Bristol City vs Stoke City
Match recap
Bristol City beat Stoke City 2–0 in their Championship fixture. Burgzorg and Bell scored for Bristol City. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.98 for Bristol City versus 1.03 for Stoke City. Bristol City sit 12th in the Championship table while Stoke City are 17th.
Analysis
As the Championship season nears its climax, Bristol City host Stoke City in what promises to be a closely fought contest. Both sides have shown resilience and attacking intent, setting the stage for a competitive match at Ashton Gate.
Bristol City, sitting 12th with 62 points, face Stoke City, 17th with 55 points, in the final round of the regular season. Historically, these teams have met 17 times with Bristol City edging the head-to-head record. Recent form and home advantage could play a crucial role in this encounter.
Bristol City's attacking midfield duo, Scott Twine and Jason Knight, have been instrumental in creating chances, supporting striker Delano Burgzorg who has been in fine scoring form. Stoke's defensive vulnerabilities on the road and their inconsistent away scoring record suggest they might struggle to keep a clean sheet. However, Stoke's resilience and home scoring strength in other matches hint at a balanced contest.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-1 draw, with Bristol City likely to lead at halftime 1-0 before Stoke City equalise in the second half. The match is expected to feature moderate discipline with around four cards shown. Confidence in this prediction stands at 35%, reflecting the evenly matched nature of the teams.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Bristol City's attacking midfield creativity
Twine and Knight provide strong creative support, enhancing Burgzorg's scoring chances
Bristol City's home scoring form
Average 1.43 goals per home game with recent positive scoring streak
Stoke's defensive struggles away
Conceded in last 5 away games, vulnerable to Bristol's attack
Stoke's home scoring strength vs away weakness
Strong home scoring but poor away form may limit goal threat in this away match
No significant injuries reported
Both teams have full squads available, no key absences affecting tactics
Key Takeaways
In summary, fans should brace for a competitive and entertaining match with both sides sharing points. Bristol City's home form and Stoke's fighting spirit ensure neither side will settle for less than a draw, making this a fitting finale to their season encounter.
- Bristol City have won 9 of 17 head-to-head matches against Stoke City, who have 6 wins and 2 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, with Bristol scoring 23 and Stoke 22 in total.
- Bristol City rank 12th with 62 points from 46 games (17W, 11D, 18L).
- Stoke City rank 17th with 55 points from 46 games (15W, 10D, 21L).
- Bristol City average 1.43 goals per home game this season.
- Stoke City have conceded in their last 5 away games, showing defensive frailties.
- The modal total cards count predicted for the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline issues.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bristol City
Away — Stoke City
No standout top scorers flagged for Stoke City
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Burgzorg
Pearson
Yellow Card
Pearson
Bae Jun-Ho
Cissé
Tchamadeu
Yellow Card
McCrorie
Yellow Card
Tchamadeu
Sam Morsy
Horvat
Burgzorg
Manhoef
Bell
Assist: Dickie
Rak-Sakyi
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 11 |  Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 |  Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 60 |
| 16 |  Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 |  Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 |  Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | -15 | 55 |
Match Statistics
Bristol City
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2R. McCrorieD
- 4A. RandellM
- 10S. TwineM
- 11D. BurgzorgF
- 12J. KnightM
- 14T. HorvatM
- 16R. DickieD
- 21Neto BorgesD
- 23R. VítekG
- 38N. EileD
- 40Sam MorsyM
Substitutes
- 17M. SykesM
- 18E. RiisF
- 19G. TannerD
- 20S. BellF
- 24Sebastian NaylorD
- 30S. ArmstrongF
- 32L. ThomasG
- 42Daniel EzenduM
- 44George EarthyM
Stoke City
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1V. JohanssonG
- 4B. PearsonM
- 7S. ThomasM
- 10Bae Jun-HoM
- 15S. NzonziM
- 17E. BocatD
- 22J. TchamadeuD
- 23B. GibsonD
- 26A. PhillipsD
- 29L. CisséF
- 42M. ManhoefM
Substitutes
- 3A. CresswellD
- 8L. BakerM
- 11R. BoženíkF
- 12T. SekoM
- 20S. GallagherF
- 21J. Rak-SakyiF
- 25Tommy SimkinG
- 49M. SmitF
- 50Sydney AginaM
Bristol City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Borges | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Radek Vitek | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Eile | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Delano Burgzorg | F | 84 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Rob Dickie | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Tomi Horvat | M | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ross McCrorie | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Adam Randell | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Scott Twine | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jason Knight(C) | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sam Morsy | M | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Daniel Ezendu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seb Naylor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Thomas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| George Tanner | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sinclair Armstrong | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| George Earthy | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark Sykes | M | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Sam Bell | F | 9 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Emil Riis Jacobsen | F | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Stoke City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven N'Zonzi | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ben Gibson | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lamine Cissé | F | 59 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Bocat | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Ben Pearson | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ashley Phillips | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sorba Thomas | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Jun-Ho Bae | M | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Viktor Johansson(C) | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Tchamadeu | D | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Million Manhoef | M | 87 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tommy Simkin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Róbert Boženík | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Baker | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Cresswell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesurun Rak-Sakyi | F | 31 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Milan Smit | F | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tatsuki Seko | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sam Gallagher | F | 31 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Sydney Agina | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |