Cagliari vs Inter
Inter nudge past Cagliari with early strike
Çalhanoğlu's ninth-minute goal proves decisive in a tight Serie A contest.
Inter secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Cagliari thanks to H. Çalhanoğlu's early goal in the ninth minute. Despite the slim margin, the visitors held firm to claim all three points in a closely fought match. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline differed slightly from the forecast.
Outcome probability
The new Serie A season kicks off with an intriguing clash between Cagliari and Inter. Both teams are eager to set the tone early, with Inter looking to assert their dominance and Cagliari aiming to make a strong impression despite some summer departures.
Key facts
- 1.Cagliari lost G. Gaetano in the summer transfer window.
- 2.Inter retained their squad with no notable departures or arrivals.
- 3.Inter have a significantly better goal difference than Cagliari from last season.
- 4.Inter averaged 2.29 points per game last season, compared to Cagliari's 1.13.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 0-2 in favour of Inter.
- 6.The most likely fulltime score is 1-2, with Inter winning.
- 7.The match is expected to feature around four total cards, indicating moderate discipline events.
- 8.Inter are the clear favourites to win away in this fixture.
The context
Cagliari enter this match having lost G. Gaetano to a transfer, which slightly trims their squad depth. Inter, meanwhile, have maintained their core squad, positioning themselves as favourites to start the campaign on a high note. This fixture marks the beginning of a fresh campaign where both sides will look to build momentum from the outset.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cagliari
Away — Inter
Analysis
Inter are strongly favoured to win away, with the most likely final score being 2-1 in their favour. The prediction suggests Inter will take an early two-goal lead by halftime, putting Cagliari on the back foot. While Cagliari may claw one back in the second half, the Nerazzurri's superior goal difference and points-per-game advantage from last season hint at their ability to hold on for the win. The match is also expected to see a moderate level of discipline, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Prediction
Expect Inter to start the season with a confident performance, securing a 2-1 victory after leading 2-0 at halftime. Cagliari will respond but ultimately fall short against a well-organised Nerazzurri side.
The verdict
This season opener promises a competitive encounter, but the balance of quality and squad stability leans towards Inter. Cagliari will need to regroup quickly after the early deficit if they are to challenge effectively in the coming weeks.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Çalhanoğlu
Assist: Barella
Akanji
Yellow Card
Deiola
Yellow Card
Winks
Fazzini
Mendy
Esposito
Çalhanoğlu
Sučić
Akanji
Maldini
Luis Henrique
Deiola
Kevin Carlos
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Cagliari
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1E. CaprileG
- 2Zé PedroD
- 4A. RomanoM
- 6H. WinksM
- 8M. AdopoM
- 10J. FazziniM
- 14A. DeiolaD
- 15J. RodríguezD
- 31P. MendyF
- 33A. ObertD
- 70D. MaldiniM
Substitutes
- 9Kevin CarlosF
- 12A. SherriG
- 17M. FeliciF
- 20R. CiervoF
- 21N. CavuotiM
- 22R. KoflerD
- 23B. RadunovićG
- 24G. AurelioD
- 27J. LitetaM
- 29G. BorrelliF
- 30A. AkarakiriM
- 32Ivan Stoyanov SulevM
- 39A. FaderaF
Inter
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1Josep MartínezG
- 8P. SučićM
- 10Lautaro MartínezF
- 11Luis HenriqueM
- 20H. ÇalhanoğluM
- 23N. BarellaM
- 25M. AkanjiD
- 28B. PavardD
- 32F. DimarcoM
- 94F. EspositoF
- 95A. BastoniD
Substitutes
- 5A. StankovićM
- 6J. StonesD
- 7P. ZielińskiM
- 9M. ThuramF
- 12R. Di GennaroG
- 14A. BonnyF
- 17A. DioufM
- 21C. JonesM
- 22H. MkhitaryanM
- 30Carlos AugustoD
- 31Y. BisseckD
- 49I. ProvedelG
Cagliari
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elia Caprile | G | 92 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Obert | D | 92 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alessandro Romano | M | 92 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Juan Rodríguez | D | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Michel Adopo | M | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Paul Mendy | F | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Zé Pedro | D | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Deiola(C) | D | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harry Winks | M | 57 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Maldini | M | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Jacopo Fazzini | M | 57 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alen Sherri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giuseppe Aurelio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Cavuoti | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Sulev | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Liteta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Demi Akarakiri | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boris Radunović | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Felici | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphael Kofler | D | 35 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alieu Fadera | F | 35 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Riccardo Ciervo | F | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kevin Carlos Omoruyi | F | 35 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gennaro Borrelli | F | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/4 |
Inter
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hakan Çalhanoğlu | M | 65 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Federico Dimarco | M | 92 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Alessandro Bastoni | D | 92 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| Nicolò Barella | M | 92 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6/6 |
| Petar Sučić | M | 65 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Manuel Akanji | D | 68 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Josep Martínez | G | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pio Esposito | F | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Benjamin Pavard | D | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Luís Henrique | M | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez(C) | F | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Diouf | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raffaele Di Gennaro | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Provedel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Augusto | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleksandar Stanković | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Stones | D | 24 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Piotr Zieliński | M | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Marcus Thuram | F | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Yann Bisseck | D | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Curtis Jones | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Cagliari vs Inter?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Inter to win against Cagliari.
- What score did Fipster predict for Cagliari vs Inter?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Cagliari 1–2 Inter.
- What were the win probabilities for Cagliari vs Inter?
- Fipster's model gave Cagliari a 7% chance of winning, Inter a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.