Cagliari vs Frosinone

Serie AMatchweek 11
Ref: Giovanni AyroldiUnipol Domus, Cagliari · 16,416 cap
Fipster Pick
Away Winmedium

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Cagliari and Frosinone face off in what promises to be a tightly contested Serie B encounter. Both teams have shown flashes of quality this season, but Frosinone's superior league position and goal difference suggest they have the edge.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
1–2
Half-time0–1
Frosinone Win
MEDIUM
Confidence
Cagliari 22%Draw 22%Frosinone 56%

The context

Currently, Frosinone sit 6th in the league with 17 points from 9 games, while Cagliari are 11th with 13 points. Frosinone's goal difference of +8 starkly contrasts with Cagliari's -5, highlighting the visitors' stronger offensive and defensive balance so far this campaign.

Match factors

Injury Impacthigh

Cagliari missing key midfielder H. Winks

Winks is confirmed out with a back injury, weakening midfield creativity and passing.

Statistical Edgehigh

Frosinone's superior attacking form

Frosinone averages 2.4 goals per game vs Cagliari's 0.9, indicating stronger offensive potential.

Tactical Advantagehigh

Frosinone's prolific forward A. Raimondo key to scoring

Raimondo's recent multi-goal performances and high ratings make him a focal point in attack.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Cagliari's defensive stalwart A. Obert to face Frosinone's attack

Obert's strong tackling and duel success critical to containing Frosinone's forwards.

Form Momentummedium

Frosinone's midfield creativity led by G. Calò and R. Schmid

Both players show high passing volumes and assist contributions, driving Frosinone's attack.

Analysis

Frosinone's attacking prowess is spearheaded by forward A. Raimondo, who has been prolific with multiple multi-goal games and high match ratings. Midfielders G. Calò and R. Schmid provide creativity and assists, making Frosinone a well-rounded threat. On the other side, Cagliari will rely on defender A. Obert's tackling and duel success to contain the visitors' attack. However, the absence of key midfielder H. Winks due to a back injury weakens Cagliari's midfield creativity and passing options, which could prove costly.

Key insights

  • A

    A. Raimondo

    Frosinone

    Prolific recent goal scorer with multiple multi-goal games, making him a key attacking threat.

    Serie A 26/27High match ratings up to 9.31 this season.

  • G

    G. Calò

    Frosinone

    Key creative midfielder with high passing volume and accuracy, driving Frosinone's attack.

    Serie A 26/27Averages 52 passes per game with 81% accuracy.

  • A

    A. Obert

    Cagliari

    Defensive stalwart with above average tackles and strong duel success, crucial to containing Frosinone's forwards.

    Serie A 26/272.22 tackles per game vs 1.28 league average for defenders; ~58% duel win rate.

Prediction

The prediction sees Frosinone taking an early lead by halftime, with a 0-1 scoreline, and ultimately winning 2-1. The away side's superior form and goal difference give them the advantage, though Cagliari are expected to fight back and score. Expect a competitive match with around four cards issued, reflecting the intensity on the pitch.

Key facts

  1. 1.Frosinone rank 6th with 17 points from 9 games (W5 D2 L2).
  2. 2.Cagliari are 11th with 13 points from 9 games (W4 D1 L4).
  3. 3.Frosinone have a goal difference of +8 compared to Cagliari's -5.
  4. 4.Frosinone average 2.4 goals per game, Cagliari 0.9.
  5. 5.Cagliari's key midfielder H. Winks is out with a back injury.
  6. 6.A. Raimondo is Frosinone's prolific forward with multiple multi-goal games.
  7. 7.A. Obert is a defensive stalwart for Cagliari with strong tackling stats.

The verdict

In summary, Frosinone's balanced attack and solid league standing make them the favourites to claim all three points. Cagliari's defensive efforts and home advantage will keep the game close, but the visitors' quality should shine through in the end.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Cagliari

J. Rodríguez

J. Rodríguez

Defender

Cagliari

Total Passes
486
10 played
10 starts
800 mins
~80 mins/game
A. Romano

A. Romano

Midfielder

Cagliari

Total Passes
384
10 played
10 starts
871 mins
~87 mins/game
H. Winks

H. Winks

Midfielder

Cagliari

Total Passes
376
8 played
8 starts
633 mins
~79 mins/game

Away — Frosinone

G. Calò

G. Calò

Midfielder

Frosinone

Total Passes
527
10 played
10 starts
856 mins
~86 mins/game

Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 15:58 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Cagliari vs Frosinone?
Fipster's AI model predicts Frosinone to win against Cagliari.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Frosinone?
Fipster predicts a final score of Cagliari 1–2 Frosinone.
What are the win probabilities for Cagliari vs Frosinone?
Fipster's model gives Cagliari a 22% chance of winning, Frosinone a 56% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 56% confidence — a medium-confidence call.