zhegrova | F | 44 | 6.9 | — | — | 6 | 5 | — | 2/6 |
| P. Kalulu | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| W. McKennie | M | 46 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| J. Lucumí | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Woltemade | F | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| A. Cambiaso | D | 26 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| N. González | M | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Francisco Conceição | M | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Vicario | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Koopmeiners | M | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Rugani | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cabal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Pinsoglio | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Gatti | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Kelly | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Cagliari vs Juventus?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Cagliari to win against Juventus.
- What score did Fipster predict for Cagliari vs Juventus?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Cagliari 1–0 Juventus.
- What were the win probabilities for Cagliari vs Juventus?
- Fipster's model gave Cagliari a 67% chance of winning, Juventus a 16% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 67% confidence — a high-confidence call.