Cagliari vs Atalanta
Match recap
Cagliari beat Atalanta 3–2 in their Serie A fixture. Mendy, Mendy, and Borrelli scored for Cagliari; Scamacca and Scamacca replied for Atalanta. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.51 for Cagliari versus 1.72 for Atalanta. Cagliari sit 14th in the Serie A table while Atalanta are 7th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
0-1 Atalanta win
Actual
3–2
Analysis
As the Serie A season nears its climax, Cagliari host Atalanta in what promises to be a closely fought contest. Both teams have plenty to play for, and with Atalanta's strong away form and Cagliari's home resilience, a balanced game is on the cards.
Atalanta currently sit comfortably in 7th place with 54 points, boasting a +16 goal difference, while Cagliari struggle in 16th with 33 points and a -14 goal difference. Historically, Atalanta have the upper hand with 12 wins in 20 meetings, but Cagliari have shown they can be stubborn opponents at home.
Cagliari's standout midfielder S. Esposito leads their attack with 6 goals this season and impressive recent form, scoring 8 goals in the last 5 games. Atalanta rely heavily on N. Krstović, their top scorer with 10 goals and a remarkable 12 goals in the last 5 away games. However, Atalanta's suspension of key defender A. Obert could weaken their defensive stability, potentially balancing the scales.
Prediction
Given the attacking threats on both sides and the defensive challenges, a 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome. The halftime score might see Atalanta leading 1-0, but Cagliari are expected to fight back in the second half to level the match. Expect a competitive game with around four cards shown as tempers flare.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Esposito's Dual Threat
Esposito leads both scoring and assists, central to Cagliari's attack and likely focal point against Atalanta.
Atalanta's Attack Missing Scamacca
Scamacca's absence reduces Atalanta's attacking options, increasing reliance on Krstović.
Krstović's Away Scoring Form
Krstović's prolific away goal record (12 in last 5 away games) gives Atalanta an edge on the road.
Cagliari's Recent Scoring Dip
Cagliari's overall form is weak with injuries to key attackers, limiting goal threat beyond Esposito.
Obert Suspension Weakens Defense and Creativity
Obert's suspension removes a key defender and assist provider, potentially weakening Cagliari's backline and build-up.
Key Takeaways
In summary, this fixture is set to be a tactical battle with neither side able to dominate fully. Both teams have key players who can influence the game, but the prediction leans towards a shared point each, reflecting their current form and squad situations.
- Atalanta lead head-to-head with 12 wins to Cagliari's 7 in 20 matches.
- Atalanta have a +16 goal difference this season; Cagliari have -14.
- Atalanta sit 7th in the league with 54 points; Cagliari are 16th with 33 points.
- S. Esposito is Cagliari's top scorer with 6 goals and 5 assists this season.
- N. Krstović leads Atalanta with 10 goals, excelling in away matches.
- A. Obert's suspension weakens Cagliari's defense and creativity.
- The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Cagliari
Away — Atalanta
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mendy
Assist: Adopo
Mendy
Scamacca
Scamacca
Assist: Scalvini
Mendy
Borrelli
Bellanova
Deiola
Zappacosta
Esposito
de Roon
Kolašinac
Rodríguez
De Ketelaere
Unknown
Match Statistics
Cagliari
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1E. CaprileG
- 8M. AdopoD
- 10G. GaetanoM
- 14A. DeiolaM
- 15J. RodríguezD
- 26Y. MinaD
- 31P. MendyF
- 32Zé PedroD
- 33A. ObertD
- 90M. FolorunshoM
- 94S. EspositoF
Substitutes
- 2M. PalestraD
- 9S. KılıçsoyF
- 12A. SherriG
- 18O. RaterinkD
- 19A. BelottiF
- 20A. AlbarracínF
- 22A. DossenaD
- 24G. CiocciG
- 25I. SulemanaM
- 27J. LitetaM
- 28G. ZappaD
- 29G. BorrelliF
- 37Y. TrepyF
Atalanta
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 8Mario PasalicM
- 9G. ScamaccaF
- 15M. de RoonM
- 16R. BellanovaM
- 17C. De KetelaereF
- 18G. RaspadoriF
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 23S. KolašinacD
- 29M. CarnesecchiG
- 42G. ScalviniD
- 77D. ZappacostaM
Substitutes
- 3O. KossounouD
- 4I. HienD
- 5M. BakkerD
- 6Y. MusahM
- 7K. SulemanaF
- 10L. SamardžićM
- 13ÉdersonM
- 40R. ObriÄD
- 50P. PardelG
- 57M. SportielloG
- 59N. ZalewskiM
- 69H. AhanorD
- 90N. KrstovićF
Cagliari
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Mendy | F | 45 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Gianluca Gaetano | M | 98 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Michel Adopo | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Elia Caprile | G | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Rodríguez | D | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Folorunsho | M | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/5 |
| Alessandro Deiola(C) | M | 56 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Adam Obert | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Yerry Mina | D | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sebastiano Esposito | F | 56 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Zé Pedro | D | 98 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Giuseppe Ciocci | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriele Zappa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Semih Kılıçsoy | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustín Albarracín | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Liteta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Othniël Raterink | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yael Trepy | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alen Sherri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gennaro Borrelli | F | 32 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto Dossena | D | 25 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Palestra | D | 42 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sulemana | M | 42 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Andrea Belotti | F | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
Atalanta
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluca Scamacca | F | 98 | 8.5 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Berat Djimsiti | D | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sead Kolasinac | D | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raoul Bellanova | M | 56 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon(C) | M | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | F | 77 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Mario Pašalić | M | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Davide Zappacosta | M | 56 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Marco Sportiello | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yunus Musah | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isak Hien | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mitchel Bakker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Relja Obrić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Piotr Pardel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Honest Ahanor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamaldeen Sulemana | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | M | 42 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Lazar Samardžić | M | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Éderson | M | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Odilon Kossounou | D | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nikola Krstović | F | 42 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |