Caernarfon Town vs FC Levadia Tallinn

UEFA Europa Conference League1st Qualifying Round

Caernarfon Town

Full Time
0–5
HT: 0–3

FC Levadia Tallinn

Ref: D. SvegzdaThe Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd · 3,500 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinlowHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
Caernarfon Town 0 10 FC Levadia Tallinn
Advances:
FC Levadia Tallinn

Match recap

FC Levadia Tallinn beat Caernarfon Town 5–0 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

1-2 FC Levadia Tallinn win

Actual

0–5

✓ Called it

Outcome probability

Caernarfon Town 32%Draw 33%FC Levadia Tallinn 35%

The upcoming 1st Qualifying Round fixture between Caernarfon Town and FC Levadia Tallinn promises an intriguing contest, with Levadia looking to maintain their dominance over the Welsh side.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

FC Levadia Tallinn's superior scoring form

FC Levadia Tallinn averages 3 goals per game with 75% win rate, far outperforming Caernarfon Town's 0 goals scored and 0% win rate in recent matches

Tactical Advantagehigh

FC Levadia Tallinn's attacking trio dominance

Players M. Ainsalu, B. Tambedou, and Wendell Gabriel have combined multiple goals and assists recently, creating a strong attacking threat

Injury Impactmedium

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have no confirmed out players, so full squads available, but Caernarfon Town's lack of scoring form is a bigger concern

Form Momentumhigh

Caernarfon Town's defensive struggles continue

Caernarfon Town has conceded 5 goals in last two home matches and failed to score, indicating poor form momentum

The context

FC Levadia Tallinn have a commanding record against Caernarfon Town, having won both previous encounters with a combined scoreline of 10-0. In this competition, Levadia have won three of four matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding just two, while Caernarfon Town have struggled, losing both matches 0-5.

Key insights

  • M

    M. Ainsalu

    FC Levadia Tallinn

    Consistent scorer with multiple goals in recent matches versus Caernarfon Town, providing key attacking contributions.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Multiple goals and assists in recent fixtures against Caernarfon Town.

  • B

    B. Tambedou

    FC Levadia Tallinn

    Strong attacking presence with multiple goals and assists in recent away matches, linking well with teammates.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Multiple goals and assists in recent away matches.

  • W

    Wendell Gabriel

    FC Levadia Tallinn

    Effective in breaking down opposition defences with multiple goals and assists in recent away fixtures.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Multiple goals and assists in recent away fixtures.

  • Z

    Z. Clarke

    Caernarfon Town

    Key defender who remains important despite the team's defensive struggles, potentially disrupting Levadia's attack.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Important defensive contributions despite conceding struggles.

Analysis

Levadia's attacking trio, including M. Ainsalu, B. Tambedou, and Wendell Gabriel, have been instrumental in their recent success, combining multiple goals and assists. Caernarfon Town's defence, despite the efforts of key defender Z. Clarke, has been porous, conceding five goals in their last two home matches without scoring. Both teams have full squads available, but Caernarfon's lack of scoring form remains a concern.

Key facts

  1. 1.FC Levadia Tallinn have won both head-to-head matches against Caernarfon Town with a combined score of 10-0.
  2. 2.Caernarfon Town have lost both matches in this competition 0-5.
  3. 3.FC Levadia Tallinn have won 3 of 4 matches in this competition, scoring 12 goals and conceding 2.
  4. 4.Away win outcomes have over 81% probability with 1-2 as the most likely scoreline.
  5. 5.Caernarfon Town have conceded 5 goals in their last two home matches and failed to score.
  6. 6.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are available.

Prediction

Given Levadia's superior recent form and attacking prowess, the prediction favours an away win by 2-1. While the model suggests this outcome as most probable, the call is made with a degree of caution due to limited data and the competitive nature of the fixture.

The verdict

Expect FC Levadia Tallinn to continue their strong run against Caernarfon Town, but Caernarfon may well find the net once in what should be a competitive encounter.

Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 13:11 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Caernarfon Town vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Fipster's AI model predicted FC Levadia Tallinn to win against Caernarfon Town.
What score did Fipster predict for Caernarfon Town vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Fipster predicted a final score of Caernarfon Town 1–2 FC Levadia Tallinn.
What were the win probabilities for Caernarfon Town vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Fipster's model gave Caernarfon Town a 32% chance of winning, FC Levadia Tallinn a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.
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