Burnley vs Portsmouth
Burnley and Portsmouth settle for stalemate
Neither side could find a breakthrough in a goalless Championship clash.
Burnley and Portsmouth played out a 0-0 draw, with neither team managing to score. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Portsmouth win, proving that sometimes a clean sheet is the best story on the pitch.
Outcome probability
Burnley and Portsmouth face off in what promises to be a tightly contested fixture. Both sides have shown moments of promise this season, but Portsmouth's recent form and defensive solidity could tip the scales in their favour.
Match factors
Burnley missing key attackers weakens scoring options
Burnley has multiple attackers confirmed out, reducing goal threat significantly
Portsmouth's positive scoring streak supports predicted win
Portsmouth has scored in 4 of last 5 matches, showing attacking consistency
Burnley's strong defensive passers may control midfield tempo
Max Alleyne and K. Walker excel in passing accuracy and volume, aiding ball retention
Portsmouth's defensive solidity away could limit Burnley's scoring
Portsmouth concedes fewer goals away (0.83) than Burnley at home (1.7)
Ebou Adams' high defensive work rate could disrupt Burnley's midfield
Adams averages nearly 3 tackles per game with strong duel success
The context
Portsmouth currently sit 8th with 18 points from 12 games, enjoying a notable points-per-game advantage over Burnley, who are 22nd with 8 points from 11 matches. This league phase encounter sees Portsmouth aiming to extend their positive run, while Burnley look to climb out of the relegation zone.
Key insights
- M
Max Alleyne
Burnley
Passing accuracy at 87% and high passing volume help Burnley control midfield tempo.
Championship 26/2787% passing accuracy, 55+ passes per game
- K
K. Walker
Burnley
Strong duel win rate and defensive contribution aid Burnley’s backline stability.
Championship 26/2761% duel win rate, 1.4 tackles per game
- E
E. Adams
Portsmouth
High tackle rate and duel success disrupt Burnley’s midfield rhythm.
Championship 26/272.9 tackles per game, 61% duel win rate
Analysis
Portsmouth's away defensive record is impressive, conceding fewer goals than Burnley do at home. Key players like Ebou Adams bring a high defensive work rate, averaging nearly 3 tackles per game, which could disrupt Burnley's midfield rhythm. Burnley's defenders Max Alleyne and K. Walker excel in passing accuracy and volume, potentially controlling the midfield tempo. However, Burnley are missing key attackers, weakening their scoring options, while Portsmouth have found the net in four of their last five matches, showing attacking consistency.
Key facts
- 1.Portsmouth have a points-per-game advantage over Burnley (1.50 vs 0.73).
- 2.Portsmouth are 8th with 18 points from 12 games; Burnley are 22nd with 8 points from 11 games.
- 3.Portsmouth concede fewer goals away (0.83 per game) than Burnley do at home (1.7 per game).
- 4.Burnley defenders Max Alleyne and K. Walker have passing accuracies of 87% and over 61% duel win rate respectively.
- 5.Ebou Adams averages 2.9 tackles per game, disrupting opposition midfield play.
- 6.Burnley are missing key attackers, reducing their goal threat significantly.
- 7.Portsmouth have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, showing attacking consistency.
Prediction
The most probable scenario is a goalless first half as both teams feel each other out. Portsmouth are expected to edge the match 2-1, capitalising on their defensive solidity and attacking momentum. Despite the low confidence in this call due to close probabilities, Portsmouth's slight statistical and form advantages make them the favourites to take all three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Burnley
Away — Portsmouth
The verdict
This fixture is finely balanced but leans towards an away win for Portsmouth. Burnley will need to overcome their attacking absences and find a way past a disciplined Portsmouth defence to avoid defeat. Expect a competitive match with goals coming in the second half.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 16:02 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Laurent
Yellow Card
Meghoma
Yellow Card
Segecic
Kavuma McQueen
Vardy
Yellow Card
Hatate
Hountondji
Milovanović
Kamara
Meghoma
Edwards
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Burnley
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2K. WalkerD
- 5R. HatateM
- 9J. VardyF
- 10M. EdwardsM
- 17A. HountondjiM
- 18H. EkdalD
- 19L. RamazaniM
- 23Lucas PiresD
- 29J. LaurentM
- 37G. CoudertG
- 44IgorD
Substitutes
- 1M. WeißG
- 3Max AlleyneD
- 8U. RaghouberM
- 14C. RobertsD
- 15A. AhmedhodžićD
- 21A. RamseyM
- 22O. SonneD
- 24J. CullenM
- 34J. BanelF
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1N. SchmidG
- 5R. PooleD
- 7M. PackM
- 10A. SegecicM
- 11A. KamaraM
- 16J. MeghomaD
- 22Z. SwansonD
- 25R. Kavuma McQueenM
- 29M. MilovanovićF
- 37I. MohamedM
- 55M. DiaD
Substitutes
- 6C. ShaughnessyD
- 17T. ShadeF
- 19R. SheinM
- 20T. WaddinghamF
- 23J. MurphyM
- 24T. DevlinM
- 27O. BaileyM
- 31D. BielicaG
- 38E. AdamsM
Burnley
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ramazani | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Sonne | D | 5 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Banel | F | 28 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| H. Ekdal | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Coudert | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cullen | M | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Hatate | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Hountondji | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Laurent | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Lucas Pires | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| J. Vardy | F | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Walker | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Igor | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ramsey | M | 19 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Edwards | M | 85 | 6.0 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| C. Roberts | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Raghouber | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Weiß | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ahmedhodžić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Alleyne | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Portsmouth
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Schmid | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dia | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Swanson | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Poole | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Shade | F | 40 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Murphy | M | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| R. Kavuma McQueen | M | 50 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| I. Mohamed | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Devlin | M | 10 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Milovanović | F | 72 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pack | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Meghoma | D | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Kamara | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Adams | M | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Segecic | M | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/3 |
| T. Waddingham | F | 10 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Shaughnessy | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bielica | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Bailey | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Shein | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Portsmouth to win against Burnley.
- What score did Fipster predict for Burnley vs Portsmouth?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Burnley 1–2 Portsmouth.
- What were the win probabilities for Burnley vs Portsmouth?
- Fipster's model gave Burnley a 32% chance of winning, Portsmouth a 36% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 36% confidence — a low-confidence call.