Brighton vs Crystal Palace
Brighton steamroll Palace in dominant display
A commanding 5-0 victory sees Brighton run riot at home.
Brighton put Crystal Palace to the sword with a comprehensive 5-0 win, sparked by an early own goal from J. Canvot and followed swiftly by strikes from D. Gómez and Y. Ayari within the first ten minutes. C. Kostoulas and J. Hinshelwood added further gloss to the scoreline after the break, sealing a dominant performance. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the margin of victory far exceeded expectations.
Outcome probability
Brighton and Crystal Palace face off in what promises to be a one-sided affair, with the Seagulls looking to extend their impressive start to the season against the Eagles.
Match factors
Brighton's midfield dominance with Groß and De Cuyper
Pascal Groß leads in goals (3) and assists (4), supported by Maxim De Cuyper's creativity and defensive work, giving Brighton control in midfield.
Brighton's strong home scoring and defensive record
Brighton averages 2.7 goals scored and only 0.3 conceded at home, indicating a strong likelihood of a clean sheet and multiple goals.
Brighton's consistent scoring streak
Brighton has scored in their last 5 games, showing strong attacking momentum heading into this fixture.
Palace's defensive doubts with Khalaili doubtful
Anan Khalaili's doubtful status due to muscle injury may weaken Palace's defense, increasing Brighton's scoring chances.
Palace's limited attacking threat
Palace's top attackers have low scoring rates and several key players are out or doubtful, limiting their offensive threat against Brighton's defense.
The context
Brighton currently sit third in the league with 13 points from six games, boasting a remarkable +13 goal difference. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, have struggled with a -5 goal difference and fewer points, highlighting the gulf in form between the two sides.
Key insights
Pascal Groß
Brighton
Leads team in goals (3) and assists (4), providing midfield dominance and creativity.
Premier League 26/273 goals and 4 assists in 5 games
Maxim De Cuyper
Brighton
Combines strong defensive work with creative assists, crucial in transition play.
Premier League 26/272 assists in 5 games, strong tackling and interceptions
- A
Anan Khalaili
Crystal Palace
Doubtful status due to muscle injury may weaken Palace's defensive stability.
Premier League 26/27High tackle rate and interceptions, key defensive presence
Tyrick Mitchell
Crystal Palace
Top scorer for Palace despite defensive role, contributing offensively on set pieces.
Premier League 26/272 goals in 5 games
Analysis
Brighton's attacking prowess is led by Pascal Groß, who has netted three goals and provided four assists in five games, making him a key figure in their midfield dominance. Maxim De Cuyper also contributes both offensively and defensively, adding balance to Brighton's play. Crystal Palace face defensive concerns with Anan Khalaili doubtful due to a muscle injury, which could further expose their backline. Palace's attacking options are limited, with their top scorer Tyrick Mitchell managing only two goals, suggesting they may struggle to breach Brighton's sturdy defence.
Key facts
- 1.Brighton are 3rd in the league with 13 points from 6 games (W4 D1 L1).
- 2.Brighton have a +13 goal difference, significantly better than Crystal Palace's -5.
- 3.Brighton average 2.7 goals scored and only 0.3 conceded at home this season.
- 4.Pascal Groß leads Brighton with 3 goals and 4 assists in 5 games.
- 5.Crystal Palace's Anan Khalaili is doubtful with a muscle injury, impacting their defence.
- 6.In 20 meetings, Brighton have won 5, Crystal Palace 7, with 8 draws.
- 7.Brighton have scored in their last 5 games, showing consistent attacking form.
Prediction
The prediction leans heavily towards a Brighton home win with a 3-0 scoreline. Brighton's strong home scoring record, combined with Palace's defensive doubts and limited attacking threat, supports this outcome. While the statistical backing is strong, the limited head-to-head history between these teams tempers the certainty of this call.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Brighton
Away — Crystal Palace
The verdict
Expect Brighton to control the game from start to finish, capitalising on their form and Palace's vulnerabilities. The Seagulls look set to add another convincing win to their campaign, leaving the Eagles searching for answers.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 15:02 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Canvot (OG)
Gómez
Assist: Boscagli
Ayari
Assist: Kostoulas
Groß
Yellow Card
Timber
Kostoulas
Kamada
Yellow Card
Ahanor
Yeremy Pino
Strand Larsen
José María Andrés Baixauli
Yellow Card
Kostoulas
Groß
Boscagli
Ayari
Kamada
Hinshelwood
Dunk
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Brighton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. VerbruggenG
- 5L. DunkD
- 13P. GroßM
- 14José María Andrés BaixauliM
- 19C. KostoulasF
- 21O. BoscagliD
- 24F. KadıoğluD
- 25D. GómezM
- 26Y. AyariM
- 29M. De CuyperM
- 44L. VuškovićD
Substitutes
- 3J. HadjamD
- 8J. HinshelwoodM
- 10G. RutterF
- 15I. OsmanF
- 20CostinhaD
- 23J. SteeleG
- 30M. SvobodaD
- 33M. O'RileyM
- 35M. YalcouyéM
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3T. MitchellM
- 6J. CanvotD
- 10Yeremy PinoM
- 18D. KamadaM
- 20A. WhartonM
- 21H. AhanorD
- 22J. Strand LarsenF
- 23Q. TimberM
- 25A. KhalailiM
- 26C. RichardsD
- 44W. BenítezG
Substitutes
- 7I. SarrF
- 8J. LermaM
- 9E. NketiahF
- 11D. McNeilF
- 14J. MatetaF
- 19W. HughesM
- 24D. OsorioM
- 30Óscar MinguezaD
- 31R. MatthewsG
Brighton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kostoulas | F | 71 | 8.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3/6 |
| Y. Ayari | M | 81 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| O. Boscagli | D | 81 | 8.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| D. Gómez | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/4 |
| L. Vušković | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Dunk | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Hinshelwood | M | 19 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. De Cuyper | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| B. Verbruggen | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hadjam | D | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Yalcouyé | M | 9 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Rutter | F | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| P. Groß | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| José María Andrés Baixauli | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Svoboda | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Costinha | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. O'Riley | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Steele | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Osman | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McNeil | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| W. Benítez | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mateta | F | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| E. Nketiah | F | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 61 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 37 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| H. Ahanor | D | 53 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Richards | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Yeremy Pino | M | 61 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 81 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| W. Hughes | M | 9 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Mitchell | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Khalaili | M | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Q. Timber | M | 46 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Wharton | M | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Canvot | D | 90 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Matthews | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Osorio | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Brighton to win against Crystal Palace.
- What score did Fipster predict for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Brighton 3–0 Crystal Palace.
- What were the win probabilities for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
- Fipster's model gave Brighton a 35% chance of winning, Crystal Palace a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.